SC Freiburg vs Heidenheim Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Bundesliga
Heidenheim
HDH
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
SC Freiburg clinched a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Heidenheim in a Bundesliga encounter, maintaining their push up the table. The home side took the lead in the first half with a 1-0 advantage at the break, showcasing clinical finishing despite holding only 46% possession. Heidenheim, with 54% of the ball, mounted pressure in the second half and pulled one back, but Freiburg's defense held firm to secure the three points. As the pre-designated stronger team, Freiburg delivered a result that underscored their quality, even without dominating the stats. The match featured no red cards or major disruptions, allowing both sides to play out a competitive fixture. Freiburg's win extends their solid home form, while Heidenheim remains mired in mid-table struggles. This outcome highlights Freiburg's efficiency in converting limited chances against a possession-heavy opponent.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: SC Freiburg recorded a significant structural deviation of 42.4%.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
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xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
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Market alignment: Result aligned with pre-match market probabilities.
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xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
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Event impact: No second-half adjustments or events altered the outcome.
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Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, avoiding any distortion.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
P. Ittrich
Other match officials
E. Müller
2nd Assistant
T. Gorniak
1st Assistant
L. Erbst
4th Official
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
SC Freiburg
Heidenheim
Movement
Changes since opening
SC Freiburg
Heidenheim
Team Power Ranking
i
33.96
14.28
SC Freiburg
Heidenheim
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
SC Freiburg
Heidenheim
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
SC Freiburg
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency









Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)








Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
















Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.




























PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- HDH had peak pressure around 92'.
- SCF started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
















Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:03:24+00:00
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General Information
Next Match


SC Freiburg
vs
Borussia Dortmund
League: Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 3:30 PM
Venue: Signal Iduna Park


Heidenheim
vs
St. Pauli
League: Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sat, 25 Apr - 1:30 PM
Venue: Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


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Events
CONCLUSION
SC Freiburg vs Heidenheim preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Author
Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.

Match Commentary