Santa Clara vs Vitória Guimarães Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio de São Miguel Mon, 9 Mar - 12:26 AM
Liga Portugal
Santa Clara CDSC
2 Winner 0
Vitória Guimarães VSC
Full Time Mon, 9 Mar 12:26 AM
Welinton Torrão - 14'
Sidney Lima - 6'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Santa Clara 2–0 Vitória Guimarães. The result saw Santa Clara take the points. Santa Clara showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 39%–61%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Santa Clara showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

D. Oliveira Silva

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. Campos

1st Assistant

N. Cunha

2nd Assistant

F. Jesus

4th Official

Santa Clara Petit
Petit
VS
Vitória Guimarães L. Correia Pinto
L. Correia Pinto
0.75
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.4
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tondela Rank: D
Alverca Rank: D
Benfica Rank: L
Estrela Amadora Rank: L
Estoril Rank: L
Moreirense Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Alverca Rank: D
Sporting Braga Rank: L
Estrela Amadora Rank: W
Arouca Rank: L
Moreirense Rank: W
Estoril Rank: L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 2 - 8
8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Santa Clara
38.74%
Draw
31.25%
Away Vitória Guimarães
30.01%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
29.33
42.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Santa Clara
Vitória Guimarães
Power Score
29.33
42.67
League Position
15
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Santa Clara — Opponent-weighted form score
Vitória Guimarães — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Santa Clara Vitória Guimarães

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Santa Clara

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Vitória Guimarães

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Santa Clara ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Vitória Guimarães
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.26
27.05
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.05
20.26
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Santa Clara -0.67 Efficiency Index
vs
Vitória Guimarães +0.67 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Santa Clara
Vitória Guimarães
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Santa Clara ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Vitória Guimarães
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Santa Clara Vitória Guimarães
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Santa Clara Vitória Guimarães
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Santa Clara
Vitória Guimarães
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Santa Clara CDSC Home
9 matches
Vitória Guimarães VSC Away
Match Record
2
Wins
6
1
Draws
1
6
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
5
-9
Goal Difference
+9

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:27:21+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 09, 2026, 12:26 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Stadium :
Estádio de São Miguel
Capacity :
13277
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Carlos Campos
David Rafael Oliveira Silva
Nélson Cunha
Flávio Jesus

Statistics

Possession
CDSC
43%
VSC
57%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 6
38 Dangerous attacks 50
39 Possession 61
2 Corners 4
15 Free kicks 26
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Successful Dribbles 15
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 52
24 Throwins 26
10 Dribble Attempts 29
19 Successful Headers 18
1 Assists 0
9 Goal Kicks 7
80 Ball Safe 78
4 Injuries 1
3 Goal Attempts 8
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

79 Attacks 115
8 Counter Attacks 1
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

195 Successful Passes 357
4 Key Passes 4
67 Successful Passes Percentage 77
84 Long Passes 58
38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31
293 Passes 462
32 Successful Long Passes 18

Defensive

20 Tackles 14
12 Interceptions 5
5 Saves 2

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 18
2 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

