Sandefjord vs Rosenborg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Komplett Arena Sat, 18 Apr - 2:00 PM
Eliteserien
Sandefjord Sandefjord
0 – 0
Rosenborg Rosenborg
Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 2:00 PM
Round 5 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In a hard-fought Eliteserien encounter, Sandefjord hosted Rosenborg and the match concluded in a tense 0-0 draw. The first half mirrored the end result with both teams scoreless at the break, maintaining parity throughout. Sandefjord enjoyed a marginal possession advantage at 51% to Rosenborg's 49%, yet neither side could find the net despite opportunities. Identified as the stronger team beforehand, Sandefjord's inability to capitalize represented a significant structural deviation of 74.9%. The game proceeded without red cards or major disruptions, featuring balanced play and no notable second-half adjustments. This stalemate result highlights defensive resilience from both outfits, denying Sandefjord a deserved victory and leaving fans frustrated.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sandefjord showed a significant 74.9% deviation from pre-match structural expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable to assess outcome alignment.
  • Market alignment: Outcome did not align with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG data unavailable for expectation evaluation.
  • Event impact: No impactful events or second-half adjustments occurred.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards caused no distortion in match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Grøtta

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Alnes Dyb

2nd Assistant

O. Ekeli Valen

4th Official

A. Jaeger

1st Assistant

Sandefjord A. Tegström
A. Tegström
VS
Rosenborg A. Johansson
A. Johansson
1.82
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brann Rank: W
KFUM Rank: W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: L
Vålerenga Rank: L
KFUM Rank: W
Strømsgodset Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: W
Tromsø Rank: L
Vålerenga Rank: L
Molde Rank: L
Strømsgodset Rank: W
Tromsø Rank: L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 5 - 19
19

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sandefjord
46.76%
Draw
25.09%
Away Rosenborg
28.15%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sandefjord
+41.23%
Draw
-64.43%
Rosenborg
+23.2%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
25.99
18.12
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
Power Score
25.99
18.12
League Position
6
11
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sandefjord — Opponent-weighted form score
Rosenborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sandefjord Rosenborg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sandefjord

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rosenborg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sandefjord ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rosenborg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.16
39.39
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
39.39
37.16
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sandefjord -0.23 Efficiency Index
vs
Rosenborg +0.23 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sandefjord ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rosenborg
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sandefjord Rosenborg
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sandefjord Rosenborg
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sandefjord
vs
Rosenborg
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sandefjord Rosenborg
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sandefjord 0.44
Rosenborg 0.24
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sandefjord Rosenborg
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sandefjord 0.00
Rosenborg 0.00
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Sandefjord had peak pressure around 25'.
  • Sandefjord started the game with stronger pressure.
Sandefjord Pressure Rosenborg Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Sandefjord reached the top pressure at 25' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 26 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sandefjord Sandefjord Home
26 matches
Rosenborg Rosenborg Away
Match Record
2
Wins
19
5
Draws
5
19
Losses
2
Goals
21
Goals Scored
59
59
Goals Conceded
21
-38
Goal Difference
+38

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:05:05+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
E. Hadaya
Sweden
30 E. Hadaya
F. Pedersen
Norway
4 F. Pedersen
Z. Smajlovic
Sweden
2 Z. Smajlovic
X. Lambrix
Belgium
44 X. Lambrix
V. Walle Egeli
Norway
3 V. Walle Egeli
E. Sundbö Pettersen
Norway
14 E. Sundbö Pettersen
S. Mørk
Norway
6 S. Mørk
E. Patoulidis
Substitution
Belgium
7 E. Patoulidis
R. Kristensen Alte
Substitution
Norway
10 R. Kristensen Alte
J. Dunsby
Norway
27 J. Dunsby
N. Moller
Substitution
Sweden
11 N. Moller
Pitch
L. Wahlstedt
Sweden
1 L. Wahlstedt
T. Solheim Dahl
Norway
3 T. Solheim Dahl
T. Nemčík
Slovakia
21 T. Nemčík
H. Røsten
Norway
2 H. Røsten
J. Søgaard Mortensen
Substitution
Denmark
15 J. Søgaard Mortensen
E. Ceide
Norway
35 E. Ceide
I. Fossum
Substitution
Norway
8 I. Fossum
O. Selnæs
Norway
10 O. Selnæs
S. Nordli
Substitution
Norway
7 S. Nordli
A. Chiakha
Denmark
18 A. Chiakha
M. Bomholt
Denmark
17 M. Bomholt

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 18, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 5 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Komplett Arena
Capacity :
6582
Attendance :
6023
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Jim André Alnes Dyb
Ole-Alexander Ekeli Valen
Aleksander Jaeger
Marius Hansen Grøtta

