Sarpsborg 08 vs Bodø / Glimt Prediction, Preview and Stats
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Sarpsborg Stadion Wed, 15 Apr - 5:00 PM
Eliteserien Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 
1 – 1
Bodø / Glimt BOD Full Time Wed, 15 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 1 · Regular Season
Sander Christiansen - 33'
|
Sondre Fet - 64' (P)
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation
Data last checked: May 13
CONTEXT
The match between Sarpsborg 08 and Bodø / Glimt is finished, with the full-time score 1-1. Sarpsborg took a first-half lead but were unable to hold on for the win as the visitors equalised after the break. This draw marked a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, in which Bodø / Glimt had been the clear stronger side yet failed to secure the three points. Bodø / Glimt dominated possession with 72 percent compared to Sarpsborg’s 28 percent, yet the final result did not align with the pre-match projection that had heavily favoured the away team. No xG data is available to assess underlying chance quality, and the efficiency shift stayed in line with the balance of play. Neither side received a red card, and the absence of major disciplinary incidents left the outcome to be decided by attacking execution and defensive resilience. For Sarpsborg the point represented a valuable result against superior opposition.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Bodø / Glimt showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
- Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
- xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
- Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
- xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
- Event impact: No major event distortion.
- Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
O. Nilsen
• 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 
0.12
0.12 Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0
Other match officials
A. Jaeger
1st Assistant
O. Ekeli Valen
4th Official
K. Mamhassan
2nd Assistant
E. Sel
VS
K. Knutsen
1.44
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.2
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rosenborg Rank: L
Start Rank: D
Sandefjord Rank: W
Molde Rank: W
Bryne Rank: W
Fredrikstad Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Viking Rank: L
Kristiansund Rank: W
HamKam Rank: D
Fredrikstad Rank: W
KFUM Rank: W
Bryne Rank: W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 5 - 13
13
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) Sarpsborg 0816.27%
Draw
19.36%
Bodø / Glimt64.37%
Movement
Changes since opening Sarpsborg 08+13.06%
Draw
-70.26%
Bodø / Glimt+57.2%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
25.1 37.18 0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sarpsborg 08 Bodø / GlimtPower Score
25.1
37.18
League Position
8
10
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Sarpsborg 08 — Opponent-weighted form score
Bodø / Glimt — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sarpsborg 08 Bodø / Glimt
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Sarpsborg 08
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Bodø / Glimt
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Sarpsborg 08 ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Bodø / Glimt
Attacking Efficiency Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
60.18
34.93
Defensive Efficiency Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.93
60.18
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sarpsborg 08 +2.58 Efficiency Index
vs
Bodø / Glimt -2.58 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sarpsborg 08
Bodø / Glimt
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Sarpsborg 08 ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Bodø / Glimt
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sarpsborg 08 Bodø / Glimt Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sarpsborg 08 Bodø / Glimt Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sarpsborg 08
Bodø / Glimt
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Sarpsborg 08vs
Bodø / Glimt
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sarpsborg 08 Bodø / Glimt Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sarpsborg 08 0.41
Bodø / Glimt 0.10
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sarpsborg 08 Bodø / Glimt Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sarpsborg 08 0.01
Bodø / Glimt 0.03
Sarpsborg 08
Bodø / Glimt
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- BOD had peak pressure around 2'.
- Sarpsborg 08 started the game with stronger pressure.
- Both teams' pressure dropped after the 30th minute.
Sarpsborg 08 Pressure BOD Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BOD reached the top pressure at 2' (100.00).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 Home
22 matches
Bodø / Glimt BOD Away
Match Record 4
Wins
13
5
Draws
5
13
Losses
4
Goals 26
Goals Scored
51
51
Goals Conceded
26
-25
Goal Difference
+25
Data last updated: 2026-04-16T00:00:47+00:00
STARTING XI
