Salzburg vs LASK Linz Match Preview, Stats & Prediction

2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria

Red Bull Arena Fri, 10 Apr - 5:30 PM

Admiral Bundesliga

Salzburg RBS

LASK Linz ASK

Full Time Fri, 10 Apr 5:30 PM

Round 4 Championship Round

Maurits Kjærgaard - 90+1'

Karim Konaté - 28'

Xavier Mbuyamba - 90+5'

Sasa Kalajdzic - 61'

Modou Kéba Cissé - 8'

CONTEXT

The match between Salzburg and LASK Linz is finished, ending with a full-time score of 2-3 to the visitors. The teams went into halftime level at 1-1, but LASK Linz pulled ahead in the second period to claim all three points. Salzburg entered the fixture as the stronger side and were expected to prevail, yet the result represented a significant deviation in favor of LASK Linz. Salzburg controlled the majority of possession at 66 percent to 34 percent, but they could not translate that territorial advantage into a win. No xG data is available to measure chance quality, and no red cards were shown to either team, so the outcome was not shaped by dismissals or major disciplinary events. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations, yet the final result did not align with the pre-match projection. LASK Linz proved more clinical in front of goal and produced a result that contradicted the anticipated outcome.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: LASK Linz showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

C. Ciochirca

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Obritzberger

2nd Assistant

D. Pfister

4th Official

M. Weiss

1st Assistant

D. Beichler

D. Kühbauer

1.5

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.13

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

27 - 12 - 7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Salzburg

4.93%

Draw

90.99%

LASK Linz

4.07%

Team Power Ranking

28.48

27.46

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Salzburg

LASK Linz

Power Score

28.48

27.46

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Salzburg — Opponent-weighted form score

LASK Linz — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Salzburg LASK Linz

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Salzburg

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

LASK Linz

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Salzburg ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy LASK Linz

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

18.86

56.18

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

56.18

18.86

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Salzburg -3.17 Efficiency Index

LASK Linz +3.17 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Salzburg

LASK Linz

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Salzburg ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy LASK Linz

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Salzburg LASK Linz

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Salzburg LASK Linz

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Salzburg

LASK Linz

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Salzburg

LASK Linz

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Salzburg LASK Linz

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Salzburg LASK Linz

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Salzburg

LASK Linz

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

ASK had peak pressure around 65'.
ASK started the game with stronger pressure.

RBS Pressure ASK Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: ASK reached the top pressure at 65' (83.22).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 46 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Salzburg RBS Home

46 matches

LASK Linz ASK Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+47

Goal Difference

-47

Data last updated: 2026-04-11T00:02:16+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-1-2

Match Formation 3-4-1-2

1 A. Schlager

22 S. Lainer

91 A. Chase

44 J. Schuster

3 A. Terzić

27 K. Alajbegović

18 M. Bidstrup

13 F. Krätzig

8 S. Kitano

11 Y. Vertessen

19 K. Konaté

1 L. Jungwirth

16 A. Andrade Cedeño

43 J. Tornich

48 M. Cissé

6 M. Bogarde

30 S. Horvath

4 I. Coulibaly

20 K. Mølgaard Jørgensen

10 S. Kalajdzic

7 S. Adeniran

8 M. Usor

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 10, 2026, 05:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 4 · Championship Round

Stadium :

Red Bull Arena

Capacity :

30188

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Michael Obritzberger

Daniel Pfister

Maximilian Weiss

Chiristian-Petru Ciochirca

Statistics

Possession

RBS

59%

ASK

41%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 3

1 Big Chances Created 4

4 Shots 7

49 Dangerous attacks 42

66 Possession 34

4 Corners 2

12 Free kicks 8

0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

3 Substitutions 4

56 Successful Dribbles Percentage 65

9 Goal Kicks 9

14 Successful Dribbles 13

25 Dribble Attempts 20

17 Throwins 23

1 Assists 3

77 Ball Safe 68

7 Goal Attempts 12

1 Injuries 0

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 2

124 Attacks 86

Possession

553 Passes 283

85 Successful Passes Percentage 69

472 Successful Passes 196

45 Long Passes 53

18 Successful Long Passes 21

7 Key Passes 12

40 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40

Defensive

8 Interceptions 7

11 Tackles 16

2 Saves 2

53 Duels Won 59

Build-up

3 Accurate Crosses 8

14 Total Crosses 12

Discipline

8 Fouls 12

2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Chiristian-Petru Ciochirca

Manager ▼

D. Beichler Coach

Starting XI ▼

Alexander Schlager Goalkeeper

Aleksa Terzic Defender

Maurits Kjærgaard

Midfielder68'

Stefan Lainer Defender

Jannik Schuster Defender

Karim Onisiwo

Attacker86'

Anrie Chase Defender

Sota Kitano Midfielder

Frans Krätzig Midfielder

Mads Bidstrup Midfielder

Kerim Alajbegovic Midfielder

Yorbe Vertessen Attacker

Edmund Baidoo

Attacker68'

Karim Konaté Attacker

Substitutes ▼

Edmund Baidoo

Attacker68'

Maurits Kjærgaard

Midfielder68'

Karim Onisiwo

Attacker86'

Bench ▼

Salko Hamzic Goalkeeper

Tim Drexler Defender

Joane Gadou Defender

Soumaïla Diabaté Midfielder

Moussa Yeo Midfielder

Enrique Aguilar Attacker

Referee : Chiristian-Petru Ciochirca