Rizespor vs Konyaspor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Çaykur Didi Stadyumu Fri, 1 May - 2:00 PM
Super Lig
Rizespor Rizespor
3 Winner 2
Konyaspor KON
Full Time Fri, 1 May 2:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
Loide Augusto - 65'
Adedire Mebude - 58'
Qazim Laci - 18'
Goal
|
Goal
Yhoan Andzouana - 89'
Jin-ho Jo - 16'

CONTEXT

Rizespor clinched a dramatic 3-2 home victory against Konyaspor in the Super Lig, overcoming pre-match perceptions of Konyaspor as the stronger team. The first half ended level at 1-1, with both sides trading blows evenly. Rizespor held 55% possession throughout, edging out Konyaspor's 45%, which translated into sustained pressure. The game remained free of red cards, allowing uninterrupted flow and high intensity. A significant structural deviation of 44.6% favored Rizespor, defying expectations yet aligning with market views. Efficiency stayed in line with norms, as the home side capitalized on key moments in the second half to secure the points. This result underscores Rizespor's tactical discipline and finishing prowess against a resilient opponent.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Rizespor recorded a significant 44.6% structural deviation from pre-match expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed as outcome matched pre-match structure.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
  • Event impact: No event impacts from second-half adjustments or other incidents.
  • Red card distortion: No red card distortion occurred with zero dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

?. Turtay

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

O. Duran

2nd Assistant

K. Elmas

1st Assistant

D. Tonusluoğlu

4th Official

Rizespor R. Uçar
R. Uçar
VS
Konyaspor İ. Palut
İ. Palut
1.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.24
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kayserispor Rank: 61 L
Fenerbahçe Rank: 84 D
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 66 W
Samsunspor Rank: 71 W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 62 L
Trabzonspor Rank: 79 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Trabzonspor Rank: 80 W
Antalyaspor Rank: 60 W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 62 W
Samsunspor Rank: 72 D
Gençlerbirliği Rank: 66 W
Kocaelispor Rank: 65 W
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 11 - 9
9

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rizespor
55.41%
Draw
23.85%
Away Konyaspor
20.73%

Movement

Changes since opening
Rizespor
-39.82%
Draw
+19.27%
Konyaspor
+20.54%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.16
70.14
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rizespor
Konyaspor
Power Score
69.16
70.14
League Position
8
9
Global Rank
218
195

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rizespor — Opponent-weighted form score
Konyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rizespor Konyaspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Rizespor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Konyaspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rizespor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Konyaspor
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
30.45
27.11
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.11
30.45
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Rizespor +0.34 Efficiency Index
vs
Konyaspor -0.34 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Rizespor
Konyaspor
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rizespor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Konyaspor
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Rizespor Konyaspor
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Rizespor Konyaspor
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Rizespor
Konyaspor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Rizespor
vs
Konyaspor
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Rizespor Konyaspor
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Rizespor 0.43
Konyaspor 0.46
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Rizespor Konyaspor
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Rizespor 0.08
Konyaspor 0.09
Rizespor
Konyaspor
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Rizespor had peak pressure around 68'.
  • Rizespor started the game with stronger pressure.
Rizespor Pressure KON Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Rizespor reached the top pressure at 68' (86.88).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 27 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rizespor Rizespor Home
27 matches
Konyaspor KON Away
Match Record
7
Wins
9
11
Draws
11
9
Losses
7
Goals
34
Goals Scored
37
37
Goals Conceded
34
-3
Goal Difference
+3

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T00:03:07+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
Y. Fofana
France
75 Y. Fofana
M. Pala
Türkiye
54 M. Pala
A. Mocsi
Hungary
4 A. Mocsi
S. Akaydin
Substitution
Türkiye
3 S. Akaydin
C. Højer Nielsen
Denmark
5 C. Højer Nielsen
I. Olawoyin
Substitution
Nigeria
10 I. Olawoyin
T. Antalyalı
Substitution
Türkiye
14 T. Antalyalı
A. Awokoya-Mebude
Scotland
17 A. Awokoya-Mebude
Q. Laçi
Albania
20 Q. Laçi
L. António Augusto
Substitution
Angola
50 L. António Augusto
A. Sowe
Substitution
Gambia
9 A. Sowe
Pitch
D. Ertaş
Türkiye
1 D. Ertaş
A. Boşluk
Türkiye
24 A. Boşluk
U. Yazğılı
Substitution
Türkiye
5 U. Yazğılı
R. Bazoer
Substitution
Netherlands
20 R. Bazoer
K. Subaşı
Substitution
Türkiye
3 K. Subaşı
J. Jo
South Korea
21 J. Jo
M. Bjørlo
Norway
42 M. Bjørlo
Y. Andzouana
DR Congo
23 Y. Andzouana
D. Cupido Gonçalves
Substitution
Portugal
17 D. Cupido Gonçalves
S. Svendsen
Norway
32 S. Svendsen
K. Olaigbe
Substitution
Belgium
70 K. Olaigbe

