Salzburg vs Austria Wien Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria

Red Bull Arena Wed, 22 Apr - 4:30 PM

Admiral Bundesliga

Salzburg RBS

Austria Wien FAK

Full Time Wed, 22 Apr 4:30 PM

Round 6 Championship Round

Samuel Sahin-Radlinger - 76' (Own Goal)

Jannik Schuster - 22'

Yorbe Vertessen - 16'

Reinhold Ranftl - 34'

CONTEXT

Salzburg claimed a solid 3-1 home win against Austria Wien, asserting dominance as the pre-designated stronger team. They surged ahead with a 2-1 halftime lead, showcasing sharp finishing amid balanced play. Holding 53% possession, Salzburg controlled proceedings without facing disruptions from red cards, allowing their quality to shine through. Austria Wien mounted a response but couldn't overturn the deficit, as Salzburg added a crucial second-half goal to extend the advantage. The outcome reflected minimal structural deviation at 2.1%, staying true to expectations with efficiency metrics in line. Market sentiments aligned seamlessly with the result, underscoring a straightforward victory free of major tactical shifts or knockout pressures. This performance cements Salzburg's reliability in delivering on their potential.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Salzburg's 3-1 win featured minimal structural deviation of 2.1%.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match expectations.
xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevented alignment assessment.
Market alignment: Result fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable due to absent data.
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout tie affected the match.
Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no distortion in the game flow.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

H. Lechner

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Kolbitsch

1st Assistant

T. Kaplan

2nd Assistant

F. Jäger

4th Official

D. Beichler

S. Helm

1.53

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.41

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

45 - 21 - 11

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Salzburg

97.86%

Draw

1.92%

Austria Wien

0.22%

Team Power Ranking

24.95

21.25

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Salzburg

Austria Wien

Power Score

24.95

21.25

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Salzburg — Opponent-weighted form score

Austria Wien — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Salzburg Austria Wien

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Salzburg

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Austria Wien

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Salzburg ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Austria Wien

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

26.70

17.23

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

17.23

26.70

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Salzburg +0.79 Efficiency Index

Austria Wien -0.79 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Salzburg

Austria Wien

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Salzburg ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Austria Wien

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Salzburg Austria Wien

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Salzburg Austria Wien

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Salzburg

Austria Wien

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Salzburg

Austria Wien

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Salzburg Austria Wien

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Salzburg Austria Wien

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Salzburg

Austria Wien

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

FAK had peak pressure around 94'.
RBS started the game with stronger pressure.

RBS Pressure FAK Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: FAK reached the top pressure at 94' (81.13).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 77 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Salzburg RBS Home

77 matches

Austria Wien FAK Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

162

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

162

+89

Goal Difference

-89

Data last updated: 2026-04-23T00:02:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1

Match Formation 3-4-2-1

1 A. Schlager

37 T. Trummer

44 J. Schuster

21 T. Drexler

13 F. Krätzig

18 M. Bidstrup

11 Y. Vertessen

8 S. Kitano

14 M. Kjaergaard

27 K. Alajbegović

19 K. Konaté

1 S. Sahin-Radlinger

28 P. Wiesinger

15 A. Dragović

46 J. Handl

17 T. Lee

6 P. Maybach

16 Lee Kang-Hee

26 R. Ranftl

36 V. Markovic

30 M. Fischer

14 K. Boateng

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 22, 2026, 04:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 6 · Championship Round

Stadium :

Red Bull Arena

Capacity :

30188

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Harald Lechner

Maximilian Kolbitsch

Thomas Kaplan

Florian Jäger

Statistics

Possession

RBS

53%

FAK

47%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1

2 Big Chances Created 3

8 Shots 7

43 Dangerous attacks 22

53 Possession 47

5 Corners 0

11 Free kicks 4

2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

1 Hit Woodwork 0

5 Substitutions 5

1 Injuries 0

8 Successful Dribbles 8

29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

6 Goal Kicks 7

32 Throwins 22

28 Dribble Attempts 16

2 Assists 1

11 Goal Attempts 5

96 Ball Safe 79

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 2

130 Attacks 69

Possession

83 Successful Passes Percentage 79

367 Successful Passes 311

444 Passes 394

17 Successful Long Passes 21

48 Long Passes 58

35 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36

9 Key Passes 4

Defensive

47 Duels Won 55

11 Interceptions 10

14 Tackles 30

1 Saves 2

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 4

14 Total Crosses 12

Discipline

4 Fouls 11

2 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Harald Lechner

Manager ▼

D. Beichler Coach

Starting XI ▼

Alexander Schlager Goalkeeper

6.8

Frans Krätzig Defender

7.02

Aleksa Terzic

Defender80'

6.81

Tim Drexler Defender

6.56

Tim Trummer Defender

6.92

Jannik Schuster Defender

6.98

Sota Kitano Midfielder

6.93

Yorbe Vertessen Midfielder

6.88

Enrique Aguilar

Attacker80'

6.57

Maurits Kjærgaard Midfielder

7.13

Soumaïla Diabaté

Midfielder87'

6.77

Mads Bidstrup Midfielder

6.94

Kerim Alajbegovic Midfielder

7.42

Moussa Yeo

Midfielder72'

6.81

Karim Konaté Attacker

6.92

Karim Onisiwo

Attacker73'

6.69

Substitutes ▼

Moussa Yeo

Midfielder72'

6.81

Karim Onisiwo

Attacker73'

6.69

Aleksa Terzic

Defender80'

6.81

Enrique Aguilar

Attacker80'

6.57

Soumaïla Diabaté

Midfielder87'

6.77

Bench ▼

Christian Zawieschitzky Goalkeeper

6.69

Joane Gadou Defender

6.71

Anrie Chase Defender

6.9

Edmund Baidoo Attacker

6.93

Referee : Harald Lechner