Rosenborg vs Brann Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2026 Eliteserien, Norway

Lerkendal Stadion Sat, 25 Apr - 4:00 PM

Eliteserien

Rosenborg Rosenborg

1 – 1

Brann SKB

Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 4:00 PM

Round 6 Regular Season

Iver Fossum - 13'

Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson - 19'

CONTEXT

Rosenborg and Brann delivered a gripping 1-1 draw in the Eliteserien, with the home side Rosenborg viewed as the stronger team yet unable to secure victory. The first half exploded into action early, as both teams scored once to level at 1-1 by halftime, setting a frenetic tone. Brann controlled possession at 59% compared to Rosenborg's 41%, pressing high and creating chances, but Rosenborg's defensive resilience shone through. The second half saw sustained pressure from the visitors, yet neither side could break the deadlock, reflecting balanced quality. This result highlights Rosenborg's grit despite lower ball control, while Brann's dominance yielded no extra reward. No red cards disrupted play, allowing continuous end-to-end football. The moderate structural deviation of 8.6% tilted toward Rosenborg, aligning with pre-match assessments. Efficiency stayed in line, underscoring a fair outcome.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Match exhibited moderate 8.6% structural deviation favoring Rosenborg.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations throughout.
xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing alignment assessment.
Market alignment: Outcome aligned fully with pre-match market expectations.
xG expectations: xG expectations unmeasurable due to absent data.
Event impact: No significant events like adjustments altered the flow.
Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to match dynamics.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

R. Saggi

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

O. Skogsrud Haukåsen

1st Assistant

A. Jaeger

2nd Assistant

P. Grov Heiberg

4th Official

A. Johansson

F. Alexandersson

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

0.91

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

16 - 9 - 13

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Rosenborg

4.09%

Draw

91.42%

Brann

4.48%

Team Power Ranking

18.52

18.1

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Rosenborg

Brann

Power Score

18.52

18.1

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Rosenborg — Opponent-weighted form score

Brann — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rosenborg Brann

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Rosenborg

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Brann

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rosenborg ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Brann

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

24.76

22.88

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

22.88

24.76

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Rosenborg +0.19 Efficiency Index

Brann -0.19 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Rosenborg

Brann

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rosenborg ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Brann

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Rosenborg Brann

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Rosenborg Brann

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Rosenborg

Brann

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Rosenborg

Brann

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Rosenborg Brann

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Rosenborg Brann

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Rosenborg

Brann

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

Rosenborg had peak pressure around 90'.
SKB started the game with stronger pressure.

Rosenborg Pressure SKB Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: Rosenborg reached the top pressure at 90' (76.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 38 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rosenborg Rosenborg Home

38 matches

Brann SKB Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+13

Goal Difference

-13

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:06:16+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2

Match Formation 4-3-3

1 L. Wahlstedt

15 J. Søgaard Mortensen

2 H. Røsten

21 T. Nemčík

3 T. Solheim Dahl

7 S. Nordli

10 O. Selnæs

8 I. Fossum

35 E. Ceide

17 M. Bomholt

18 A. Chiakha

12 S. Nilsen

20 V. Winger Dragsnes

23 T. Pedersen

3 F. Pallesen Knudsen

21 D. De Roeve

8 F. Horn Myhre

18 J. Sørensen

10 K. Ingason

7 J. Thorsteinsson

29 N. Holm

14 U. Mathisen

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 25, 2026, 04:00 PM

Competition :

2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 6 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Lerkendal Stadion

Capacity :

21421

Attendance :

12378

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Rohit Saggi

Ole Andreas Skogsrud Haukåsen

Aleksander Jaeger

Per Oscar Grov Heiberg

Statistics

Possession

Rosenborg

43%

SKB

57%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1

1 Big Chances Created 0

2 Shots 4

23 Dangerous attacks 30

41 Possession 59

7 Corners 11

17 Free kicks 11

1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

3 Successful Dribbles 7

4 Goal Attempts 8

86 Ball Safe 63

5 Substitutions 4

0 Hit Woodwork 1

15 Dribble Attempts 15

20 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47

29 Throwins 20

8 Goal Kicks 6

Attacking

2 Counter Attacks 5

48 Attacks 59

Possession

7 Key Passes 7

60 Long Passes 60

29 Successful Long Passes 24

48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40

228 Successful Passes 377

310 Passes 454

74 Successful Passes Percentage 83

Defensive

8 Interceptions 6

3 Saves 1

15 Tackles 20

47 Duels Won 52

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 8

16 Total Crosses 29

Discipline

11 Fouls 17

2 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Rohit Saggi

Manager ▼

A. Johansson Coach

Starting XI ▼

Leopold Wahlstedt Goalkeeper

6.98

Håkon Røsten Defender

7.03

Tobias Solheim Dahl Defender

6.75

Jonas Mortensen Defender

7.36

Aslak Witry

Defender67'

6.63

Tomas Nemcik Defender

6.88

Simen Bolkan Nordli Midfielder

6.92

Adrian Pereira

Defender66'

6.42

Iver Fossum Midfielder

6.9

Johan Johanessen Bakke

Midfielder66'

6.31

Ole Selnæs Midfielder

7.13

Emil Konradsen Ceide Midfielder

6.67

Noah Sahsah

Attacker67'

6.66

Mads Bomholt Attacker

6.89

Dino Islamovic

Attacker89'

6.45

Amin Chiakha Attacker

6.51

Substitutes ▼

Johan Johanessen Bakke

Midfielder66'

6.31

Adrian Pereira

Defender66'

6.42

Noah Sahsah

Attacker67'

6.66

Aslak Witry

Defender67'

6.63

Dino Islamovic

Attacker89'

6.45

Bench ▼

Rasmus Sandberg Goalkeeper

Håkon Volden Defender

6.84

Santeri Väänänen Midfielder

6.6

Jesper Reitan-Sunde Attacker

6.89

Referee : Rohit Saggi