26 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 4

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Oumar Camara
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Pedro Pacheco → Welinton Torrão
10th Substitution
83'
Event
Brenner → Gabriel Silva
9th Substitution
83'
Event
Elias Manoel → José Luís Rocha Tavares
8th Substitution
76'
Event
Gustavo Klismahn → Luis Fernando
7th Substitution
76'
Event
José Luís Rocha Tavares
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
73'
Event
7th Yellowcard
73'
69'
Event
Oumar Camara → Samu
6th Substitution
Event
6th Yellowcard
60'
Event
Serginho
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
60'
Event
Diogo Calila → Lucas Soares
5th Substitution
59'
55'
Event
Gustavo Silva → Telmo Arcanjo
4th Substitution
55'
Event
Nélson Oliveira → A. Ndoye
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Orest Lebedenko → João Mendes
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Gonçalo Nogueira → Beni Mukendi
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Lucas Soares
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
39'
Event
Welinton Torrão
Header / 2nd Goal
14'
Event
Sidney Lima
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
6'
6'
Event
João Mendes
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt was thwarted. Oumar Camara from Vitoria Guimaraes took a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but Gabriel Batista from Santa Clara managed to make a save, stopping the ball in the top center of the goal. The play was set up by Nélson Oliveira.
90
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Santa Clara after a deflection off Charles.
90
Corner Corner
A shot on goal was thwarted. Brenner from Santa Clara fired a right-footed attempt from the center of the penalty area, but Charles from Vitoria Guimaraes made a save, denying the effort in the top right corner. The chance was set up by Guilherme Romão.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 7 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Offside call against Vitoria Guimaraes. Gustavo Silva has been flagged for being in an offside position.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded, with the final score being Santa Clara 2, Vitoria Guimaraes 0.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Vitoria Guimaraes after Diogo Calila allowed the ball to go out.
90
Update Update
Guilherme Romão from Santa Clara earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
90
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Vitoria Guimaraes after a play that resulted in a deflection off Gabriel Batista.
90
Update Update
Guilherme Romão from Santa Clara earns a free kick in his own half of the field.
90
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Diogo Sousa from Vitoria Guimaraes tries a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Oumar Camara from Vitoria Guimaraes receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
89
Update Update
Oumar Camara from Vitoria Guimaraes commits a foul.
89
Update Update
Brenner from Santa Clara earns a free kick in their own half.
87
Update Update
Gonçalo Nogueira from Vitoria Guimaraes committed a foul.
87
Update Update
Elias Manoel from Santa Clara is awarded a free kick in their own half.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Santa Clara: Brenner comes on to take the place of Gabriel Silva.
83
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Santa Clara: Pedro Pacheco comes on to replace Welinton Torrão, who has been injured.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Santa Clara: Brenner comes on to take the place of Gabriel Silva.
82
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Welinton Torrão from Santa Clara.
78
Update Update
The game has been paused due to an injury to Serginho from Santa Clara.
78
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
77
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Diogo Sousa from Vitoria Guimaraes tries to take a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
76
Update Update
Diogo Sousa from Vitoria Guimaraes earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
76
Update Update
Gustavo Klismahn from Santa Clara committed a foul.
76
Update Update
Diogo Sousa from Vitoria Guimaraes earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Santa Clara: Elias Manoel comes on to take the place of Fernando.
75
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Nélson Oliveira from Vitoria Guimarães took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area following a direct free kick, but it went wide.
73
Update Update
José Tavares from Santa Clara commits a foul.
73
Update Update
Diogo Sousa from Vitoria Guimaraes earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
José Tavares from Santa Clara receives a yellow card for committing a foul.
71
Update Update
José Tavares of Santa Clara commits a foul.
71
Update Update
Serginho from Santa Clara is awarded a free kick in the defensive zone.
71
Update Update
José Tavares from Santa Clara commits a foul.
71
Update Update
Nélson Oliveira from Vitoria Guimaraes commits a foul.
69
Update Update
Gonçalo Nogueira of Vitoria Guimaraes commits a foul.
69
Update Update
José Tavares from Santa Clara earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
69
Update Update
José Tavares from Santa Clara is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
68
Update Update
Noah Saviolo from Vitoria Guimaraes commits a foul.
68