General Information

Date & Time :
May 01, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Çaykur Didi Stadyumu
Capacity :
15558
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Ömer Faruk Turtay
Orhun Aydın Duran
Kemal Elmas
Direnç Tonusluoğlu

Statistics

Possession
Rizespor
54%
KON
46%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 1
7 Shots 3
35 Dangerous attacks 24
55 Possession 45
1 Corners 2
17 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
1 Hit Woodwork 0
76 Ball Safe 79
15 Successful Headers 17
5 Goal Kicks 8
24 Throwins 13
13 Goal Attempts 8
17 Dribble Attempts 8
5 Successful Dribbles 3
0 Injuries 2
1 Assists 1
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

82 Attacks 59

Possession

11 Key Passes 9
70 Long Passes 63
35 Successful Long Passes 27
83 Successful Passes Percentage 77
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43
463 Passes 384
383 Successful Passes 295

Defensive

3 Saves 3
44 Duels Won 52
8 Tackles 21
13 Interceptions 17

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 8
1 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

12 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Ömer Faruk Turtay

Starting XI ▼

75
Yahia Fofana
Yahia Fofana Goalkeeper
6.85
3
Samet Akaydin
Samet Akaydin Defender
7.14
65
Emir Ortakaya
Emir Ortakaya
Defender81'
6.4
4
Attila Mocsi
Attila Mocsi Defender
6.69
5
Casper Højer
Casper Højer Defender
6.77
54
Mithat Pala
Mithat Pala Defender
6.69
10
Ibrahim Olawoyin
Ibrahim Olawoyin Midfielder
6.8
11
Halil Dervişoğlu
Halil Dervişoğlu
Attacker81'
6.72
14
T. Antalyalı
T. Antalyalı Midfielder
6.6
6
Giannis Papanikolaou
Giannis Papanikolaou
Midfielder72'
6.66
17
Adedire Mebude
Adedire Mebude Midfielder
6.92
20
Qazim Laci
Qazim Laci Midfielder
7.2
50
Loide Augusto
Loide Augusto Midfielder
6.87
37
Taha Şahin
Taha Şahin
Defender72'
6.82
9
Ali Sowe
Ali Sowe Attacker
6.7
18
Muhamed Buljubasic
Muhamed Buljubasic
Midfielder88'
6.58
Referee : Ömer Faruk Turtay

Starting XI ▼

1
Deniz Ertaş
Deniz Ertaş Goalkeeper
6.88
5
Uğurcan Yazğılı
Uğurcan Yazğılı Defender
6.9
22
Rayyan Baniya
Rayyan Baniya
Defender62'
6.55
20
Riechedly Bazoer
Riechedly Bazoer Defender
6.51
27
Eren Cemali Yağmur
Eren Cemali Yağmur
Attacker80'
6.88
24
Arif Boşluk
Arif Boşluk Defender
6.57
3
Yasir Subaşı
Yasir Subaşı Midfielder
6.66
30
İsmail Esat Buğa
İsmail Esat Buğa
Midfielder72'
6.35
21
Jin-ho Jo
Jin-ho Jo Midfielder
6.66
23
Yhoan Andzouana
Yhoan Andzouana Midfielder
6.85
42
Morten Bjørlo
Morten Bjørlo Midfielder
6.68
17
Diogo Gonçalves
Diogo Gonçalves Attacker
7.04
16
Marko Jevtovic
Marko Jevtovic
Midfielder62'
6.77
32
Sander Svendsen
Sander Svendsen Attacker
6.47
70
Kazeem Olaigbe
Kazeem Olaigbe Attacker
6.72
10
Enis Bardhi
Enis Bardhi
Midfielder62'
6.96

