Salzburg vs Austria Wien Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Admiral Bundesliga
Austria Wien
FAK
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
Salzburg claimed a solid 3-1 home win against Austria Wien, asserting dominance as the pre-designated stronger team. They surged ahead with a 2-1 halftime lead, showcasing sharp finishing amid balanced play. Holding 53% possession, Salzburg controlled proceedings without facing disruptions from red cards, allowing their quality to shine through. Austria Wien mounted a response but couldn't overturn the deficit, as Salzburg added a crucial second-half goal to extend the advantage. The outcome reflected minimal structural deviation at 2.1%, staying true to expectations with efficiency metrics in line. Market sentiments aligned seamlessly with the result, underscoring a straightforward victory free of major tactical shifts or knockout pressures. This performance cements Salzburg's reliability in delivering on their potential.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Salzburg's 3-1 win featured minimal structural deviation of 2.1%.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match expectations.
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xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevented alignment assessment.
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Market alignment: Result fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
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xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable due to absent data.
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Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout tie affected the match.
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Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no distortion in the game flow.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
H. Lechner
Other match officials
M. Kolbitsch
1st Assistant
T. Kaplan
2nd Assistant
F. Jäger
4th Official
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Salzburg
Austria Wien
Team Power Ranking
i
24.95
21.25
Salzburg
Austria Wien
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Salzburg
Austria Wien
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Salzburg
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency









Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)








Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
















Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.




























PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- FAK had peak pressure around 94'.
- RBS started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 77 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
















Data last updated: 2026-04-23T00:02:19+00:00
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General Information
Next Match


Salzburg
vs
SK Rapid
League: Admiral Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 12:30 PM
Venue: Allianz Stadion


Austria Wien
vs
Sturm Graz
League: Admiral Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 3:00 PM
Venue: Merkur Arena
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


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Manager ▼


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Events
CONCLUSION
Salzburg vs Austria Wien preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
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