SC Freiburg vs Celta de Vigo Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa League, Europe
Europa-Park Stadion Thu, 9 Apr - 7:00 PM
Europa League
SC Freiburg SCF
3 Winner 0
Celta de Vigo CEL
Full Time Thu, 9 Apr 7:00 PM
Quarter Finals Leg 1 of 2
Matthias Ginter - 78'
Niklas Beste - 32'
Vincenzo Grifo - 10'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

SC Freiburg defeated Celta de Vigo 3-0 in the first leg of their two-legged knockout tie. The home team led 2-0 at halftime and added a second-half goal to complete the scoring. Possession was nearly balanced at 52 percent for Freiburg and 48 percent for Celta de Vigo. No red cards were issued in the finished match.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: SC Freiburg recorded a minimal structural deviation of 5.3 percent.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be determined due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with pre-match expectations.
  • xG expectations: No xG data was available to assess expectations.
  • Event impact: SC Freiburg took a 3-0 lead in the first leg of the knockout tie.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued resulting in zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

G. Nyberg

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Beigi

1st Assistant

A. Söderkvist

2nd Assistant

A. Ladebäck

4th Official

SC Freiburg J. Schuster
J. Schuster
VS
Celta de Vigo C. Giráldez González
C. Giráldez González
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Genk Rank: 77 W
Genk Rank: 77 L
LOSC Lille Rank: 79 L
Maccabi Tel Aviv Rank: W
Salzburg Rank: 68 W
Viktoria Plzeň Rank: 73 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 81 W
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 80 D
PAOK Rank: 77 W
PAOK Rank: 77 W
Crvena Zvezda Rank: D
LOSC Lille Rank: 79 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SC Freiburg
43.24%
Draw
29.23%
Away Celta de Vigo
27.53%

Movement

Changes since opening
SC Freiburg
-51.42%
Draw
+25.07%
Celta de Vigo
+26.35%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
81.61
81.57
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SC Freiburg
Celta de Vigo
Power Score
81.61
81.57
League Position
7
16
Global Rank
47
48

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SC Freiburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Celta de Vigo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SC Freiburg Celta de Vigo

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

SC Freiburg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Celta de Vigo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

SC Freiburg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Celta de Vigo
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
30.96
12.19
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
12.19
30.96
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
SC Freiburg +1.89 Efficiency Index
vs
Celta de Vigo -1.89 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
SC Freiburg
Celta de Vigo
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

SC Freiburg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Celta de Vigo
Created Set-piece attacking threat
SC Freiburg Celta de Vigo
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
SC Freiburg Celta de Vigo
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
SC Freiburg
Celta de Vigo
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
SC Freiburg
vs
Celta de Vigo
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
SC Freiburg Celta de Vigo
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
SC Freiburg 0.21
Celta de Vigo 0.11
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
SC Freiburg Celta de Vigo
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
SC Freiburg 0.00
Celta de Vigo 0.05
SC Freiburg
Celta de Vigo
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SC Freiburg SCF Home
0 matches
Celta de Vigo CEL Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-10T00:02:08+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
N. Atubolu
Germany
1 N. Atubolu
P. Treu
Germany
29 P. Treu
M. Ginter
Germany
28 M. Ginter
P. Lienhart
Austria
3 P. Lienhart
J. Makengo
France
33 J. Makengo
M. Eggestein
Germany
8 M. Eggestein
J. Manzambi
Switzerland
44 J. Manzambi
J. Beste
Substitution
Germany
19 J. Beste
Y. Suzuki
Substitution
Japan
14 Y. Suzuki
V. Grifo
Substitution
Italy
32 V. Grifo
I. Matanovic
Croatia
31 I. Matanovic
Pitch
I. Radu
Romania
13 I. Radu
M. Alonso Mendoza
Spain
20 M. Alonso Mendoza
J. Aidoo
Ghana
4 J. Aidoo
J. Rodríguez Galiano
Substitution
Spain
32 J. Rodríguez Galiano
S. Carreira Vilariño
Spain
5 S. Carreira Vilariño
Ilaix Moriba
Guinea
6 Ilaix Moriba
H. Sotelo
Substitution
Spain
22 H. Sotelo
Ó. Mingueza García
Spain
3 Ó. Mingueza García
W. Swedberg
Substitution
Sweden
19 W. Swedberg
B. Iglesias Quintas
Substitution
Spain
7 B. Iglesias Quintas
F. Jutlgà Blanc
Substitution
Spain
9 F. Jutlgà Blanc

