Salzburg vs Hartberg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Red Bull Arena Sun, 17 May - 12:30 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Salzburg RBS
Versus
Hartberg HTB
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 12:30 PM
Round 10 Championship Round

CONTEXT

Salzburg host Hartberg in Admiral Bundesliga (Championship Round) at Red Bull Arena. Domestically, Salzburg sit 5th in the table while Hartberg are 6th. Power ranking favours Salzburg by 9.8 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Salzburg holds a 9.8-point power advantage with a score of 68.38 over Hartberg's 58.6.
  • Form: Salzburg's form score stands at 19.11, exceeding Hartberg's mark of 12.
  • Squad: Salzburg ranks 5th in domestic standings while Hartberg sits 6th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play details are not available from current metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece evaluation relies on low-confidence proxy data due to absent xG stats.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable, with proxies used for analysis.
  • Market: Salzburg 75.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 16% (Δ+0%) | Hartberg 8.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Salzburg D. Beichler
D. Beichler
VS
Hartberg M. Schmid
M. Schmid
1.28
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.11
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
LASK Linz Rank: 68 L
Sturm Graz Rank: 69 D
SK Rapid Rank: 59 L
Austria Wien Rank: 64 W
Austria Wien Rank: 65 W
LASK Linz Rank: 69 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sturm Graz Rank: 69 L
Austria Wien Rank: 63 L
LASK Linz Rank: 66 L
SK Rapid Rank: 60 W
SK Rapid Rank: 59 D
Sturm Graz Rank: 69 D
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 3 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Salzburg
75.07%
Draw
16.01%
Away Hartberg
8.92%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.38
58.6
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Salzburg
Hartberg
Power Score
68.38
58.6
League Position
5
6
Global Rank
247
542

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Salzburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Hartberg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Salzburg Hartberg

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Salzburg RBS Home
21 matches
Hartberg HTB Away
Match Record
18
Wins
0
3
Draws
3
0
Losses
18
Goals
67
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
67
+53
Goal Difference
-53

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:05:50+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
A. Schlager
1 A. Schlager
S. Lainer
22 S. Lainer
J. Schuster
44 J. Schuster
T. Drexler
21 T. Drexler
F. Krätzig
13 F. Krätzig
S. Kitano
8 S. Kitano
S. Diabaté
5 S. Diabaté
M. Kjaergaard
14 M. Kjaergaard
D. Redzic
24 D. Redzic
K. Onisiwo
9 K. Onisiwo
Y. Vertessen
11 Y. Vertessen
Pitch
T. Hülsmann
40 T. Hülsmann
L. Pazourek
2 L. Pazourek
H. Coulibaly
6 H. Coulibaly
F. Wilfinger
18 F. Wilfinger
K. Schopp
27 K. Schopp
J. Heil
28 J. Heil
T. Kainz
23 T. Kainz
B. Markuš
4 B. Markuš
M. Fillafer
11 M. Fillafer
L. Fridrikas
30 L. Fridrikas
C. Hoffmann
22 C. Hoffmann

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 10 · Championship Round
Stadium :
Red Bull Arena
Capacity :
30188
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Stefan Ebner
Martin Höfler
Gökhan Orhan
Davor Divkovic

Expected Lineup

Referee : Stefan Ebner

Starting XI ▼

1
Alexander Schlager
Alexander Schlager Goalkeeper
6.78
11
Yorbe Vertessen
Yorbe Vertessen Attacker
6.88
24
Damir Redzic
Damir Redzic Attacker
6.68
9
Karim Onisiwo
Karim Onisiwo Centre Forward
6.65
44
Jannik Schuster
Jannik Schuster Right Back
7.07
14
Maurits Kjærgaard
Maurits Kjærgaard Central Midfield
7.12
21
Tim Drexler
Tim Drexler Left Back
6.63
22
Stefan Lainer
Stefan Lainer Right Back
6.94
5
Soumaïla Diabaté
Soumaïla Diabaté Central Midfield
6.79
8
Sota Kitano
Sota Kitano Central Midfield
6.91
13
Frans Krätzig
Frans Krätzig Left Back
6.97
Referee : Stefan Ebner

Starting XI ▼

40
Tom Ritzy Hülsmann
Tom Ritzy Hülsmann Goalkeeper
6.89
30
Lukas Fridrikas
Lukas Fridrikas Attacker
6.66
22
Marco Hoffmann
Marco Hoffmann Attacker
6.6
2
Luca Pazourek
Luca Pazourek Left Back
6.79
4
Benjamin Markus
Benjamin Markus Central Midfield
6.77
6
Habib Coulibaly
Habib Coulibaly Left Back
6.68
11
Maximilian Fillafer
Maximilian Fillafer Central Midfield
6.46
18
Fabian Wilfinger
Fabian Wilfinger Centre Back
7
28
Jürgen Heil
Jürgen Heil Right Back
6.82
23
Tobias Kainz
Tobias Kainz Central Midfield
6.9
27
Konstantin Schopp
Konstantin Schopp Right Back
6.88

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Salzburg holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Salzburg a 9.8-point edge. External projection is Salzburg 75.4%, draw 16%, and Hartberg 8.6%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Salzburg vs Hartberg preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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