Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente
GVFC
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Santa Clara and Gil Vicente has finished, with Santa Clara securing a narrow 1-0 victory after a scoreless first half. Pre-match market expectations positioned Santa Clara as the favorites with a 39.4% win probability, alongside a 31.9% chance of a draw and 28.7% for a Gil Vicente win. While the final outcome was aligned with the pre-match market favorability, it represented a significant deviation level of 60.6% for Santa Clara. Interestingly, the final scoreline was not consistent with the underlying expected goals (xG) data. Santa Clara managed to convert their chances despite generating a meager 0.28 xG, whereas Gil Vicente failed to find the back of the net despite creating a superior 0.81 xG. Santa Clara did dictate the tempo slightly, controlling 54% of the possession compared to the visitors' 46%. The match's overall efficiency shift was noted to be in line with typical expectations, despite the disparity in chance creation. Furthermore, the fixture concluded without any red cards, ensuring that severe disciplinary events did not negatively impact either side's tactical setup. Ultimately, Gil Vicente's inability to finish their superior chances allowed the market-favored hosts to escape with the win.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Santa Clara showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was contrary to expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Diverging from xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Santa Clara
Gil Vicente
Team Power Ranking
i
66.85
70.04
Santa Clara
Gil Vicente
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Santa Clara
Gil Vicente
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Santa Clara
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency









Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)








Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
















Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
















Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:23:25+00:00
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General Information
Next Match


Santa Clara
vs
Sporting CP
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Fri, 3 Apr - 7:30 PM
Venue: Away


Gil Vicente
vs
AVS
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Fri, 3 Apr - 2:30 PM
Venue: Home
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


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Events
CONCLUSION
Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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