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 09, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Europa League, Europe · Quarter Finals · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium :
Europa-Park Stadion
Capacity :
34700
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ , Clear
Referees :
Mahbod Beigi
Andreas Söderkvist
Adam Ladebäck
Glenn Nyberg

Statistics

Possession
SCF
54%
CEL
46%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 1
2 Shots 3
62 Dangerous attacks 37
52 Possession 48
3 Corners 0
12 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

16 Successful Headers 6
15 Throwins 16
4 Goal Kicks 5
58 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29
11 Successful Dribbles 4
19 Dribble Attempts 14
3 Assists 0
2 Hit Woodwork 0
3 Substitutions 5
89 Ball Safe 95
10 Goal Attempts 2

Attacking

114 Attacks 89
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

437 Successful Passes 399
58 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40
505 Passes 475
38 Long Passes 48
22 Successful Long Passes 19
87 Successful Passes Percentage 84
10 Key Passes 4

Defensive

19 Tackles 17
56 Duels Won 37
0 Saves 4
12 Interceptions 7

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 7
5 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Glenn Nyberg

Starting XI ▼

1
Noah Atubolu
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper
3
Philipp Lienhart
Philipp Lienhart Defender
28
Matthias Ginter
Matthias Ginter Defender
29
Philipp Treu
Philipp Treu Defender
33
Jordy Makengo
Jordy Makengo Defender
8
Maximilian Eggestein
Maximilian Eggestein Midfielder
14
Yuito Suzuki
Yuito Suzuki Midfielder
9
Lucas Höler
Lucas Höler
Attacker74'
19
Niklas Beste
Niklas Beste Midfielder
17
Lukas Kübler
Lukas Kübler
Defender89'
32
Vincenzo Grifo
Vincenzo Grifo Midfielder
7
Derry Scherhant
Derry Scherhant
Attacker74'
44
Johan Manzambi
Johan Manzambi Midfielder
31
Igor Matanovic
Igor Matanovic Attacker
Referee : Glenn Nyberg

