Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube Sun, 15 Mar - 6:00 PM
Liga Portugal
Rio Ave RAFC
2 Winner 1
Estrela Amadora CFEA
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 6:00 PM
Jalen Blesa - 48', 27'
Goal
|
Goal
Rodrigo Pinho - 65'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Rio Ave 2–1 Estrela Amadora. The result saw Rio Ave take the points. Rio Ave showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 44%–56%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Rio Ave showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

Fabio Verssimo

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

N. Vila Pereira

1st Assistant

V. Marques

2nd Assistant

F. Gomes Azevedo Duarte

4th Official

Rio Ave S. Silaidopoulos
S. Silaidopoulos
VS
Estrela Amadora J. Rodrigues Carromeu
J. Rodrigues Carromeu
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.1
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tondela Rank: 61 W
Famalicão Rank: 72 D
Porto Rank: 86 L
Moreirense Rank: 69 L
Sporting Braga Rank: 81 L
Arouca Rank: 64 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gil Vicente Rank: 70 D
AVS Rank: 55 D
Tondela Rank: 61 L
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 74 L
Santa Clara Rank: 64 W
Alverca Rank: 65 D
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 3 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rio Ave
40.88%
Draw
29.54%
Away Estrela Amadora
29.58%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.34
58.51
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora
Power Score
62.34
58.51
League Position
11
14
Global Rank
384
508

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rio Ave — Opponent-weighted form score
Estrela Amadora — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rio Ave Estrela Amadora

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Rio Ave

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Estrela Amadora

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rio Ave ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Estrela Amadora
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
45.45
22.68
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.68
45.45
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Rio Ave +2.24 Efficiency Index
vs
Estrela Amadora -2.24 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rio Ave ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Estrela Amadora
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Rio Ave Estrela Amadora
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Rio Ave Estrela Amadora
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rio Ave RAFC Home
5 matches
Estrela Amadora CFEA Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
2
Goals
7
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
7
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T02:53:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
E. van der Gouw
Netherlands
99 E. van der Gouw
M. Vrousai
Greece
17 (C) M. Vrousai
J. Brabec
Czech Republic
32 J. Brabec
G. Teixeira Lopes da Conceição
39 G. Teixeira Lopes da Conceição
N. Abby
Substitution
England
6 N. Abby
T. Nikitscher
Hungary
44 T. Nikitscher
A. Ntoi
Greece
5 A. Ntoi
D. Bezerra de Oliveira
Substitution
Brazil
7 D. Bezerra de Oliveira
O. Pohlmann
Substitution
Germany
80 O. Pohlmann
D. Špikić
Substitution
Croatia
18 D. Špikić
J. Miller Blesa
Substitution
Spain
11 J. Miller Blesa
Pitch
R. Ribeiro
Brazil
40 R. Ribeiro
B. Langa
Substitution
Mozambique
24 B. Langa
O. Galdino Fernandes
Substitution
Brazil
83 O. Galdino Fernandes
L. Wiedthauper
Substitution
Brazil
30 L. Wiedthauper
M. Scholze
Substitution
Germany
21 M. Scholze
P. Valente Moreira
Portugal
19 P. Valente Moreira
K. Höög-Jansson
Sweden
6 K. Höög-Jansson
I. Stoica
Substitution
Romania
10 I. Stoica
J. Borges Cabral
Cape Verde
11 (C) J. Borges Cabral
A. Marcus
Nigeria
99 A. Marcus
R. Pereira de Pinho
Brazil
9 R. Pereira de Pinho

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 15, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Stadium :
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Capacity :
12815
Attendance :
2855
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Fabio Verssimo
Nélson Filipe Vila Pereira
Vasco Marques
Flávio Miguel Gomes Azevedo Duarte

Statistics

Possession
RAFC
46%
CFEA
54%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
6 Big Chances Created 1
12 Shots 5
40 Dangerous attacks 34
44 Possession 56
10 Corners 4
12 Free kicks 16
4 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

66 Ball Safe 73
11 Goal Attempts 10
1 Injuries 0
32 Successful Dribbles Percentage 73
6 Successful Dribbles 8
14 Throwins 20
19 Dribble Attempts 11
11 Goal Kicks 8
6 Successful Headers 9
1 Hit Woodwork 0
2 Assists 1
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

93 Attacks 112
5 Counter Attacks 3
4 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

358 Passes 462
296 Successful Passes 389
83 Successful Passes Percentage 84
52 Long Passes 57
27 Successful Long Passes Percentage 54
14 Successful Long Passes 31
14 Key Passes 6

Defensive

15 Interceptions 4
2 Saves 4
15 Tackles 19

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 18
4 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

