SD Eibar vs Huesca Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa Sun, 19 Apr - 4:30 PM

La Liga 2

SD Eibar EIB

Huesca HUE

Full Time Sun, 19 Apr 4:30 PM

Round 36 Regular Season

Sergio Álvarez - 78'

Javi Martón - 50'

Javi Mier - 70'

Julio Alonso 74'

CONTEXT

SD Eibar secured a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Huesca at home, breaking a goalless first half deadlock with all three goals arriving after the break. Possession was tightly contested, with Eibar holding 48% to Huesca's 52%, reflecting a balanced affair until Huesca's red card shifted the dynamics dramatically. The stronger side on paper, Eibar capitalized on their numerical advantage, netting twice while Huesca managed a consolation strike. This outcome demonstrated minimal structural deviation at just 3.5%, staying true to pre-match expectations where Eibar were heavily favored. Efficiency metrics aligned closely with projections, underscoring Eibar's clinical second-half execution despite the absence of detailed xG data. The red card proved pivotal, distorting the contest and enabling Eibar's comeback in a match defined by resilience and opportunism.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Eibar's win exhibited minimal structural deviation of 3.5 percent from expectations.
Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies stayed in line with preseason benchmarks throughout.
xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevented direct alignment verification with final scoreline.
Market alignment: Result fully aligned with pre-match market positioning for both teams.
xG expectations: Without xG figures, expectations against actual goals remain unassessed.
Event impact: Huesca's red card decisively altered second-half momentum toward Eibar.
Red card distortion: Away red card introduced significant distortion favoring Eibar's victory.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

S. Lax Franco

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Fernández Correas

2nd Assistant

L. Morona Del Campo

4th Official

B. San José Gil

J. Oltra Castañer

1.65

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

0.77

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

6 - 3 - 6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

SD Eibar

96.48%

Draw

3.33%

Huesca

0.19%

Movement

Changes since opening

SD Eibar

+1.25%

Draw

-1.25%

Huesca

Team Power Ranking

36.44

13.8

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

SD Eibar

Huesca

Power Score

36.44

13.8

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

SD Eibar — Opponent-weighted form score

Huesca — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SD Eibar Huesca

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

SD Eibar

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Huesca

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

SD Eibar ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Huesca

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

31.88

14.71

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

14.71

31.88

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

SD Eibar +1.74 Efficiency Index

Huesca -1.74 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

SD Eibar

Huesca

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

SD Eibar ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Huesca

Created Set-piece attacking threat

SD Eibar Huesca

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

SD Eibar Huesca

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

SD Eibar

Huesca

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

SD Eibar

Huesca

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

SD Eibar Huesca

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

SD Eibar Huesca

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

SD Eibar

Huesca

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

EIB had peak pressure around 34'.
EIB started the game with stronger pressure.

EIB Pressure HUE Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: EIB reached the top pressure at 34' (78.23).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SD Eibar EIB Home

15 matches

Huesca HUE Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-2

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:05:48+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

13 J. Magunagoitia Blasco

2 S. Cubero Ezcurra

8 P. Nolaskoain Esnal

15 J. Amador Silos

23 A. Arbilla Zabala

6 S. Álvarez Díaz

30 A. Garrido Cañizares

17 J. Corpas Serna

16 A. Madariaga Susaeta

18 M. Ares Djalo

20 J. Martón Ansó

13 D. Jiménez López

17 J. Alonso Sosa

5 I. Sebastián Magaña

4 A. Carrillo Alacid

2 J. Abad Martínez

16 J. Álvarez Aguado

6 J. Mier Martínez

8 J. Martín Camuñas

20 F. Portillo Soler

33 D. Luna

18 E. Rodríguez Heres

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 19, 2026, 04:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 36 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa

Capacity :

8164

Attendance :

5476

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Salvador Lax Franco

Diego Fernández Correas

Luis Enrique Morona Del Campo

Statistics

Possession

EIB

48%

HUE

52%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1

2 Big Chances Created 2

2 Shots 3

46 Dangerous attacks 33

48 Possession 52

4 Corners 4

10 Free kicks 10

3 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

13 Successful Dribbles Percentage 57

30 Throwins 34

8 Dribble Attempts 14

1 Successful Dribbles 8

5 Goal Kicks 7

2 Assists 1

52 Ball Safe 64

8 Goal Attempts 4

5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 1

88 Attacks 117

Possession

39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40

309 Successful Passes 317

54 Long Passes 65

79 Successful Passes Percentage 75

390 Passes 425

21 Successful Long Passes 26

10 Key Passes 4

Defensive

8 Interceptions 5

1 Saves 3

12 Tackles 15

47 Duels Won 45

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 2

13 Total Crosses 16

Discipline

10 Fouls 10

0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Salvador Lax Franco

Manager ▼

B. San José Gil Coach

Starting XI ▼

Jonmi Magunagoitia Goalkeeper

6.95

Sergio Cubero Defender

6.85

Peru Nolaskoain Defender

6.99

Aritz Arambarri

Defender10'

6.55

Jair Amador Defender

6.64

Anaitz Arbilla Defender

7.09

Hodei Arrillaga

Defender69'

6.65

Sergio Álvarez Midfielder

6.91

Ander Madariaga Midfielder

6.72

Javi Martínez

Midfielder63'

6.79

José Corpas Midfielder

6.88

Adu Ares Midfielder

6.75

Jon Guruzeta

Midfielder69'

6.85

Aleix Garrido Midfielder

6.92

Lander Olaetxea

Midfielder63'

6.68

Javi Martón Attacker

6.8

Substitutes ▼

Aritz Arambarri

Defender10'

6.55

Lander Olaetxea

Midfielder63'

6.68

Javi Martínez

Midfielder63'

6.79

Jon Guruzeta

Midfielder69'

6.85

Hodei Arrillaga

Defender69'

6.65

Bench ▼

Luis López Goalkeeper

Álvaro Rodríguez Defender

6.7

Jon Magunazelaia Midfielder

6.64

Jon Bautista Attacker

6.79

Hugo García Attacker

6.5

Ibai Asenjo Attacker

Referee : Salvador Lax Franco