Starting XI ▼

13
Ionuț Radu
Ionuț Radu Goalkeeper
4
Joseph Aidoo
Joseph Aidoo Defender
20
Marcos Alonso
Marcos Alonso Defender
32
Javi Rodríguez
Javi Rodríguez Defender
30
Fer López
Fer López
Midfielder46'
3
Óscar Mingueza
Óscar Mingueza Midfielder
5
Sergio Carreira
Sergio Carreira Midfielder
6
Ilaix Moriba
Ilaix Moriba Midfielder
22
Hugo Sotelo
Hugo Sotelo Midfielder
15
Matías Vecino
Matías Vecino
Midfielder61'
7
Borja Iglesias
Borja Iglesias Attacker
10
Iago Aspas
Iago Aspas
Attacker73'
9
Ferran Jutglà
Ferran Jutglà Attacker
18
Pablo Durán
Pablo Durán
Attacker73'
19
Williot Swedberg
Williot Swedberg Attacker
39
Jones El-Abdellaoui
Jones El-Abdellaoui
Attacker46'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Maximilian Eggestein
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Lukas Kübler → Niklas Beste
8th Substitution
89'
Event
Matthias Ginter
Header / 3rd Goal
78'
Event
Derry Scherhant → Vincenzo Grifo
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Lucas Höler → Yuito Suzuki
6th Substitution
74'
73'
Event
Iago Aspas → Borja Iglesias
4th Substitution
73'
Event
Pablo Durán → Ferran Jutglà
5th Substitution
61'
Event
Matías Vecino → Hugo Sotelo
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Jones El-Abdellaoui → Williot Swedberg
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Fer López → Javi Rodríguez
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Niklas Beste
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
32'
Event
Vincenzo Grifo
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
10'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Derry Scherhant of SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with SC Freiburg winning 3-0 against Celta Vigo.
90
Update Update
Ilaix Moriba from Celta Vigo won a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Maximilian Eggestein of SC Freiburg receives a yellow card for a foul.
90
Update Update
Sergio Carreira from Celta Vigo commits a foul.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Pablo Durán of Celta Vigo.
90
Update Update
Philipp Treu from SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
Ilaix Moriba of Celta Vigo won a free kick in defense.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SC Freiburg: Lukas Kübler replaces Niklas Beste.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to SC Freiburg after Ionut Radu concedes.
88
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Lucas Höler of SC Freiburg takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the box, but it's saved in the right corner by Ionut Radu of Celta Vigo. The assist comes from Derry Scherhant with a through ball.
86
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Fer López from Celta Vigo shot with his left foot from the center of the box.
86
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas Höler of SC Freiburg.
86
Update Update
Ilaix Moriba from Celta Vigo won a free kick in the defensive area.
82
Update Update
Foul committed by Marcos Alonso against Celta Vigo.
82
Update Update
Maximilian Eggestein of SC Freiburg won a free kick in the attacking area.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! SC Freiburg leads Celta Vigo 3-0. Matthias Ginter scores for SC Freiburg with a header from close range into the top right corner, assisted by Niklas Beste's cross following a corner.
77
Corner Corner
SC Freiburg wins a corner after Joseph Aidoo concedes.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SC Freiburg: Derry Scherhant replaces Vincenzo Grifo.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SC Freiburg: Lucas Höler replaces Yuito Suzuki.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: Pablo Durán replaces Ferran Jutglà.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: Iago Aspas replaces Borja Iglesias.
72
Update Update
Jordy Makengo from SC Freiburg won a free kick on the left wing.
70
Update Update
Borja Iglesias from Celta Vigo misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, just missing the goal. Fer López provided the assist.
67
Update Update
Foul committed by Matthias Ginter of SC Freiburg.
67
Update Update
Marcos Alonso from Celta Vigo won a free kick in the defensive area.
67
Update Update
Borja Iglesias from Celta Vigo won a free kick in defense.
67
Update Update
Foul committed by Yuito Suzuki of SC Freiburg.
64
Update Update
Jones El Abdellaoui from Celta Vigo won a free kick in defense.
64
Update Update
Foul committed by Jordy Makengo of SC Freiburg.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: Matías Vecino replaces Hugo Sotelo.
59
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Philipp Treu from SC Freiburg.
59
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Ferran Jutglà from Celta Vigo.
59
Update Update
Ferran Jutglà from Celta Vigo committed a foul.
59
Update Update
Philipp Treu of SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
56
Attempt Attempt
Yuito Suzuki's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Niklas Beste.
53
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Vincenzo Grifo from SC Freiburg takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved by Ionut Radu, the goalkeeper for Celta Vigo, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Yuito Suzuki.
