Sandefjord vs Kristiansund Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Komplett Arena Sun, 10 May - 3:00 PM
Eliteserien
Sandefjord Sandefjord
2 Winner 0
Kristiansund Kristiansund
Full Time Sun, 10 May 3:00 PM
Round 8 Regular Season
Nikolaj Möller - 66'
Ruben Alte - 45+5'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Sandefjord secured a 2-0 victory over Kristiansund in a controlled home performance. The hosts took the lead in the first half with a 1-0 scoreline at halftime and added a second goal after the break to seal the win. Sandefjord dominated possession at 56% compared to Kristiansund's 44%, reflecting their status as the stronger team. No red cards were issued, allowing the game to flow without major disruptions. The result demonstrated minimal structural deviation of 2.1% in favor of Sandefjord, staying in line with efficiency expectations. Market expectations aligned perfectly with the outcome, as the home side delivered a straightforward win without needing second-half adjustments. This performance underscores Sandefjord's solid defensive structure and clinical finishing against a resilient Kristiansund side.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sandefjord's 2-0 win showed minimal structural deviation of 2.1%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be assessed without data.
  • Event impact: No key events or adjustments altered match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the scoreline.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Huru Kellerhals

Norway
Fouls / match 0
Yellow cards / match 0
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

K. Mamhassan

2nd Assistant

Norway

D. Nebben

1st Assistant

Norway

A. Al Fahad

4th Official

Norway

League averages

Eliteserien Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 19
Yellow cards / match 2.96
Red cards / match 0.07
Penalties / match 0.23
Sandefjord A. Tegström
A. Tegström
VS
Kristiansund A. Robertsen Skiri
A. Robertsen Skiri
1.78
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aalesund Rank: 42 W
Tromsø Rank: 69 L
Rosenborg Rank: 61 D
Brann Rank: 69 W
KFUM Rank: 57 W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 59 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
HamKam Rank: 59 D
Aalesund Rank: 41 D
Fredrikstad Rank: 62 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 82 L
Brann Rank: 69 W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 2 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sandefjord
97.86%
Draw
1.92%
Away Kristiansund
0.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.01
56.53
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sandefjord
Kristiansund
Power Score
62.01
56.53
League Position
8
9
Global Rank
427
606

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sandefjord — Opponent-weighted form score
Kristiansund — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sandefjord Kristiansund

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sandefjord

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Kristiansund

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sandefjord ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kristiansund
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sandefjord Kristiansund
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sandefjord Kristiansund
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sandefjord
Kristiansund
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sandefjord
vs
Kristiansund
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sandefjord Kristiansund
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sandefjord 0.00
Kristiansund 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sandefjord Kristiansund
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sandefjord 0.00
Kristiansund 0.00
Sandefjord
Kristiansund
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Kristiansund had peak pressure around 80'.
  • Sandefjord started the game with stronger pressure.
Sandefjord Pressure Kristiansund Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Kristiansund reached the top pressure at 80' (64.73).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sandefjord Sandefjord Home
14 matches
Kristiansund Kristiansund Away
Match Record
5
Wins
7
2
Draws
2
7
Losses
5
Goals
26
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
26
+1
Goal Difference
-1

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T14:31:39+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
E. Hadaya
Sweden
30 E. Hadaya
Z. Smajlovic
Sweden
2 Z. Smajlovic
S. Mørk
Norway
6 S. Mørk
X. Lambrix
Belgium
44 X. Lambrix
F. Pedersen
Norway
4 F. Pedersen
M. Melchior
Substitution
Norway
20 M. Melchior
R. Kristensen Alte
Norway
10 R. Kristensen Alte
V. Walle Egeli
Substitution
Norway
3 V. Walle Egeli
E. Patoulidis
Substitution
Belgium
7 E. Patoulidis
N. Moller
Substitution
Sweden
11 N. Moller
E. Sundbö Pettersen
Substitution
Norway
14 E. Sundbö Pettersen
Pitch
A. Sæther
Norway
12 A. Sæther
F. Flex
Denmark
3 F. Flex
D. Ulvestad
Norway
5 D. Ulvestad
J. Júlíusson
Iceland
4 J. Júlíusson
A. Munksgaard
Denmark
13 A. Munksgaard
H. Gikling Bruseth
Substitution
Norway
10 H. Gikling Bruseth
W. Igor
Substitution
Nigeria
20 W. Igor
A. Kurd Rønning
Substitution
Norway
27 A. Kurd Rønning
S. Hestetun Kilen
Substitution
Norway
9 S. Hestetun Kilen
L. Alvheim
Substitution
Norway
19 L. Alvheim
M. Isah Ubandoma
Nigeria
7 M. Isah Ubandoma

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 8 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Komplett Arena
Capacity :
6582
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Mischa Huru Kellerhals
Karwan Mamhassan
Dag Roger Nebben
Abdulhadi Al Fahad

