Rubin Kazan vs Akron Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Ak Bars Arena Sat, 18 Apr - 2:00 PM
Premier League
Rubin Kazan RKA
1 – 1
Akron Akron
Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 2:00 PM
Round 25 Regular Season
Nikita Lobov - 48'
Goal
|
Goal
Artem Dzyuba - 62'
|
Red Card Marat Bokoev 67'

CONTEXT

Rubin Kazan welcomed Akron to a match that concluded in a tense 1-1 draw. The home team asserted control with 62% possession against Akron's 38%, yet struggled to convert chances into goals. The first half ended goalless, maintaining parity at halftime. Tension escalated in the second half when Akron received a red card, leaving them with 10 players and altering the game's dynamics significantly. Despite being the stronger side, Rubin Kazan scored just once, matched by Akron's resilient equalizer. This outcome marked a significant structural deviation for the home team, with efficiency shifts remaining in line with patterns. The red card introduced clear distortion, influencing second-half adjustments and preventing a more decisive result.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Rubin Kazan recorded significant structural deviation at 100% leading to the draw.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable from data.
  • Event impact: Akron's red card created substantial event impact on match flow.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion affected second-half proceedings.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

E. Kukulyak

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Belokur

2nd Assistant

E. Galimov

4th Official

D. Mosyakin

1st Assistant

Rubin Kazan F. Cebrián
F. Cebrián
VS
Akron Z. Tedeev
Z. Tedeev
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.08
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Orenburg Rank: D
Sochi Rank: W
Krylya Sovetov Rank: D
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: W
Krasnodar Rank: W
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Moskva Rank: L
CSKA Moskva Rank: L
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: L
Akhmat Grozny Rank: D
Spartak Moskva Rank: L
Orenburg Rank: L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rubin Kazan
0%
Draw
0%
Away Akron
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.88
14.05
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rubin Kazan
Akron
Power Score
28.88
14.05
League Position
8
11
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rubin Kazan — Opponent-weighted form score
Akron — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rubin Kazan Akron

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Rubin Kazan

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Akron

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rubin Kazan ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Akron
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.05
17.76
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
17.76
31.05
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Rubin Kazan +1.53 Efficiency Index
vs
Akron -1.53 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Rubin Kazan
Akron
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rubin Kazan ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Akron
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Rubin Kazan Akron
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Rubin Kazan Akron
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Rubin Kazan
Akron
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Rubin Kazan
vs
Akron
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Rubin Kazan Akron
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Rubin Kazan 0.25
Akron 0.14
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Rubin Kazan Akron
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Rubin Kazan 0.03
Akron 0.02
Rubin Kazan
Akron
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • RKA had peak pressure around 98'.
  • Akron started the game with stronger pressure.
RKA Pressure Akron Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: RKA reached the top pressure at 98' (90.68).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rubin Kazan RKA Home
3 matches
Akron Akron Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
2
Goals
7
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
7
+4
Goal Difference
-4

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:04:09+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
E. Staver
Russia
38 E. Staver
A. Arroyo Córdoba
Colombia
12 A. Arroyo Córdoba
N. Lobov
Substitution
Russia
98 N. Lobov
I. Vujačić
Montenegro
5 I. Vujačić
E. Teslenko
Russia
2 E. Teslenko
I. Rozhkov
Substitution
Russia
51 I. Rozhkov
N. Gripshi
Albania
11 N. Gripshi
V. Hodža
Croatia
22 V. Hodža
I. Saavedra Pino
Substitution
Chile
7 I. Saavedra Pino
D. Shabanhaxhaj
Austria
99 D. Shabanhaxhaj
M. Daku
Albania
10 M. Daku
Pitch
V. Gudiev
Russia
88 V. Gudiev
R. Fernández Toro
Bolivia
21 R. Fernández Toro
M. Bokoev
Russia
19 M. Bokoev
I. Nedelcearu
Romania
24 I. Nedelcearu
D. Pestryakov
Russia
71 D. Pestryakov
A. Đurasović
Serbia
5 A. Đurasović
M. Boldyrev
Substitution
Russia
91 M. Boldyrev
M. Kuzmin
Substitution
Russia
6 M. Kuzmin
S. Loncar
Montenegro
15 S. Loncar
G. Benchimol Tavares
Substitution
Cape Verde
11 G. Benchimol Tavares
A. Dzyuba
Russia
22 A. Dzyuba

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 18, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 25 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Ak Bars Arena
Capacity :
45105
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ , Clear
Referees :
Maksim Belokur
Evgeni Galimov
Dmitri Mosyakin
Evgeny Kukulyak

Statistics

Possession
RKA
58%
Akron
42%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 2
65 Dangerous attacks 35
62 Possession 38
2 Corners 3
12 Free kicks 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

