SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Europa-Park Stadion Tomorrow - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg SCF
Versus
RB Leipzig RBL
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 1:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

SC Freiburg hosts RB Leipzig at Europa-Park Stadion in the Bundesliga's 2025/2026 regular season. Sitting 7th domestically, Freiburg confronts a 3rd-placed Leipzig team wielding a superior power score of 87.05 to Freiburg's 83, granting a 4.1-point edge. Leipzig's form score of 26.06 significantly outpaces Freiburg's 13.89, signaling stronger momentum. Home advantage could fuel Freiburg's challenge, yet Leipzig's higher standing suggests control in key areas. Set piece metrics carry low confidence, relying on proxies without xG data for attacks or defenses. Midfield duels and defensive solidity will prove pivotal. Freiburg aims to disrupt Leipzig's rhythm through counters, while visitors seek dominance. This matchup tests Freiburg's resilience against Leipzig's quality.

TL;DR

  • Structural: RB Leipzig possesses a structural advantage via 87.05 power score against SC Freiburg's 83, yielding 4.1 points superiority.
  • Form: RB Leipzig leads in form with 26.06 score surpassing SC Freiburg's 13.89.
  • Squad: SC Freiburg occupies 7th in domestic standings as RB Leipzig holds 3rd.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for this encounter.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set pieces exhibit low confidence using proxies without xG for both SC Freiburg and RB Leipzig.
  • xVariable: xG data absent as add-on disabled for fixture.
  • Market: Projection split: SC Freiburg 28.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25% (Δ+0%) | RB Leipzig 46.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
SC Freiburg J. Schuster
J. Schuster
VS
RB Leipzig O. Werner
O. Werner
1.39
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.78
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hamburger SV Rank: 77 D
VfL Wolfsburg Rank: 74 D
Borussia Dortmund Rank: 89 L
Heidenheim Rank: 71 W
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 81 W
FC Bayern München Rank: 100 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
St. Pauli Rank: 72 D
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: 89 L
FC Union Berlin Rank: 73 W
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: 81 W
Borussia Mönchengladbach Rank: 77 W
Werder Bremen Rank: 76 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 4 - 12
12
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SC Freiburg
28.86%
Draw
24.96%
Away RB Leipzig
46.18%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
83
87.05
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
Power Score
83
87.05
League Position
7
3
Global Rank
46
25

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SC Freiburg — Opponent-weighted form score
RB Leipzig — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SC Freiburg RB Leipzig

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SC Freiburg SCF Home
19 matches
RB Leipzig RBL Away
Match Record
3
Wins
12
4
Draws
4
12
Losses
3
Goals
17
Goals Scored
41
41
Goals Conceded
17
-24
Goal Difference
+24

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T01:10:37+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Europa-Park Stadion
Capacity :
34700
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

24
Jannik Huth
Jannik Huth Goalkeeper
21
Florian Müller
Florian Müller Goalkeeper
1
Noah Atubolu
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper
28
Matthias Lukas Ginter
Matthias Lukas Ginter Defender
30
Christian Günter
Christian Günter Defender
17
Lukas Kübler
Lukas Kübler Defender
5
Anthony Jung
Anthony Jung Defender
3
Philipp Lienhart
Philipp Lienhart Defender
29
Philipp Treu
Philipp Treu Defender
33
Jordy Makengo
Jordy Makengo Defender
37
Max Rosenfelder
Max Rosenfelder Defender
43
Bruno Ifechukwu Ogbus
Bruno Ifechukwu Ogbus Defender
27
Nicolas Höfler
Nicolas Höfler Midfielder
8
Maximilian Eggestein
Maximilian Eggestein Midfielder
11
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh Midfielder
6
Patrick Osterhage
Patrick Osterhage Midfielder
44
Johan Manzambi
Johan Manzambi Midfielder
32
Vincenzo Grifo
Vincenzo Grifo Attacker
26
Maximilian Philipp
Maximilian Philipp Attacker
9
Lucas Höler
Lucas Höler Attacker
19
Jan-Niklas Beste
Jan-Niklas Beste Attacker
31
Igor Matanovic
Igor Matanovic Attacker
14
Yuito Suzuki
Yuito Suzuki Attacker
7
Derry Lionel Scherhant
Derry Lionel Scherhant Attacker
22
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
Cyriaque Kalou Irié Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Péter Gulácsi
Péter Gulácsi Goalkeeper
25
Leopold Zingerle
Leopold Zingerle Goalkeeper
26
Maarten Vandevoordt
Maarten Vandevoordt Goalkeeper
4
Willi Orban
Willi Orban Defender
39
Benjamin Henrichs
Benjamin Henrichs Defender
16
Lukas Klostermann
Lukas Klostermann Defender
22
David Raum
David Raum Defender
17
Ridle Bote Baku
Ridle Bote Baku Defender
23
Castello Lukeba
Castello Lukeba Defender
5
El Chadaille Bitshiabu
El Chadaille Bitshiabu Defender
35
Max Finkgräfe
Max Finkgräfe Defender
19
Kosta Nedeljković
Kosta Nedeljković Defender
24
Xaver Schlager
Xaver Schlager Midfielder
14
Christoph Baumgartner
Christoph Baumgartner Midfielder
13
Nicolas Seiwald
Nicolas Seiwald Midfielder
10
Brajan Gruda
Brajan Gruda Midfielder
6
Ezechiel Banzuzi
Ezechiel Banzuzi Midfielder
20
Forzan Assan Ouedraogo
Forzan Assan Ouedraogo Midfielder
33
Andrija Maksimović
Andrija Maksimović Midfielder
47
Viggo Gebel
Viggo Gebel Midfielder
37
Benno Valentin Kilan Kaltefleiter
Benno Valentin Kilan Kaltefleiter Midfielder
9
Johan Bakayoko
Johan Bakayoko Attacker
7
Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa
Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa Attacker
40
Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz
Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz Attacker
18
Sani Suleiman
Sani Suleiman Attacker
27
Tidiam Gomis
Tidiam Gomis Attacker
11
Conrad Harder
Conrad Harder Attacker
21
Ayodele Thomas
Ayodele Thomas Attacker
49
Yan Diomande
Yan Diomande Attacker
45
Samba Konate
Samba Konate Attacker

CONCLUSION

RB Leipzig arrives with clear superiority in power, form, and position, positioning them to dictate play at Europa-Park Stadion. SC Freiburg harnesses home energy to counter, though sparse set piece insights limit tactical edges. Leipzig's 4.1-point lead hints at efficiency in transitions and attacks. Freiburg requires sharp finishing and defensive grit to compete. Visitors likely edge a tight contest, consolidating top-tier status. Hosts must exploit any lapses for points. Intensity defines this Bundesliga clash.

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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