52
Attempt Attempt
Borja Iglesias from Celta Vigo had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from over 40 yards on the right wing, but the shot went wide to the left. Sergio Carreira provided the assist.
49
Update Update
Johan Manzambi of SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
49
Update Update
Johan Manzambi of SC Freiburg won a free kick on the left wing.
49
Update Update
Fouled by Fer López of Celta Vigo.
49
Update Update
Fouled by Fer López from Celta Vigo.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at SC Freiburg 2, Celta Vigo 0.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with SC Freiburg leading 2-0 against Celta Vigo.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: Jones El Abdellaoui replaces Williot Swedberg.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: Jones El Abdellaoui replaces Williot Swedberg.
44
Update Update
Niklas Beste from SC Freiburg committed a foul.
44
Update Update
Sergio Carreira from Celta Vigo won a free kick in defense.
42
Update Update
Matthias Ginter from SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
42
Update Update
Foul committed by Philipp Lienhart of SC Freiburg.
42
Update Update
Borja Iglesias from Celta Vigo won a free kick in defense.
42
Update Update
Foul committed by Borja Iglesias of Celta Vigo.
41
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Javi Rodríguez from Celta Vigo.
40
Attempt Attempt
Johan Manzambi's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Igor Matanovic.
40
Update Update
Johan Manzambi from SC Freiburg attempts an attack, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box, but the goalkeeper saves it in the center of the goal. Yuito Suzuki provides the assist.
34
Attempt Attempt
Johan Manzambi from SC Freiburg hits the right post with a right-footed shot from the right side of the box.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! SC Freiburg lead 2-0 against Celta Vigo. Niklas Beste scores for SC Freiburg with a left-footed shot from a few meters into the right corner, assisted by Igor Matanovic.
29
Update Update
Igor Matanovic from SC Freiburg won a free kick in the attacking area.
29
Update Update
Foul committed by Borja Iglesias of Celta Vigo.
28
Update Update
Foul committed by Javi Rodríguez of Celta Vigo.
28
Update Update
Johan Manzambi of SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
27
Attempt Attempt
Javi Rodríguez's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. The assist came from Óscar Mingueza.
20
Update Update
Offside called against SC Freiburg. Jordy Makengo is offside.
19
Update Update
Celta Vigo is called offside. Williot Swedberg is the player in an offside position.
14
Update Update
Foul committed by Sergio Carreira of Celta Vigo.
14
Update Update
Niklas Beste from SC Freiburg won a free kick on the right wing.
10
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! SC Freiburg leads Celta Vigo 1-0. Vincenzo Grifo scores with a right-footed shot from outside the box into the right corner, assisted by Johan Manzambi.
9
Update Update
Jordy Makengo from SC Freiburg won a free kick on the left wing.
9
Update Update
Foul committed by Óscar Mingueza of Celta Vigo.
7
Update Update
Marcos Alonso of Celta Vigo won a free kick in the defensive area.
7
Update Update
Foul committed by Igor Matanovic of SC Freiburg.
5
Update Update
Johan Manzambi's header from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Niklas Beste, who provided the cross.
4
Corner Corner
SC Freiburg wins a corner after Hugo Sotelo concedes.
4
Attempt Attempt
Johan Manzambi's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Philipp Treu.
4
Update Update
New attacking attempt. Maximilian Eggestein of SC Freiburg shoots with his left foot from outside the box, but Ionut Radu, the goalkeeper for Celta Vigo, saves it in the center of the goal.
2
Update Update
Foul by Igor Matanovic of SC Freiburg.
2
Update Update
Joseph Aidoo of Celta Vigo has been awarded a free kick in defense.
1
Attempt Attempt
Igor Matanovic from SC Freiburg had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box over the goal. The assist came from Niklas Beste, who provided a cross after a fast break.

CONCLUSION

SC Freiburg secured a 3-0 win in the opening leg against Celta de Vigo despite the visitors being regarded as the stronger team. The result establishes a three-goal aggregate lead for Freiburg with even possession, no red cards, and market alignment all pointing to a solid home performance. Celta must now prepare for the return leg facing a significant deficit, while the lack of xG statistics leaves some uncertainty around expected goal trends. Overall the outcome sets up an intriguing second leg in the knockout competition.

SC Freiburg vs Celta de Vigo preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Europa League, Europe View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ

Author

Jesper GK

Jesper GK contributes football previews covering key fixtures, league context, team news, and matchday talking points.