18 Throwins 18
4 Successful Dribbles 6
36 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
7 Goal Kicks 9
11 Dribble Attempts 15
15 Successful Headers 19
1 Hit Woodwork 0
1 Assists 0
15 Goal Attempts 4
3 Substitutions 3
71 Ball Safe 87
1 Injuries 2

Attacking

91 Attacks 89

Possession

413 Passes 258
326 Successful Passes 175
59 Long Passes 66
79 Successful Passes Percentage 68
30 Successful Long Passes 26
51 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39

Defensive

15 Tackles 12
3 Interceptions 6
46 Duels Won 47
1 Saves 5

Build-up

9 Accurate Crosses 1
26 Total Crosses 13

Discipline

3 Offsides 0
11 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Evgeny Kukulyak

Starting XI ▼

38
Evgeniy Staver
Evgeniy Staver Goalkeeper
6.82
2
Egor Teslenko
Egor Teslenko Defender
6.92
5
Igor Vujacic
Igor Vujacic Defender
6.82
12
Anderson Arroyo
Anderson Arroyo Defender
6.88
51
Ilya Rozhkov
Ilya Rozhkov Defender
6.7
23
Ruslan Bezrukov
Ruslan Bezrukov
Defender78'
6.62
98
Nikita Lobov
Nikita Lobov Defender
6.59
44
Daniil Kuznetsov
Daniil Kuznetsov
Midfielder83'
6.62
7
Ignacio Saavedra
Ignacio Saavedra Midfielder
6.82
43
Jacques Siwe
Jacques Siwe
Attacker78'
6.74
11
Nazmi Gripshi
Nazmi Gripshi Midfielder
6.93
22
Veldin Hodza
Veldin Hodza Midfielder
6.71
99
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj Midfielder
6.86
10
Mirlind Daku
Mirlind Daku Attacker
6.9
Referee : Evgeny Kukulyak

Starting XI ▼

88
Vitaliy Gudiev
Vitaliy Gudiev Goalkeeper
7.05
19
Marat Bokoev
Marat Bokoev Defender
6.99
21
Roberto Fernández
Roberto Fernández Defender
6.73
24
Ionuț Nedelcearu
Ionuț Nedelcearu Defender
6.52
71
Dmitriy Pestryakov
Dmitriy Pestryakov Defender
6.86
5
Aleksa Djurasovic
Aleksa Djurasovic Midfielder
6.6
6
Maksim Kuzmin
Maksim Kuzmin Midfielder
6.64
26
Rodrigo Escoval
Rodrigo Escoval
Defender68'
6.36
11
Benchimol
Benchimol Midfielder
6.83
80
Khetag Khosonov
Khetag Khosonov
Midfielder78'
6.67
15
Stefan Loncar
Stefan Loncar Midfielder
6.74
91
Maksim Boldyrev
Maksim Boldyrev Midfielder
6.85
35
Ifet Djakovac
Ifet Djakovac
Midfielder78'
6.64
22
Artem Dzyuba
Artem Dzyuba Attacker
7.26

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Nazmi Gripshi
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
90+5'
90+5'
Event
Roberto Fernández
Time wasting / 5th Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Vitaliy Gudiev
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Daniil Kuznetsov → Nikita Lobov
6th Substitution
83'
Event
Ruslan Bezrukov → Ilya Rozhkov
2nd Substitution
78'
Event
Jacques Siwe → Ignacio Saavedra
5th Substitution
78'
78'
Event
Ifet Djakovac → Maksim Boldyrev
3rd Substitution
78'
Event
Khetag Khosonov → Benchimol
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Rodrigo Escoval → Maksim Kuzmin
1st Substitution
67'
Event
Marat Bokoev
Foul / 1st Redcard
66'
Event
Marat Bokoev
Card adjusted
62'
Event
Artem Dzyuba
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Nikita Lobov
Header / 1st Goal
48'
1ST-HALF
45+3'
Event
Aleksandr Vasyutin
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
45+1'
Event
Ionuț Nedelcearu
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Mirlind Daku
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
45'
Event
Egor Teslenko
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
38'
Event
Nazmi Gripshi
Goal disallowed
26'

CONCLUSION

Rubin Kazan's draw against 10-man Akron underscores the red card's profound distortion, enabling the visitors to secure a point despite lower possession and inferiority. The home team's dominance failed to yield victory, reflecting significant structural deviation while efficiency held steady. Market alignment held true, though absent xG data limits deeper performance insights. This result highlights resilience in adversity, with second-half adjustments centered on the sending-off, ultimately balancing the scales in a hard-fought stalemate.

Rubin Kazan vs Akron preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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