Sarpsborg 08 Bodø / Glimt Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-3-1-2
1 M. Ndiaye
C. Niyukuri
#1272'
32 E. Wichne
4 B. Utvik
24 S. Rosted
21 A. Hiim
M. Koch
#283'
10 S. Sørli
6 A. Sher
8 S. Christiansen
V. Halvorsen
#2261'
17 N. Williams
B. Guèye
#1883'
33 A. Hansen
11 D. Seland Karlsbakk
12 N. Haikin
15 F. Bjørkan
H. Aleesami
#585'
6 J. Maurstad Gundersen
4 O. Bjørtuft
I. Määttä
#2546'
20 F. Sjøvold
10 J. Hauge
7 P. Berg
H. Evjen
#2679'
8 S. Auklend
19 S. Brunstad Fet
D. Bassi
#2485'
11 O. Blomberg
A. Helmersen
#2179'
9 K. Høgh
General Information
📅 Date & Time :
Apr 15, 2026, 05:00 PM
🏆 Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 1 · Regular Season
🏟️ Stadium :
Sarpsborg Stadion
👥 Capacity :
8022
🌱 Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
🌤️ Weather :
☀️ , Clear
🧑⚖️ Referees :
Ola Hobber Nilsen
Aleksander Jaeger
Ole-Alexander Ekeli Valen
Karwan Mamhassan
Next Match
Sarpsborg 08
vs
Tromsø
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sun, 19 Apr - 3:00 PM
Venue: Sarpsborg Stadion
Bodø / Glimt
vs
Aalesund
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sat, 18 Apr - 12:00 PM
Venue: Aspmyra Stadion
Statistics
Possession
Sarpsborg 08
34%
BOD
66%
Top Statistics
1 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 1
2 Shots 9
37 Dangerous attacks 163
28 Possession 72
4 Corners 6
7 Free kicks 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
Match Overview
13 Throwins 12
14 Dribble Attempts 11
6 Successful Dribbles 4
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36
9 Goal Kicks 6
1 Assists 0
13 Goal Attempts 8
85 Ball Safe 73
4 Substitutions 5
0 Penalties 1
2 Injuries 1
Attacking
52 Attacks 163
9 Counter Attacks 0
1 Big Chances Missed 0
Possession
79 Successful Passes Percentage 90
222 Successful Passes 650
32 Successful Long Passes 43
280 Passes 725
59 Long Passes 64
54 Successful Long Passes Percentage 67
13 Key Passes 9
Defensive
3 Saves 7
11 Interceptions 9
39 Duels Won 30
13 Tackles 11
Build-up
5 Accurate Crosses 9
12 Total Crosses 27
Discipline
1 Offsides 0
7 Fouls 7
Lineup
Sarpsborg 08 Referee : Ola Hobber Nilsen
Manager ▼
E. Sel Coach
Starting XI ▼
1 Mamour Ndiaye Goalkeeper
7.01
4 Bjørn Inge Utvik Defender
7.0121 Anders Hiim Defender
6.8324 Sigurd Rosted Defender
7.0832 Eirik Wichne Defender
6.3612Claus Niyukuri
6.92Defender72'
6 Aimar Sher Midfielder
7.68 Sander Christiansen Midfielder
10 Sondre Sörli Midfielder
6.632Menno Koch
6.6Defender83'
17 Noa Williams Midfielder
6.622Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
6.9Midfielder61'
11 Daniel Karlsbakk Attacker
6.5333 Andreas Hansen Attacker
6.9218Bop Guèye
6.64Midfielder83'
Substitutes ▼
22Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
6.9Midfielder61'
12Claus Niyukuri
6.92Defender72'
18Bop Guèye
6.64Midfielder83'
2Menno Koch
6.6Defender83'
Bench ▼
87
L. Øy Goalkeeper
5
Magnar Odegaard Defender
25 Jesper Gregersen Midfielder
26
Chriso Midfielder
81 Mathias Svenningsen-Grønn Midfielder
Bodø / Glimt Referee : Ola Hobber Nilsen
Manager ▼
K. Knutsen Coach
Starting XI ▼
12 Nikita Haikin Goalkeeper
6.534 Odin Luras Bjortuft Defender
6.46 Jostein Gundersen Defender
6.095Haitam Aleesami
7.19Defender85'
15 Fredrik Bjørkan Defender
7.0420 Fredrik Sjøvold Defender
6.9325Isak Dybvik Määttä
6.45Defender46'
7 Patrick Berg Midfielder
6.998 Sondre Auklend Midfielder
7.1226Håkon Evjen
6.6Midfielder79'
10 Jens Petter Hauge Midfielder
6.93
19 Sondre Fet Midfielder
9 Kasper Høgh Attacker
6.9721Andreas Helmersen
6.5Attacker79'
11 Ole Didrik Blomberg Attacker
7.3424Daniel Bassi
6.31Attacker85'
Substitutes ▼
25Isak Dybvik Määttä
6.45Defender46'
21Andreas Helmersen
6.5Attacker79'
26Håkon Evjen
6.6Midfielder79'
5Haitam Aleesami
7.19Defender85'
24Daniel Bassi
6.31Attacker85'
Bench ▼
1
Julian Faye Lund Goalkeeper
2
Villads Nielsen Defender
22
A. Klynge Midfielder
6.4194
August Mikkelsen Attacker
6.52Events
2ND-HALF
90+8'
4th Yellowcard
90+8'
Jens Petter Hauge
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
85'
Haitam Aleesami → Jostein Gundersen
8th Substitution
85'
Daniel Bassi → Ole Didrik Blomberg
9th Substitution
Bop Guèye → Andreas Hansen
6th Substitution
83'
Menno Koch → Sondre Sörli
7th Substitution
83'
83'
Kjetil Knutsen
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
79'
Andreas Helmersen → Kasper Høgh
5th Substitution
79'
Håkon Evjen → Sondre Auklend
4th Substitution
Claus Niyukuri → Eirik Wichne
3rd Substitution
72'
64'
Sondre Fet
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Mamour Ndiaye
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
62'
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen → Noa Williams
2nd Substitution
61'
60'
Kasper Høgh
Penalty disallowed
Sigurd Rosted
1st Var
58'
46'
Isak Dybvik Määttä → Fredrik Sjøvold
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Sander Christiansen
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
33'
18'
Sondre Fet
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: Bodø / Glimt exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.
Sarpsborg 08 vs Bodø / Glimt preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
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