Rizespor vs Samsunspor Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey

Çaykur Didi Stadyumu Thu, 9 Apr - 5:00 PM

Super Lig

Rizespor Rizespor

Samsunspor Samsunspor

Full Time Thu, 9 Apr 5:00 PM

Round 27 Regular Season

Loide Augusto - 50', 39'

Qazim Laci - 45+3'

Attila Mocsi - 43'

Cherif Ndiaye - 90+3'

CONTEXT

In this finished game, Rizespor defeated Samsunspor 4-1 after establishing a 3-0 halftime lead. Samsunspor scored once in the second half but finished with two red cards and no response to the home side's clinical finishing. Possession was close, with Samsunspor at 54 percent and Rizespor at 46 percent. Samsunspor entered as the stronger team yet could not overcome the numerical disadvantage and early deficit.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Rizespor showed minimal structural deviation despite Samsunspor being the stronger team.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations during the match.
xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable data.
Market alignment: The result aligned with pre-match evaluations.
xG expectations: xG expectations could not be measured due to missing data.
Event impact: Rizespor built a 3-0 halftime lead en route to a 4-1 victory.
Red card distortion: Two red cards to Samsunspor distorted the second half dynamics.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

A. Karaoğlan

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

E. Akbulut

1st Assistant

S. Güz

2nd Assistant

A. Demirbaş

4th Official

R. Uçar

T. Fink

1.1

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.21

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

2 - 2 - 3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Rizespor

97.44%

Draw

1.91%

Samsunspor

0.65%

Team Power Ranking

68.34

69.5

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Rizespor

Samsunspor

Power Score

68.34

69.5

League Position

Global Rank

220

196

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Rizespor — Opponent-weighted form score

Samsunspor — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rizespor Samsunspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Rizespor

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Samsunspor

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rizespor ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Samsunspor

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

32.61

31.39

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

31.39

32.61

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Rizespor +0.12 Efficiency Index

Samsunspor -0.12 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Rizespor

Samsunspor

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rizespor ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Samsunspor

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Rizespor Samsunspor

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Rizespor Samsunspor

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Rizespor

Samsunspor

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Rizespor

Samsunspor

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Rizespor Samsunspor

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Rizespor Samsunspor

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Rizespor

Samsunspor

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rizespor Rizespor Home

7 matches

Samsunspor Samsunspor Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-3

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-10T00:00:52+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

75 Y. Fofana

54 M. Pala

4 A. Mocsi

27 M. Sagnan

5 C. Højer Nielsen

14 T. Antalyalı

50 L. António Augusto

10 I. Olawoyin

20 Q. Laçi

7 V. Mihăilă

9 A. Sowe

1 O. Kocuk

17 L. Tómasson

4 R. van Drongelen

24 T. Borevković

2 J. Wooding Mendes

10 J. Ntcham

29 A. Makoumbou

7 E. Tavsan

21 C. Holse

70 T. Coulibaly

19 P. Ndiaye

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 09, 2026, 05:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey · Round 27 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Çaykur Didi Stadyumu

Capacity :

15558

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ , Clear

Referees :

Atilla Karaoğlan

Erkan Akbulut

Suat Güz

Ayberk Demirbaş

Statistics

Possession

Rizespor

49%

Samsunspor

51%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1

4 Big Chances Created 2

4 Shots 5

40 Dangerous attacks 39

46 Possession 54

5 Corners 11

16 Free kicks 16

2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

23 Throwins 18

60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45

8 Goal Kicks 10

20 Dribble Attempts 11

12 Successful Dribbles 5

6 Successful Headers 8

4 Assists 0

77 Ball Safe 62

8 Goal Attempts 7

1 Hit Woodwork 0

5 Substitutions 3

Attacking

95 Attacks 80

1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

84 Successful Passes Percentage 87

59 Long Passes 34

32 Successful Long Passes 16

54 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47

294 Successful Passes 352

349 Passes 406

11 Key Passes 11

Defensive

8 Interceptions 8

9 Tackles 19

42 Duels Won 48

3 Saves 1

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 23

1 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

16 Fouls 16

0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Atilla Karaoğlan

Manager ▼

R. Uçar Coach

Starting XI ▼

Yahia Fofana Goalkeeper

Attila Mocsi Defender

Casper Højer Defender

Furkan Orak

Defender79'

Modibo Sagnan Defender

Emir Ortakaya

Defender63'

Mithat Pala Defender

Valentin Mihăilă Midfielder

Ibrahim Olawoyin Midfielder

T. Antalyalı Midfielder

Qazim Laci Midfielder

Muhamed Buljubasic

Midfielder72'

Loide Augusto Midfielder

Taha Şahin

Defender72'

Ali Sowe Attacker

Frantzdy Pierrot

Attacker79'

Substitutes ▼

Emir Ortakaya

Defender63'

Muhamed Buljubasic

Midfielder72'

Taha Şahin

Defender72'

Furkan Orak

Defender79'

Frantzdy Pierrot

Attacker79'

Bench ▼

Erdem Canpolat Goalkeeper

Efe Doğan Goalkeeper

Giannis Papanikolaou Midfielder

Halil Dervişoğlu Attacker

Emrecan Bulut Attacker

Referee : Atilla Karaoğlan