15 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Fabio Verssimo

Starting XI ▼

99
Ennio Van Der Gouw
Ennio Van Der Gouw Goalkeeper
6.5
6
Nelson Abbey
Nelson Abbey Defender
6.67
9
Tamble Monteiro
Tamble Monteiro
Attacker75'
6.62
17
Marios Vrousai
Marios Vrousai (C) Defender
7.44
32
Jakub Brabec
Jakub Brabec Defender
6.83
39
Gustavo Mancha
Gustavo Mancha Defender
6.67
5
Andreas Ntoi
Andreas Ntoi Midfielder
6.53
7
Diogo Bezerra
Diogo Bezerra Midfielder
6.87
54
Georgios Liavas
Georgios Liavas
Midfielder88'
6.56
18
Dario Spikic
Dario Spikic Midfielder
7.3
20
João Tomé
João Tomé
Defender75'
6.74
44
Tamás Nikitscher
Tamás Nikitscher Midfielder
7.13
80
Ole Pohlmann
Ole Pohlmann Midfielder
5.75
8
Ryan
Ryan
Midfielder58'
6.38
11
Jalen Blesa
Jalen Blesa Attacker
2
8.34
23
Francisco Petrasso
Francisco Petrasso
Defender89'
Referee : Fabio Verssimo

Starting XI ▼

40
Renan Ribeiro
Renan Ribeiro Goalkeeper
6.98
21
Max Scholze
Max Scholze Defender
6.36
7
Leandro Antonetti
Leandro Antonetti
Attacker83'
6.51
24
Bruno Langa
Bruno Langa Defender
6.55
2
Yahya Kalley
Yahya Kalley
Defender89'
30
Luan Patrick
Luan Patrick Defender
7.2
28
Tom Moustier
Tom Moustier
Midfielder89'
83
Otavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes
Otavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes Defender
6.85
39
Eddy Doué
Eddy Doué
Midfielder54'
6.58
6
Kevin Höög Jansson
Kevin Höög Jansson Midfielder
7.05
10
Ianis Stoica
Ianis Stoica Midfielder
6.46
8
Robinho
Robinho
Midfielder54'
7.28
11
Jovane Cabral
Jovane Cabral (C) Midfielder
6.66
19
Paulo Moreira
Paulo Moreira Midfielder
6.07
99
Abraham Marcus
Abraham Marcus Midfielder
7.05
9
Rodrigo Pinho
Rodrigo Pinho Attacker
7.35

