Rubin Kazan vs CSKA Moskva Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia

Ak Bars Arena Sat, 25 Apr - 4:30 PM

Premier League

Rubin Kazan RKA

0 – 0

CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva

Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 4:30 PM

Round 27 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Rubin Kazan welcomed CSKA Moskva to a match that concluded in a goalless 0-0 draw. The home team, deemed the stronger side, managed 47% possession compared to CSKA's 53%. The first half mirrored the final scoreline at 0-0, with both teams evenly matched at halftime. No goals materialized despite opportunities, underscoring robust defensive displays. Rubin Kazan faced a significant structural deviation of 100%, deviating from expectations as the favored team. Efficiency metrics for both squads stayed in line with typical performances. The outcome proved market-aligned, reflecting pre-match assessments. Lacking xG data prevents detailed chance quality analysis, but the stalemate suggests balanced threats. No red cards or major events altered the game's structure, allowing a fair contest throughout 90 minutes.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Rubin Kazan recorded a significant structural deviation of 100% as the stronger team in a 0-0 draw.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency for both teams remained in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be evaluated due to unavailable xG data.
Market alignment: The 0-0 draw aligned with pre-match market expectations.
xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without recorded xG values.
Event impact: No notable events influenced the match dynamics.
Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion in the game flow.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

R. Shafeev

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

F. Cebrián

F. Celestini

1.43

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.43

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

12 - 11 - 20

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Rubin Kazan

Draw

CSKA Moskva

Team Power Ranking

28.86

23.09

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Rubin Kazan

CSKA Moskva

Power Score

28.86

23.09

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Rubin Kazan — Opponent-weighted form score

CSKA Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rubin Kazan CSKA Moskva

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Rubin Kazan

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

CSKA Moskva

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rubin Kazan ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy CSKA Moskva

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

43.62

40.57

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

40.57

43.62

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Rubin Kazan +0.35 Efficiency Index

CSKA Moskva -0.35 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Rubin Kazan

CSKA Moskva

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rubin Kazan ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy CSKA Moskva

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Rubin Kazan CSKA Moskva

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Rubin Kazan CSKA Moskva

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Rubin Kazan

CSKA Moskva

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Rubin Kazan

CSKA Moskva

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Rubin Kazan CSKA Moskva

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Rubin Kazan CSKA Moskva

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Rubin Kazan

CSKA Moskva

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

RKA had peak pressure around 17'.
RKA started the game with stronger pressure.

RKA Pressure CSKA Moskva Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: RKA reached the top pressure at 17' (94.02).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 43 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rubin Kazan RKA Home

43 matches

CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-23

Goal Difference

+23

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:06:59+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

38 E. Staver

98 N. Lobov

5 I. Vujačić

2 E. Teslenko

12 A. Arroyo Córdoba

22 V. Hodža

7 I. Saavedra Pino

51 I. Rozhkov

43 J. Siwe

10 M. Daku

11 N. Gripshi

49 V. Torop

27 M. Barbosa

79 K. Danilov

4 J. Da Silva Marcelino

3 D. Krugovoi

6 D. Barinov

10 I. Oblyakov

20 M. Popović

7 M. Alves Nascimento

37 H. Fabiano do Carmo

11 T. Musaev

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 25, 2026, 04:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 27 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Ak Bars Arena

Capacity :

45105

Attendance :

25181

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Rafael Shafeev

Statistics

Possession

RKA

48%

CSKA Moskva

52%

Top Statistics

1 Big Chances Created 0

6 Shots 12

50 Dangerous attacks 50

47 Possession 53

5 Corners 4

12 Free kicks 16

3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 17

12 Throwins 20

5 Successful Dribbles 2

9 Goal Kicks 9

1 Injuries 1

18 Successful Headers 20

13 Dribble Attempts 12

90 Ball Safe 90

5 Substitutions 4

9 Goal Attempts 14

Attacking

97 Attacks 107

1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

410 Passes 477

78 Successful Passes Percentage 84

58 Long Passes 42

319 Successful Passes 402

48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 48

28 Successful Long Passes 20

Defensive

8 Saves 4

17 Tackles 13

9 Interceptions 10

51 Duels Won 48

Build-up

7 Accurate Crosses 3

19 Total Crosses 13

Discipline

1 Offsides 2

15 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Rafael Shafeev

Manager ▼

F. Cebrián Coach

Starting XI ▼

Evgeniy Staver Goalkeeper

6.82

Egor Teslenko Defender

6.91

Igor Vujacic Defender

6.83

Nikita Lobov Defender

6.8

Denil Maldonado

Defender46'

6.75

Ignacio Saavedra Midfielder

6.82

Anderson Arroyo Midfielder

6.9

Dmitriy Kabutov

Defender80'

6.76

Veldin Hodza Midfielder

6.74

Ilya Rozhkov Midfielder

6.71

Konstantin Nizhegorodov

Defender86'

6.73

Mirlind Daku Attacker

6.93

Nazmi Gripshi Attacker

7.03

Ruslan Bezrukov

Defender64'

6.65

Jacques Siwe Attacker

6.76

Dardan Shabanhaxhaj

Attacker64'

6.86

Substitutes ▼

Denil Maldonado

Defender46'

6.75

Ruslan Bezrukov

Defender64'

6.65

Dardan Shabanhaxhaj

Attacker64'

6.86

Dmitriy Kabutov

Defender80'

6.76

Konstantin Nizhegorodov

Defender86'

6.73

Bench ▼

Artur Nigmatullin Goalkeeper

Aleksey Gritsaenko Defender

6.78

Daler Kuzyaev Midfielder

6.69

Oleg Ivanov Midfielder

6.66

Aleksandr Zotov Midfielder

6.52

Daniil Kuznetsov Midfielder

6.58

Daniil Motorin Midfielder

6.28

Referee : Rafael Shafeev