Samsunspor vs Konyaspor Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey

Stadyum Samsun Sun, 5 Apr - 11:30 AM

Super Lig

Samsunspor Samsunspor

2 – 2

Konyaspor KON

Full Time Sun, 5 Apr 11:30 AM

Round 28 Regular Season

Carlo Holse - 72', 42'

Blaz Kramer - 78'

Enis Bardhi - 23' (P)

Adamo Nagalo 90'

CONTEXT

The match has officially finished, ending in a tightly contested 2-2 draw between Samsunspor and Konyaspor. The teams were deadlocked at 1-1 at half-time before adding a goal each in the second half. Samsunspor largely controlled the tempo throughout the contest, commanding 63% of the possession compared to Konyaspor's 37%, though expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture to measure exact chance quality. Heading into the game, Samsunspor were viewed as the stronger team, favored with a 44.7% pre-match win probability. A draw sat at 28.9%, while an away victory was priced at 26.4%. Because of this, the stalemate represents a significant deviation from expectations, negatively impacting the favored home side, Samsunspor. Ultimately, the final outcome failed to align with the pre-match market forecast. The flow of the match was notably impacted by a red card shown to Konyaspor, creating a noticeable red card distortion in the second half. Despite this disciplinary disadvantage, the visitors managed to hold on to secure a road point. Overall, the attacking efficiency for both sides remained in line with expectations given the dynamic circumstances of the match.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Samsunspor showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

H. Meler

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Şener

1st Assistant

M. Aldemir

4th Official

G. Baltacı

2nd Assistant

T. Fink

İ. Palut

1.21

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

0.95

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

2 - 2 - 3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Samsunspor

44.69%

Draw

28.87%

Konyaspor

26.44%

Team Power Ranking

70.97

68.22

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Samsunspor

Konyaspor

Power Score

70.97

68.22

League Position

Global Rank

166

228

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Samsunspor — Opponent-weighted form score

Konyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Samsunspor Konyaspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Samsunspor

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Konyaspor

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Samsunspor ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Konyaspor

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

33.81

26.89

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

26.89

33.81

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Samsunspor +0.70 Efficiency Index

Konyaspor -0.70 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Samsunspor

Konyaspor

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Samsunspor ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Konyaspor

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Samsunspor Konyaspor

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Samsunspor Konyaspor

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Samsunspor

Konyaspor

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Samsunspor

Konyaspor

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Samsunspor Konyaspor

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Samsunspor Konyaspor

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Samsunspor

Konyaspor

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Samsunspor Samsunspor Home

7 matches

Konyaspor KON Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-3

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-06T00:01:32+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 O. Kocuk

18 Z. Yavru

24 T. Borevković

4 R. van Drongelen

28 S. Gönül

29 A. Makoumbou

20 Y. Kayan

70 T. Coulibaly

21 C. Holse

11 E. Kılınç

9 M. Mouandilmadji

13 B. Güngördü

18 B. Kutlu

4 A. Demirbağ

39 A. Nagalo

23 Y. Andzouana

16 M. Jevtović

77 M. Ibrahimoglu

70 K. Olaigbe

10 E. Bardhi

9 D. Türüç

40 J. Muleka

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 05, 2026, 11:30 AM

Competition :

2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey · Round 28 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Stadyum Samsun

Capacity :

33919

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Halil Umut Meler

Murat Şener

M. Aldemir

Gökmen Baltacı

Statistics

Possession

Samsunspor

59%

KON

41%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2

3 Big Chances Created 4

18 Shots 9

66 Dangerous attacks 19

63 Possession 37

8 Corners 2

13 Free kicks 11

0 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 5

4 Goal Attempts 3

1 Injuries 1

71 Ball Safe 78

2 Assists 0

13 Dribble Attempts 8

9 Successful Dribbles 6

16 Throwins 17

4 Goal Kicks 7

69 Successful Dribbles Percentage 75

10 Successful Headers 14

1 Penalties 1

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 2

106 Attacks 56

Possession

24 Successful Long Passes 33

69 Successful Long Passes Percentage 59

35 Long Passes 56

490 Passes 296

89 Successful Passes Percentage 76

437 Successful Passes 225

15 Key Passes 5

Defensive

0 Saves 5

5 Tackles 14

37 Duels Won 45

7 Interceptions 7

Build-up

6 Accurate Crosses 3

29 Total Crosses 11

Discipline

12 Fouls 14

3 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Halil Umut Meler

Manager ▼

T. Fink Coach

Starting XI ▼

Okan Kocuk Goalkeeper

Rick van Drongelen Defender

Zeki Yavru Defender

Joe Mendes

Defender73'

Toni Borevković Defender

Soner Gönül Defender

Emre Kılınç Midfielder

Olivier Ntcham

Midfielder85'

Yalçın Kayan Midfielder

Cherif Ndiaye

Attacker85'

Carlo Holse Midfielder

Antoine Makoumbou Midfielder

Tanguy Coulibaly Midfielder

Elayis Tavsan

Attacker73'

Marius Mouandilmadji Attacker

Substitutes ▼

Elayis Tavsan

Attacker73'

Joe Mendes

Defender73'

Olivier Ntcham

Midfielder85'

Cherif Ndiaye

Attacker85'

Bench ▼

Efe Yiğit Üstün Goalkeeper

Efe Berat Törüz Goalkeeper

Ali Badra Diabaté Defender

Enes Albak Defender

Yunus Emre Çift Defender

Referee : Halil Umut Meler