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Francisco Petrasso → Jalen Blesa
10th Substitution
89'
89'
Event
Tom Moustier → Luan Patrick
9th Substitution
89'
Event
Yahya Kalley → Bruno Langa
8th Substitution
Event
Georgios Liavas → Diogo Bezerra
7th Substitution
88'
83'
Event
Leandro Antonetti → Max Scholze
6th Substitution
80'
Event
Eddy Doué
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
80'
Event
8th Yellowcard
Event
João Tomé → Dario Spikic
5th Substitution
75'
Event
Tamble Monteiro → Nelson Abbey
4th Substitution
75'
Event
Ryan
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
68'
Event
7th Yellowcard
68'
Event
Ennio Van Der Gouw
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
67'
65'
Event
Rodrigo Pinho
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Ryan → Ole Pohlmann
3rd Substitution
58'
54'
Event
Eddy Doué → Otavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes
1st Substitution
54'
Event
Robinho → Ianis Stoica
2nd Substitution
Event
Jalen Blesa
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
48'
1ST-HALF
Event
Ole Pohlmann
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
45+1'
Event
Jalen Blesa
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
27'
15'
Event
Max Scholze
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Jakub Brabec
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
8'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Yahya Kalley from Estrela commits a foul.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Kevin Höög Jansson against Estrela.
90
Update Update
Tamble Monteiro from Rio Ave earns a free kick in their own half.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded, with the final score being Rio Ave 2, Estrela 1.
90
Update Update
Georgios Liavas from Rio Ave commits a foul.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Jakub Brabec of Rio Ave heads the ball from the center of the box, but it goes over the goal and to the right. The chance was created by Georgios Liavas, who delivered a cross after a set piece.
90
Update Update
Robinho from Estrela is awarded a free kick in the defensive zone.
90
Update Update
Eddy Doué from Estrela commits a foul.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be four minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Georgios Liavas from Rio Ave earns a free kick on the right side of the pitch.
90
Update Update
Tamble Monteiro of Rio Ave earns a free kick on the left side of the field.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rio Ave: Francisco Petrasso comes on to take the place of Jalen Blesa.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rio Ave: Georgios Liavas comes on to take the place of Diogo Bezerra.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Estrela: Tom Moustier comes on to take the place of Luan Patrick.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Estrela: Yahya Kalley comes on to take the place of Bruno Langa.
85
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Tamble Monteiro from Rio Ave takes a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
84
Update Update
Jovane Cabral from Estrela is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
84
Update Update
Diogo Bezerra from Rio Ave is awarded a free kick on the right flank.
84
Update Update
Tamás Nikitscher from Rio Ave committed a foul.
84
Update Update
Bruno Langa from Estrela commits a foul.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Estrela: Leandro Antonetti comes on to take the place of Max Scholze.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rio Ave after a foul by Abraham Marcus.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rio Ave after a play that resulted in a deflection off Renan Ribeiro.
82
Update Update
A header from Ryan Guilherme of Rio Ave is thwarted as Renan Ribeiro of Estrela makes a save in the top center of the goal. The attempt was set up by a cross from João Tomé.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Eddy Doué from Estrela receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
80
Update Update
Tamás Nikitscher from Rio Ave earns a free kick on the left side.
80
Update Update
Eddy Doué from Estrela commits a foul.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rio Ave after a foul by Kevin Höög Jansson.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rio Ave after Luan Patrick allowed the ball to go out.
77
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Robinho from Estrela takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rio Ave: João Tomé comes on to replace Dario Spikic, who is leaving the field due to an injury.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rio Ave: Tamble Monteiro comes on to replace Nelson Abbey, who has been injured.
75
Update Update
The pause has ended. They’re set to resume play.
74
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury involving Nelson Abbey from Rio Ave.
74
Update Update
The game has been paused due to an injury to Dario Spikic from Rio Ave.
73
Update Update
Marios Vrousai from Rio Ave committed a foul.
73
Update Update
Robinho from Estrela earns a free kick on the left side of the field.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Estrela after Tamás Nikitscher allowed the ball to go out.
68
Update Update
Robinho from Estrela is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
68
Update Update
Foul committed by Ryan Guilherme of Rio Ave.
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ryan Guilherme from Rio Ave receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ennio van der Gouw from Rio Ave receives a yellow card.
67
Update Update
Foul committed by Kevin Höög Jansson against Estrela.
67
Update Update
Gustavo Mancha from Rio Ave is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Estrela, following a concession by Ennio van der Gouw.
65
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Rio Ave 2, Estrela 1. Rodrigo Pinho scores for Estrela with a left-footed shot from just a few yards out, finding the center of the net. The assist came from Robinho, who delivered a perfect cross.
63
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Marcus Abraham from Estrela took a right-footed shot from a challenging angle on the right side, but it went off target.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Estrela, following a foul by Nelson Abbey.
59
Update Update
Jovane Cabral commits a foul against Estrela.
59
Update Update
Tamás Nikitscher from Rio Ave earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
58
Update Update
Jovane Cabral commits a foul against Estrela.
58
Update Update
Diogo Bezerra from Rio Ave earns a free kick on the right flank.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rio Ave: Ryan Guilherme comes on to take the place of Olé Pohlmann.
56
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Jovane Cabral from Estrela takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area following a direct free kick, but it sails just over the crossbar.
55
Update Update
Robinho from Estrela earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
55
Update Update
Olé Pohlmann from Rio Ave commits a foul.
55
Corner Corner
Shot on goal denied. Jalen Blesa from Rio Ave takes a right-footed attempt from the right side of the penalty area, but Renan Ribeiro of Estrela makes a save, stopping it in the bottom left corner. The effort was set up by Jakub Brabec.
54
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Estrela: Eddy Doué comes on to take the place of Otávio.
54