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Enis Bardhi
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
89'
Event
Yhoan Andzouana
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
Event
Muhamed Buljubasic → Ali Sowe
10th Substitution
88'
Event
Halil Dervişoğlu → Ibrahim Olawoyin
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Emir Ortakaya → Samet Akaydin
9th Substitution
81'
80'
Event
Eren Cemali Yağmur → Riechedly Bazoer
7th Substitution
Event
Giannis Papanikolaou → T. Antalyalı
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Taha Şahin → Loide Augusto
6th Substitution
72'
72'
Event
İsmail Esat Buğa → Yasir Subaşı
4th Substitution
Event
Loide Augusto
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
65'
62'
Event
Enis Bardhi → Kazeem Olaigbe
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Rayyan Baniya → Uğurcan Yazğılı
1st Substitution
62'
Event
Marko Jevtovic → Diogo Gonçalves
3rd Substitution
Event
Adedire Mebude
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
58'
1ST-HALF
Event
Loide Augusto
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
31'
27'
Event
Jin-ho Jo
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Qazim Laci
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
18'
16'
Event
Jin-ho Jo
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Yhoan Andzouana takes a left-footed shot but misses.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Enis Bardhi receives a yellow card.
89
Attempt Attempt
Yhoan Andzouana scores with a right-footed shot.
88
Update Update
Muhamed Buljubasic comes on for Ali Sowe.
83
Attempt Attempt
Sander Svendsen takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
81
Update Update
Emir Ortakaya comes on for Samet Akaydin.
80
Update Update
Eren Cemali Yagmur replaces Riechedly Bazoer.
77
Attempt Attempt
Sander Svendsen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
75
Attempt Attempt
Yhoan Andzouana takes a right-footed shot but misses.
72
Update Update
Taha Sahin comes on for Loide Augusto.
72
Update Update
Giannis Papanikolaou comes on for Taylan Antalyali.
72
Update Update
Ismail Esat Buga is on, and Karahan Yasir Subasi is off.
71
Attempt Attempt
Casper Hojer Nielsen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
68
Attempt Attempt
Jin-ho Jo attempts a left-footed shot but misses.
65
Update Update
Goal! Loide Augusto scores, making it 3-1.
65
Attempt Attempt
Loide Augusto scores with a right-footed shot.
63
Attempt Attempt
Loide Augusto's right-footed shot is saved.
62
Update Update
Rayyan Baniya comes on for Ugurcan Yazgili.
62
Update Update
Rayyan Baniya comes on for Ugurcan Yazgili.
62
Update Update
Marko Jevtovic replaces Diogo Goncalves.
58
Attempt Attempt
Adedire Mebude takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
56
Attempt Attempt
Diogo Goncalves takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
55
Attempt Attempt
Loide Augusto's right-footed shot is saved.
47
Attempt Attempt
Taylan Antalyali's right-footed shot is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Kazeem Aderemi Olaigbe takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Ugurcan Yazgili's right-footed shot is blocked.
44
Attempt Attempt
Ali Sowe takes a right-footed shot but misses.
40
Attempt Attempt
Adedire Mebude takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Loide Augusto's right-footed shot is blocked.
31
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Loide Augusto receives a yellow card.
27
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jin-ho Jo receives a yellow card.
26
Attempt Attempt
Adedire Mebude takes a right-footed shot but misses.
18
Attempt Attempt
Ali Sowe's right-footed shot is saved.
18
Attempt Attempt
Qazim Laci scores with a left-footed shot.
16
Attempt Attempt
Sander Svendsen takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
16
Attempt Attempt
Jin-ho Jo scores with a right-footed shot.
9
Attempt Attempt
Qazim Laci takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
3
Attempt Attempt
Ali Sowe takes a right-footed shot but misses.
2
Attempt Attempt
Adedire Mebude takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.

CONCLUSION

Rizespor's 3-2 triumph over Konyaspor boosts their campaign, proving their mettle despite Konyaspor's stronger billing. Dominating possession at 55% and leveling at halftime 1-1 set the stage for a second-half surge. The absence of red cards ensured a pure test of skill, with Rizespor's significant deviation highlighting their opportunism. Market alignment validates the result's plausibility, while efficiency consistency points to sustainable form. This victory could propel Rizespor up the table, challenging rivals' dominance.

Rizespor vs Konyaspor preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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