SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa League, Europe
Beşiktaş Park Wed, 20 May - 7:00 PM
Europa League
SC Freiburg SCF
Versus
Aston Villa AVL
KICKOFF : Wed, 20 May - 7:00 PM
Final

CONTEXT

The Europa League Final at Beşiktaş Park pits Bundesliga outfit SC Freiburg against Premier League challengers Aston Villa in a clash of contrasting styles and strengths. Aston Villa arrive as the stronger side, boasting a power score of 90.73 to Freiburg's 82.37, translating to an 8.4-point advantage. Form metrics underline Villa's edge, with a 47.28 rating eclipsing Freiburg's 41, suggesting greater consistency in recent outings. This neutral-venue showdown in Istanbul's iconic stadium promises high stakes, as both teams vie for European glory in the 2025/2026 season. Freiburg's disciplined structure will test Villa's attacking flair, but the English side's superior overall rating positions them favorably. Detailed efficiency and set-piece data remain limited, heightening anticipation for how these teams adapt under final pressure.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Aston Villa hold a clear structural edge with an 8.4-point power advantage over SC Freiburg.
  • Form: Aston Villa's form score of 47.28 surpasses SC Freiburg's 41.
  • Squad: Squad strength aligns with Aston Villa's higher power score of 90.73 versus SC Freiburg's 82.37.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not detailed in available analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece performance data shows low confidence with proxies used for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-based variables unavailable due to lack of underlying data.
  • Market: Baseline split: SC Freiburg 19.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.8% (Δ+0%) | Aston Villa 53.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
VS
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1.9
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.7
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Braga Rank: 82 W
Sporting Braga Rank: 81 L
Celta de Vigo Rank: 80 W
Celta de Vigo Rank: 80 W
Genk Rank: 77 W
Genk Rank: 77 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nottingham Forest Rank: 89 W
Nottingham Forest Rank: 87 L
Bologna Rank: 79 W
Bologna Rank: 79 W
LOSC Lille Rank: 81 W
LOSC Lille Rank: 81 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SC Freiburg
19.72%
Draw
26.76%
Away Aston Villa
53.52%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.37
90.73
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
Power Score
82.37
90.73
League Position
7
2
Global Rank
48
10

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SC Freiburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Aston Villa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SC Freiburg Aston Villa

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SC Freiburg SCF Home
0 matches
Aston Villa AVL Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T01:09:28+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 20, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Europa League, Europe · Final
Stadium :
Beşiktaş Park
Capacity :
42590
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

24
Jannik Huth
Jannik Huth Goalkeeper
21
Florian Müller
Florian Müller Goalkeeper
1
Noah Atubolu
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper
28
Matthias Lukas Ginter
Matthias Lukas Ginter Defender
30
Christian Günter
Christian Günter Defender
17
Lukas Kübler
Lukas Kübler Defender
5
Anthony Jung
Anthony Jung Defender
3
Philipp Lienhart
Philipp Lienhart Defender
29
Philipp Treu
Philipp Treu Defender
33
Jordy Makengo
Jordy Makengo Defender
37
Max Rosenfelder
Max Rosenfelder Defender
43
Bruno Ifechukwu Ogbus
Bruno Ifechukwu Ogbus Defender
27
Nicolas Höfler
Nicolas Höfler Midfielder
8
Maximilian Eggestein
Maximilian Eggestein Midfielder
11
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh Midfielder
6
Patrick Osterhage
Patrick Osterhage Midfielder
44
Johan Manzambi
Johan Manzambi Midfielder
32
Vincenzo Grifo
Vincenzo Grifo Attacker
26
Maximilian Philipp
Maximilian Philipp Attacker
9
Lucas Höler
Lucas Höler Attacker
19
Jan-Niklas Beste
Jan-Niklas Beste Attacker
31
Igor Matanovic
Igor Matanovic Attacker
14
Yuito Suzuki
Yuito Suzuki Attacker
7
Derry Lionel Scherhant
Derry Lionel Scherhant Attacker
22
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
Cyriaque Kalou Irié Attacker

Squad ▼

23
Damián Emiliano Martínez
Damián Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper
40
Marco Bizot
Marco Bizot Goalkeeper
5
Tyrone Mings
Tyrone Mings Defender
2
Matty Cash
Matty Cash Defender
4
Ezri Konsa Ngoyo
Ezri Konsa Ngoyo Defender
12
Lucas Digne
Lucas Digne Defender
3
Victor Nilsson Lindelöf
Victor Nilsson Lindelöf Defender
14
Pau Francisco Torres
Pau Francisco Torres Defender
22
Ian Maatsen
Ian Maatsen Defender
16
Andrés García Robledo
Andrés García Robledo Defender
6
Ross Barkley
Ross Barkley Midfielder
8
Youri Tielemans
Youri Tielemans Midfielder
44
Boubacar Kamara
Boubacar Kamara Midfielder
7
John McGinn
John McGinn Midfielder
10
Emiliano Buendía
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder
21
Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo
Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo Midfielder
27
Morgan Rogers
Morgan Rogers Midfielder
24
Amadou Zeund Georges Mvom Onana
Amadou Zeund Georges Mvom Onana Midfielder
9
Harvey Elliot
Harvey Elliot Midfielder
26
Lamar Bogarde
Lamar Bogarde Midfielder
18
Kevin Oghenetega Tamaraebi Bakumo-Abraham
Kevin Oghenetega Tamaraebi Bakumo-Abraham Attacker
11
Ollie Watkins
Ollie Watkins Attacker
31
Leon Bailey Butler
Leon Bailey Butler Attacker
19
Jadon Sancho
Jadon Sancho Attacker
47
Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos
Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos Attacker

CONCLUSION

Aston Villa's superior power and form metrics make them the team to beat in this Europa League Final. SC Freiburg's resilience could frustrate early, but Villa's 8.4-point edge suggests they control key moments. Expect Villa to leverage their attacking depth for a deserved triumph, overcoming any Freiburg set-piece threats despite data gaps. This final encapsulates Villa's European ascent against Freiburg's gritty challenge, with the Premier League side poised to claim the trophy in Istanbul.

SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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