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Estrela: Robinho comes on to take the place of Ianis Stoica.
53
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Jovane Cabral from Estrela took a right-footed shot from a distance on the left side, but it sailed over the goal following a direct free kick.
53
Update Update
Paulo Moreira from Estrela is awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
53
Update Update
Marios Vrousai from Rio Ave committed a foul.
50
Attempt Attempt
The shot was deflected. Olé Pohlmann from Rio Ave tried a left-footed strike from the left side of the penalty area, but it was blocked.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Rio Ave leads 2-0 against Estrela. Jalen Blesa scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area.
47
Update Update
Paulo Moreira from Estrela earns a free kick in his own half.
47
Update Update
Tamás Nikitscher from Rio Ave commits a foul.
46
Attempt Attempt
A shot on goal has been blocked. Marcus Abraham from Estrela took a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but Ennio van der Gouw of Rio Ave made a save, catching it in the upper center of the net. The effort was set up by Kevin Höög Jansson.
45
Update Update
Paulo Moreira from Estrela is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Olé Pohlmann from Rio Ave.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rio Ave after Luan Patrick gave away a foul.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with Rio Ave leading Estrela by a score of 1-0.
45
Attempt Attempt
Dario Spikic of Rio Ave had a shot from the center of the box with his right foot, but it was blocked. The attempt was set up by Marios Vrousai.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Olé Pohlmann from Rio Ave receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
45
Update Update
Jovane Cabral from Estrela earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
Paulo Moreira from Estrela earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score at Rio Ave 1, Estrela 0.
43
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Estrela, following a foul by Nelson Abbey.
42
Update Update
Jovane Cabral from Estrela earns a free kick on the left side of the field.
42
Update Update
Dario Spikic from Rio Ave commits a foul.
41
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Ianis Stoica from Estrela takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it goes just wide to the right following a direct free kick.
40
Update Update
Gustavo Mancha commits a foul for Rio Ave.
40
Update Update
Max Scholze from Estrela earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
39
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Andreas Ntoi of Rio Ave takes a right-footed strike from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Diogo Bezerra.
35
Update Update
Ianis Stoica from Estrela earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
35
Update Update
Jakub Brabec commits a foul for Rio Ave.
33
Update Update
Jalen Blesa from Rio Ave strikes the crossbar with a right-footed attempt from the middle of the penalty area.
32
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Jakub Brabec from Rio Ave takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
32
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Rio Ave after Otávio's foul.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rio Ave after Kevin Höög Jansson was deemed to have committed a foul.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rio Ave after Kevin Höög Jansson gave it away.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Rio Ave takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Estrela. Jalen Blesa finds the net with a right-footed strike from just a few yards out, sending the ball into the top left corner. The assist came from Dario Spikic, who delivered a precise cross.
24
Update Update
Tamás Nikitscher from Rio Ave earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
24
Update Update
Ianis Stoica from Estrela committed a foul.
22
Update Update
Bruno Langa from Estrela is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
22
Update Update
Dario Spikic from Rio Ave commits a foul.
21
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Andreas Ntoi from Rio Ave took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed high and to the right of the goal. He was set up by Diogo Bezerra.
20
Update Update
Foul committed by Kevin Höög Jansson - Estrela.
20
Update Update
Diogo Bezerra from Rio Ave earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
19
Corner Corner
Shot on goal denied. Dario Spikic from Rio Ave takes a left-footed strike from the right side of the penalty area, but Renan Ribeiro from Estrela makes a save in the bottom right corner. The chance was set up by Marios Vrousai, who provided a well-placed through ball.
18
Update Update
Offside call against Estrela. Ianis Stoica has been flagged for being in an offside position.
17
Update Update
Nelson Abbey commits a foul for Rio Ave.
17
Update Update
Max Scholze from Estrela earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rio Ave after a play that resulted in a save by Renan Ribeiro.
15
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Max Scholze from Estrela receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
15
Update Update
Max Scholze of Estrela commits a foul.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rio Ave after Renan Ribeiro allowed the ball to go out of play.
15
Update Update
Diogo Bezerra from Rio Ave earns a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
13
Attempt Attempt
The shot was deflected. Diogo Bezerra from Rio Ave tried a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it was blocked. He received assistance from Dario Spikic.
12
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt was thwarted. Andreas Ntoi from Rio Ave tried a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it was blocked. Diogo Bezerra provided the assist.
9
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Max Scholze from Estrela took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide to the left after a set piece play.
9
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Rodrigo Pinho from Estrela tries a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
8
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jakub Brabec of Rio Ave receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
8
Update Update
Abraham Marcus from Estrela earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
8
Update Update
Jakub Brabec commits a foul for Rio Ave.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rio Ave after a foul by Bruno Langa.
7
Attempt Attempt
Shot attempt denied. Marios Vrousai of Rio Ave tries a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
6
Update Update
Andreas Ntoi commits a foul for Rio Ave.
6
Update Update
Jovane Cabral from Estrela earns a free kick in the defensive zone.
5
Update Update
Paulo Moreira from Estrela committed a handball violation.
5
Corner Corner
A shot attempt was thwarted. Rodrigo Pinho from Estrela took a left-footed strike from the left side of the penalty area, but Ennio van der Gouw of Rio Ave managed to save it, diving to the bottom left corner.
2
Attempt Attempt
Shot on goal blocked. Marios Vrousai from Rio Ave takes a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but Renan Ribeiro of Estrela makes a save right in the middle of the goal.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Rio Ave exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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