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Gonçalo Nogueira from Vitoria Guimarães tries a left-footed effort from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Vitoria Guimaraes: Oumar Camara comes on to take the place of Samu.
68
Update Update
Gabriel Silva from Santa Clara earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
66
Update Update
Gabriel Silva from Santa Clara earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
66
Update Update
Noah Saviolo from Vitoria Guimaraes commits a foul.
63
Update Update
José Tavares from Santa Clara commits a foul.
63
Update Update
José Tavares from Santa Clara commits a foul.
63
Update Update
Tony Strata from Vitoria Guimaraes earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
63
Update Update
Gonçalo Nogueira from Vitoria Guimaraes is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
62
Update Update
Welinton Torrão from Santa Clara is awarded a free kick in their own half.
62
Update Update
Gonçalo Nogueira from Vitoria Guimaraes commits a foul.
60
Update Update
Diogo Sousa from Vitoria Guimaraes earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
60
Update Update
Serginho from Santa Clara commits a foul.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Serginho from Santa Clara receives a yellow card.
59
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Santa Clara: Diogo Calila comes on to take the place of Lucas Soares.
58
Update Update
Gabriel Silva from Santa Clara is exhibiting risky behavior on the field.
58
Update Update
Thiago Balieiro from Vitoria Guimaraes earns a free kick in his team's defensive half.
56
Update Update
Gonçalo Nogueira from Vitoria Guimaraes is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
56
Update Update
Gabriel Silva commits a foul for Santa Clara.
55
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Vitoria Guimaraes: Nélson Oliveira comes on to take the place of Alioune Ndoye.
55
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Vitoria Guimaraes: Nélson Oliveira comes on to take the place of Alioune Ndoye.
54
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
53
Update Update
Serginho from Santa Clara is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
53
Update Update
Tony Strata commits a foul for Vitoria Guimaraes.
53
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Henrique Silva from Santa Clara.
52
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
51
Update Update
The game is currently paused due to an injury to Henrique Silva from Santa Clara.
49
Update Update
Serginho from Santa Clara commits a foul.
49
Update Update
Gonçalo Nogueira from Vitoria Guimaraes is awarded a free kick in the opponent's half.
48
Update Update
Gabriel Silva commits a foul for Santa Clara.
48
Update Update
Gonçalo Nogueira from Vitoria Guimaraes is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
48
Attempt Attempt
Close call! Diogo Sousa from Vitoria Guimaraes took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide.
45
Update Update
Pedro Ferreira from Santa Clara commits a foul.
45
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Vitoria Guimaraes after Pedro Ferreira allowed the ball to go out.
45
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Thiago Balieiro from Vitoria Guimaraes had a header from the middle of the penalty area after a corner kick, but it went wide.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Vitoria Guimaraes: Gonçalo Nogueira comes on to take the place of Beni.
45
Update Update
Noah Saviolo from Vitoria Guimaraes earns a free kick on the left flank.
45
Update Update
Noah Saviolo from Vitoria Guimaraes earns a free kick on the left side of the field.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
Serginho from Santa Clara commits a foul.
45
Update Update
The first half concludes with Santa Clara leading Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0.
45
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Telmo Arcanjo from Vitoria Guimaraes took a right-footed shot from a distance on the right side, but it went wide to the left after a set piece play.
45
Update Update
José Tavares from Santa Clara commits a foul.
45
Update Update
Telmo Arcanjo from Vitoria Guimaraes is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Vitoria Guimaraes: Orest Lebedenko comes on to take the place of João Mendes.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Vitoria Guimaraes: Gonçalo Nogueira comes on to take the place of Beni.
44
Update Update
Gabriel Silva from Santa Clara is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
44
Update Update
Gabriel Silva from Santa Clara earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
40
Update Update
Beni from Vitoria Guimaraes earns a free kick in their own half.
40
Update Update
José Tavares from Santa Clara commits a foul.
39
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas Soares of Santa Clara.
39
Corner Corner
A shot on goal has been thwarted. Samu from Vitoria Guimaraes unleashed a left-footed strike from over 40 yards out on the left flank, but Gabriel Batista from Santa Clara managed to make a save in the bottom left corner.
39
Update Update
Noah Saviolo from Vitoria Guimaraes earns a free kick on the left side of the field.
39
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lucas Soares from Santa Clara receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
38
Update Update
Foul committed by Pedro Ferreira of Santa Clara.
38
Update Update
Beni from Vitoria Guimaraes is awarded a free kick in their own half.