Statistics

Possession
Sandefjord
51%
Rosenborg
49%

Top Statistics

3 Big Chances Created 1
7 Shots 2
39 Dangerous attacks 66
51 Possession 49
7 Corners 11
12 Free kicks 17
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

8 Successful Dribbles 9
42 Successful Dribbles Percentage 60
8 Goal Kicks 6
1 Hit Woodwork 0
14 Throwins 19
19 Dribble Attempts 15
68 Ball Safe 52
11 Goal Attempts 11
0 Injuries 2
3 Substitutions 3

Attacking

94 Attacks 104
3 Big Chances Missed 1
7 Counter Attacks 5

Possession

51 Successful Long Passes Percentage 54
85 Successful Passes Percentage 82
9 Key Passes 11
22 Successful Long Passes 22
43 Long Passes 41
388 Successful Passes 349
455 Passes 428

Defensive

44 Duels Won 55
15 Tackles 14
6 Saves 6
10 Interceptions 7

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 3
18 Total Crosses 18

Discipline

17 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Marius Hansen Grøtta

Starting XI ▼

30
Elias Hadaya
Elias Hadaya Goalkeeper
6.88
2
Zinedin Smajlović
Zinedin Smajlović Defender
7.34
3
Vetle Walle Egeli
Vetle Walle Egeli Defender
6.9
4
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
Fredrik Carson Pedersen Defender
6.62
44
Xander Lambrix
Xander Lambrix Defender
6.88
6
Sander Risan Mørk
Sander Risan Mørk Midfielder
7.13
7
Evangelos Patoulidis
Evangelos Patoulidis Midfielder
7.2
8
Robin Dzabic
Robin Dzabic
Midfielder79'
6.49
10
Ruben Alte
Ruben Alte Midfielder
6.61
24
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
Attacker78'
6.52
14
Edvard Sundbø Pettersen
Edvard Sundbø Pettersen Midfielder
6.63
27
Jakob Dunsby
Jakob Dunsby Midfielder
6.59
11
Nikolaj Möller
Nikolaj Möller Attacker
6.68
19
Bendik Berntsen
Bendik Berntsen
Attacker78'
6.64
Referee : Marius Hansen Grøtta

Starting XI ▼

1
Leopold Wahlstedt
Leopold Wahlstedt Goalkeeper
6.66
2
Håkon Røsten
Håkon Røsten Defender
6.83
3
Tobias Solheim Dahl
Tobias Solheim Dahl Defender
6.69
15
Jonas Mortensen
Jonas Mortensen Defender
7.2
22
Jonas Svensson
Jonas Svensson
Defender73'
6.59
21
Tomas Nemcik
Tomas Nemcik Defender
6.6
7
Simen Bolkan Nordli
Simen Bolkan Nordli Midfielder
7.36
19
Adrian Pereira
Adrian Pereira
Defender83'
6.45
8
Iver Fossum
Iver Fossum Midfielder
6.67
25
Johan Johanessen Bakke
Johan Johanessen Bakke
Midfielder83'
6.27
10
Ole Selnæs
Ole Selnæs Midfielder
6.94
35
Emil Konradsen Ceide
Emil Konradsen Ceide Midfielder
6.62
17
Mads Bomholt
Mads Bomholt Attacker
6.89
18
Amin Chiakha
Amin Chiakha Attacker
6.27

Events

2ND-HALF
83'
Event
Adrian Pereira → Simen Bolkan Nordli
6th Substitution
83'
Event
Johan Johanessen Bakke → Iver Fossum
5th Substitution
Event
Robin Dzabic → Evangelos Patoulidis
4th Substitution
79'
Event
Sebastian Holm Mathisen → Ruben Alte
3rd Substitution
78'
Event
Bendik Berntsen → Nikolaj Möller
2nd Substitution
78'
Event
Edvard Sundbø Pettersen
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
74'
73'
Event
Jonas Svensson → Jonas Mortensen
1st Substitution
Event
Nikolaj Möller
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
58'
Event
Vetle Walle Egeli
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
54'
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Simen Bolkan Nordli
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Sandefjord's goalless draw against Rosenborg underscores a classic case of missed opportunities for the home side, deemed stronger yet unable to breach a stubborn defense. With even possession and a clean first half, the match lacked decisive moments, amplifying the significant deviation from expectations. Both teams demonstrated solidity at the back, but Sandefjord's profligacy cost them maximum points. This result maintains balance in the standings, prompting questions on finishing prowess for future fixtures.

Sandefjord vs Rosenborg preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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