Rijeka vs Hajduk Split Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia

Stadion HNK Rijeka Sun, 26 Apr - 2:00 PM

1. HNL

Rijeka Rijeka

0 – 0

Hajduk Split Hajduk Split

Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 2:00 PM

Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In a tightly fought Croatian HNL derby at Stadion Rujevica, Rijeka and Hajduk Split played out a 0-0 draw. Rijeka held 58% possession but struggled to create clear scoring opportunities against a disciplined Hajduk defense. The away side, deemed the stronger team pre-match, absorbed pressure effectively without red cards disrupting play. Halftime arrived at 0-0, with both teams even. The match exhibited a significant structural deviation of 71.2% towards Hajduk Split, indicating a notable shift from expected patterns. Pre-match market probabilities placed Rijeka at 37.6%, draw at 28.8%, and Hajduk at 33.6%, with the outcome not aligning. Efficiency stayed in line with norms, though xG data was unavailable for deeper analysis. No second-half adjustments or knockout context altered proceedings.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Match registered a significant structural deviation of 71.2% towards Hajduk Split.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match expectations.
xG alignment: xG data unavailable, so alignment with outcome undetermined.
Market alignment: Outcome not aligned with pre-match market probabilities.
xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable due to missing data.
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events influenced the result.
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in no distortion to match dynamics.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

A. Čulina

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

Z. Lovrić

4th Official

I. Janić

1st Assistant

G. Pataki

2nd Assistant

V. Sánchez del Amo

G. García García

1.48

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.75

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

33 - 21 - 18

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Rijeka

37.58%

Draw

28.81%

Hajduk Split

33.61%

Movement

Changes since opening

Rijeka

+31.39%

Draw

-59.55%

Hajduk Split

+28.15%

Team Power Ranking

26.78

31.88

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Rijeka

Hajduk Split

Power Score

26.78

31.88

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Rijeka — Opponent-weighted form score

Hajduk Split — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rijeka Hajduk Split

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Rijeka

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Hajduk Split

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rijeka ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Hajduk Split

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

26.38

11.43

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

11.43

26.38

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Rijeka +1.48 Efficiency Index

Hajduk Split -1.48 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Rijeka

Hajduk Split

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rijeka ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Hajduk Split

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Rijeka Hajduk Split

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Rijeka Hajduk Split

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Rijeka

Hajduk Split

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Rijeka

Hajduk Split

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Rijeka Hajduk Split

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Rijeka Hajduk Split

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Rijeka

Hajduk Split

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

Rijeka had peak pressure around 95'.
Rijeka started the game with stronger pressure.

Rijeka Pressure Hajduk Split Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: Rijeka reached the top pressure at 95' (70.94).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 72 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rijeka Rijeka Home

72 matches

Hajduk Split Hajduk Split Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

112

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

112

+35

Goal Difference

-35

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:04:37+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

Match Formation 3-4-2-1

13 M. Zlomislić

22 A. Oreč

45 A. Majstorović

6 S. Radeljić

34 M. Devetak

66 B. Pavić

55 A. Barco Del Solar

14 A. Gojak

18 D. Adu-Adjei

26 T. Dantas

9 D. Čop

33 T. Silić

14 R. Raçi

15 D. Maresic

31 Z. Šarlija

17 D. Melnjak

4 A. Pajaziti

8 N. Sigur

28 R. Brajković

21 R. Pukstas

30 I. Almena Horcajo

10 M. Livaja

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 26, 2026, 02:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 32 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Stadion HNK Rijeka

Capacity :

8279

Attendance :

7665

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Ante Čulina

Zdenko Lovrić

Ivan Janić

Goran Pataki

Statistics

Possession

Rijeka

55%

Hajduk Split

45%

Top Statistics

2 Big Chances Created 2

2 Shots 1

26 Dangerous attacks 16

58 Possession 42

14 Corners 2

13 Free kicks 18

1 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

3 Substitutions 3

1 Hit Woodwork 0

19 Throwins 26

12 Dribble Attempts 11

5 Goal Kicks 9

25 Successful Dribbles Percentage 55

3 Successful Dribbles 6

Attacking

58 Attacks 45

2 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

403 Passes 319

19 Successful Long Passes 20

46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 48

41 Long Passes 42

86 Successful Passes Percentage 82

347 Successful Passes 260

13 Key Passes 3

Defensive

34 Duels Won 48

7 Tackles 10

7 Interceptions 2

1 Saves 6

Build-up

12 Accurate Crosses 2

45 Total Crosses 11

Discipline

3 Offsides 1

18 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Ante Čulina

Manager ▼

V. Sánchez del Amo Coach

Starting XI ▼

Martin Zlomislic Goalkeeper

6.67

Stjepan Radeljic Defender

6.93

Ante Orec Defender

Mladen Devetak Defender

6.63

Christian Ouguehi Legbo

Attacker83'

6.55

Ante Majstorovic Defender

6.88

Amer Gojak Midfielder

6.59

Justas Lasickas

Defender90'

6.68

Daniel Adu-Adjei Midfielder

6.73

Tiago Dantas Midfielder

7.31

Alfonso Daniel Barco del Solar Midfielder

6.49

Branko Pavic Midfielder

6.71

Duje Cop Attacker

6.6

Ante Matej Juric

Attacker83'

6.85

Substitutes ▼

Ante Matej Juric

Attacker83'

6.85

Christian Ouguehi Legbo

Attacker83'

6.55

Justas Lasickas

Defender90'

6.68

Bench ▼

Aleksa Todorović Goalkeeper

6.8

Lovro Kitin Defender

6.26

Noel Bodetic Defender

6.69

Dejan Petrovic Midfielder

6.64

Merveil Ndockyt Midfielder

6.67

Gabriel Rukavina Attacker

6.52

Referee : Ante Čulina