Rosenborg vs Vålerenga Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2026 Eliteserien, Norway

Lerkendal Stadion Sun, 22 Mar - 1:30 PM

Eliteserien

Rosenborg Rosenborg

Vålerenga Vålerenga

Full Time Sun, 22 Mar 1:30 PM

Round 2 Regular Season

Ivan Näsberg - 63'

Carl Lange - 58'

CONTEXT

The match between Rosenborg and Vålerenga is finished, with the full-time score 0-2 to the visitors. The sides were level at 0-0 at half-time, but Vålerenga scored twice after the interval to claim victory. Pre-match expectations pointed toward Rosenborg, yet Vålerenga produced a significant deviation from those forecasts by winning as the away side. The outcome did not align with the pre-match projection. Rosenborg dominated possession at 61 percent to 39 percent and created more chances, posting 1.84 xG against Vålerenga’s 0.98 xG. Nevertheless the visitors proved far more clinical in front of goal. The result was not consistent with the xG data, which suggested Rosenborg should have taken something from the contest. No red cards were shown to alter the flow of play. The efficiency shift was in line with the stronger team prevailing on the day.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Vålerenga showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was contrary to expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Diverging from xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

S. Kringstad

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

?. Simon Ytterland

1st Assistant

J. Alnes Dyb

2nd Assistant

P. Grov Heiberg

4th Official

A. Johansson

G. Bakke

0.8

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.44

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

24 - 11 - 5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Rosenborg

42.88%

Draw

27.16%

Vålerenga

29.96%

Team Power Ranking

60.45

61.19

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Rosenborg

Vålerenga

Power Score

60.45

61.19

League Position

Global Rank

448

427

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Rosenborg — Opponent-weighted form score

Vålerenga — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rosenborg Vålerenga

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Rosenborg

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Vålerenga

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rosenborg ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Vålerenga

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

25.82

28.97

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

28.97

25.82

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Rosenborg -0.32 Efficiency Index

Vålerenga +0.32 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Rosenborg

Vålerenga

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rosenborg

Vålerenga

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Rosenborg Vålerenga

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Rosenborg Vålerenga

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

Rosenborg

Vålerenga

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Rosenborg

Vålerenga

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Rosenborg Vålerenga

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Rosenborg Vålerenga

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Rosenborg

Vålerenga

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

Rosenborg had peak pressure around 17'.
Vålerenga started the game with stronger pressure.

Rosenborg Pressure Vålerenga Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: Rosenborg reached the top pressure at 17' (63.55).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 40 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rosenborg Rosenborg Home

40 matches

Vålerenga Vålerenga Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+42

Goal Difference

-42

Data last updated: 2026-04-10T09:24:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2

1 L. Wahlstedt

16 A. Fonn Witry

4 M. Ceide

5 H. Singsdal Volden

22 (C) J. Svensson

18 A. Chiakha

17 M. Bomholt

8 I. Fossum

35 E. Ceide

9 D. Islamovic

25 J. Bakke

1 O. Hedvall

2 K. Finnsson

37 I. Näsberg

4 A. Olsen

3 H. Sjåtil

11 E. Sørensen

10 C. Lange

28 M. Westergaard

26 F. Thorvaldsen

17 M. Grundetjern

8 (C) H. Bjørdal

General Information

Date & Time :

Mar 22, 2026, 01:30 PM

Competition :

2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 2 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Lerkendal Stadion

Capacity :

21421

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ , Clear

Referees :

Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Øystein Simon Ytterland

Jim André Alnes Dyb

Per Oscar Grov Heiberg

Statistics

Possession

Rosenborg

59%

Vålerenga

41%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2

0 Big Chances Created 1

12 Shots 10

75 Dangerous attacks 26

61 Possession 39

16 Corners 6

19 Free kicks 9

1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

0 Assists 1

2 Substitutions 5

73 Ball Safe 62

1 Hit Woodwork 0

27 Dribble Attempts 15

16 Throwins 21

6 Goal Kicks 9

6 Successful Dribbles 6

5 Goal Attempts 6

22 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40

Attacking

1 Counter Attacks 1

118 Attacks 55

0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

84 Successful Passes Percentage 73

429 Successful Passes 246

513 Passes 338

4 Key Passes 6

15 Successful Long Passes 20

36 Long Passes 53

42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38

Defensive

4 Saves 1

16 Tackles 26

10 Interceptions 12

Build-up

6 Accurate Crosses 3

29 Total Crosses 12

Discipline

9 Fouls 20

0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Manager ▼

A. Johansson Coach

Starting XI ▼

Leopold Wahlstedt Goalkeeper

6.88

Mikkel Konradsen Ceide Defender

6.45

Håkon Volden Defender

6.79

Aslak Witry Defender

6.96

Jonas Svensson (C) Defender

6.74

Iver Fossum Midfielder

6.48

Ole Selnæs

Midfielder72'

6.71

Mads Bomholt Midfielder

7.15

Amin Chiakha Midfielder

6.26

Emil Konradsen Ceide Midfielder

6.48

Dino Islamovic Attacker

6.71

Johan Johanessen Bakke Attacker

6.23

Noah Sahsah

Attacker65'

6.8

Substitutes ▼

Noah Sahsah

Attacker65'

6.8

Ole Selnæs

Midfielder72'

6.71

Bench ▼

Rasmus Sandberg Goalkeeper

Haakon Ingdal Sørum Goalkeeper

Håkon Røsten Defender

Tobias Solheim Dahl Defender

Jonas Mortensen Defender

Adrian Pereira Defender

David Duris Attacker

Referee : Sigurd Smehus Kringstad