38
Attempt Attempt
Blocked attempt. Fernando from Santa Clara takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it is intercepted. The assist came from José Tavares.
37
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
36
Update Update
The game has been paused due to an injury to Diogo Sousa from Vitoria Guimaraes.
35
Update Update
Guilherme Romão from Santa Clara commits a foul.
35
Update Update
Beni from Vitoria Guimaraes earns a free kick in their own half.
31
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Rodrigo Abascal from Vitoria Guimaraes took a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area after a set piece.
30
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
30
Update Update
Noah Saviolo from Vitoria Guimaraes earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
30
Update Update
Lucas Soares from Santa Clara commits a foul.
29
Update Update
The game has been paused due to an injury to Serginho from Santa Clara.
28
Update Update
José Tavares from Santa Clara commits a foul.
28
Update Update
Diogo Sousa from Vitoria Guimaraes earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
27
Update Update
Serginho from Santa Clara earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
27
Update Update
Serginho from Santa Clara earns a free kick in the offensive half of the field.
25
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Santa Clara, following a foul by João Mendes.
24
Update Update
Vitoria Guimaraes has been flagged for offside. Alioune Ndoye has been caught in an offside position.
21
Update Update
Serginho from Santa Clara commits a foul.
21
Update Update
Beni from Vitoria Guimaraes is awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
19
Update Update
José Tavares from Santa Clara is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
19
Update Update
José Tavares from Santa Clara is awarded a free kick in their own half.
17
Update Update
Serginho from Santa Clara commits a foul.
17
Update Update
Beni from Vitoria Guimaraes earns a free kick in their own half.
16
Update Update
Pedro Ferreira from Santa Clara earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Vitoria Guimaraes after Lucas Soares allowed the ball to go out of play.
16
Update Update
Alioune Ndoye from Vitoria Guimaraes commits a foul.
16
Attempt Attempt
The attempt was thwarted. Diogo Sousa from Vitoria Guimaraes took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Gabriel Batista from Santa Clara made a save right in the middle of the goal. The play was set up by Telmo Arcanjo.
15
Update Update
Telmo Arcanjo from Vitoria Guimaraes is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
15
Update Update
Serginho from Santa Clara commits a foul.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Santa Clara leads Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0. Welinton Torrão scores with a header from the middle of the box, placing it right into the center of the net.
14
Attempt Attempt
The shot was stopped. Gabriel Silva from Santa Clara took a right-footed attempt from the right side of the penalty area, but it was saved in the upper center of the goal. The assist came from José Tavares.
13
Update Update
Pedro Ferreira from Santa Clara is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
13
Update Update
Samu from Vitoria Guimaraes commits a foul.
12
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas Soares of Santa Clara.
12
Update Update
Noah Saviolo from Vitoria Guimaraes is awarded a free kick on the left flank.
10
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas Soares of Santa Clara.
10
Update Update
Noah Saviolo from Vitoria Guimaraes earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
10
Update Update
Noah Saviolo from Vitoria Guimaraes is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
9
Update Update
Offside call against Vitoria Guimaraes. Telmo Arcanjo has been flagged for being in an offside position.
6
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Santa Clara takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Vitoria Guimaraes. Sidney Lima found the back of the net with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, placing it into the bottom left corner. The assist came from Guilherme Romão, who delivered a cross after a set piece.
6
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
João Mendes from Vitoria Guimaraes receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
5
Update Update
Lucas Soares from Santa Clara earns a free kick on the right side of the field.
5
Update Update
Diogo Sousa from Vitoria Guimaraes commits a foul.
4
Update Update
Diogo Sousa from Vitoria Guimaraes is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
4
Update Update
José Tavares commits a foul for Santa Clara.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Vitoria Guimaraes after a play that resulted in Gabriel Batista giving it away.
3
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Vitoria Guimaraes after Gabriel Batista allowed the ball to go out.
2
Update Update
Gabriel Silva commits a foul for Santa Clara.
2
Update Update
Noah Saviolo from Vitoria Guimaraes earns a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
1
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Beni from Vitoria Guimaraes takes a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Santa Clara exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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