SC Freiburg vs FC Union Berlin Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Bundesliga
FC Union Berlin FCUSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
Match is finished. SC Freiburg 0–1 FC Union Berlin. The result saw FC Union Berlin take the points. FC Union Berlin showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 73%–27%.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: FC Union Berlin showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
- Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
- xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
- Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
- xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
- Event impact: No major event distortion.
- Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
Sven Jablonski
Other match officials
S. Thielert
1st Assistant
R. Hartmann
4th Official
E. Beitinger
2nd Assistant


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
SC Freiburg
FC Union BerlinTeam Power Ranking
i
79.04
74.78
SC Freiburg
FC Union BerlinForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
SC Freiburg
FC Union Berlin

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
SC Freiburg ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
SC Freiburg ⚠ Proxy
SC Freiburg FC Union Berlin
SC Freiburg FC Union Berlin
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-03-16T02:41:29+00:00
STARTING XI
SC Freiburg
FC Union Berlin






















































General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
SC FreiburgManager ▼

Starting XI ▼















Substitutes ▼




Bench ▼





FC Union BerlinManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼




Events
CONCLUSION
SC Freiburg vs FC Union Berlin preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
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Match Commentary