Statistics

Possession
Sandefjord
54%
Kristiansund
46%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
0 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 5
51 Dangerous attacks 42
56 Possession 44
6 Corners 4
9 Free kicks 17
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

7 Throwins 24
7 Successful Dribbles 8
41 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
17 Dribble Attempts 16
9 Goal Kicks 9
2 Assists 0
2 Goal Attempts 2
28 Ball Safe 34
5 Substitutions 5
0 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

81 Attacks 102
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

85 Successful Passes Percentage 81
41 Successful Long Passes 30
56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42
501 Passes 394
73 Long Passes 72
5 Key Passes 8
427 Successful Passes 319

Defensive

26 Tackles 17
56 Duels Won 50
9 Interceptions 7
1 Saves 3

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 4
20 Total Crosses 16

Discipline

17 Fouls 9
4 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Mischa Huru Kellerhals

Starting XI ▼

30
Elias Hadaya
Elias Hadaya Goalkeeper
7.08
2
Zinedin Smajlović
Zinedin Smajlović Defender
7.31
6
Sander Risan Mørk
Sander Risan Mørk Defender
7.17
44
Xander Lambrix
Xander Lambrix Defender
7.04
3
Vetle Walle Egeli
Vetle Walle Egeli Midfielder
6.84
5
Gustav Höjbjerg
Gustav Höjbjerg
Defender90+3'
4
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
Fredrik Carson Pedersen Midfielder
6.67
10
Ruben Alte
Ruben Alte Midfielder
6.74
20
Marcus Melchior
Marcus Melchior Midfielder
6.64
37
Jakob Vester
Jakob Vester
Midfielder82'
7.06
7
Evangelos Patoulidis
Evangelos Patoulidis Attacker
7.37
19
Bendik Berntsen
Bendik Berntsen
Attacker64'
6.73
11
Nikolaj Möller
Nikolaj Möller Attacker
6.65
24
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
Attacker82'
6.62
14
Edvard Sundbø Pettersen
Edvard Sundbø Pettersen Attacker
6.71
8
Robin Dzabic
Robin Dzabic
Midfielder82'
6.56
Referee : Mischa Huru Kellerhals

Starting XI ▼

12
A. Sæther
A. Sæther Goalkeeper
7.13
3
F. Flex
F. Flex Defender
6.77
4
J. Júlíusson
J. Júlíusson Defender
6.9
5
D. Ulvestad
D. Ulvestad Defender
6.9
13
Alexander Munksgaard
Alexander Munksgaard Defender
6.98
10
Heine Gikling Bruseth
Heine Gikling Bruseth Midfielder
6.88
77
H. Magnússon
H. Magnússon
Midfielder89'
6.84
20
W. Igor
W. Igor Midfielder
6.75
8
N. Ødegård
N. Ødegård
Midfielder71'
6.43
27
A. Rønning
A. Rønning Midfielder
6.71
23
Tobias Hammer Svendsen
Tobias Hammer Svendsen
Midfielder71'
6.47
7
M. Ubandoma
M. Ubandoma Attacker
6.38
9
S. Kilen
S. Kilen Attacker
6.87
6
Jesper Isaksen
Jesper Isaksen
Midfielder71'
6.44
19
L. Alvheim
L. Alvheim Attacker
6.99
18
Promise Ikojo Meliga
Promise Ikojo Meliga
Attacker62'
7.29

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Gustav Höjbjerg → Vetle Walle Egeli
10th Substitution
90+3'
89'
Event
H. Magnússon → Heine Gikling Bruseth
9th Substitution
Event
Robin Dzabic → Edvard Sundbø Pettersen
6th Substitution
82'
Event
Jakob Vester → Marcus Melchior
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Sebastian Holm Mathisen → Nikolaj Möller
7th Substitution
82'
79'
Event
J. Júlíusson
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
71'
Event
Jesper Isaksen → S. Kilen
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Tobias Hammer Svendsen → A. Rønning
5th Substitution
71'
Event
N. Ødegård → W. Igor
4th Substitution
Event
Nikolaj Möller
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
66'
Event
Bendik Berntsen → Evangelos Patoulidis
2nd Substitution
64'
62'
Event
Promise Ikojo Meliga → L. Alvheim
1st Substitution
55'
Event
A. Rønning
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Ruben Alte
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
45+5'
Event
Xander Lambrix
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
45+2'

CONCLUSION

Sandefjord's 2-0 triumph over Kristiansund was a textbook display of home dominance, with 56% possession and goals in each half securing three points. As the stronger team, they faced minimal resistance, maintaining efficiency and structural integrity throughout. The market-aligned result, free of red card interruptions or major events, highlights their defensive solidity and ability to convert chances effectively. Kristiansund struggled to create threats despite 44% possession, unable to mount a comeback. This win bolsters Sandefjord's position, showcasing composure under no pressure from disruptions.

Sandefjord vs Kristiansund preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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