Ried vs WSG Tirol Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria

josko ARENA Sat, 14 Mar - 4:00 PM

Admiral Bundesliga

Ried Ried

WSG Tirol WSG

Full Time Sat, 14 Mar 4:00 PM

Philipp Pomer - 85' (P)

Kingstone Mutandwa - 45+6' (P)

Ademola Ola-Adebomi - 81'

CONTEXT

The match between Ried and WSG Tirol has concluded, with Ried securing a 2-1 victory at full-time after taking a 1-0 lead into the halftime break. Going into the match, the betting markets clearly favored Ried with a 48.6% win probability, compared to a 27.9% chance for a draw and a 23.5% probability for a WSG Tirol away win. Ultimately, the final outcome was perfectly aligned with these pre-match market expectations. However, the performance metrics generated a significant deviation level of 51.4%, heavily reflecting Ried's impact. On the pitch, the flow of play was tightly contested. Ried held a razor-thin possession advantage of 51% compared to WSG Tirol's 49%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, meaning the outcome's consistency with underlying offensive creation could not be assessed. The post-match efficiency shift was entirely in line with the final result, as Ried posted a positive 0.8531 efficiency rating while WSG Tirol dropped to -0.8531. Finally, the match progressed strictly at full strength without any major disciplinary disruptions, as neither side was shown a red card.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Ried showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

J. Semler

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

P. Duschek

1st Assistant

E. Kudic

2nd Assistant

M. Baumann

4th Official

M. Senft

P. Semlic

1.24

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.28

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

4 - 3 - 5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Ried

48.56%

Draw

27.9%

WSG Tirol

23.53%

Team Power Ranking

45.6

53.71

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Ried

WSG Tirol

Power Score

45.6

53.71

League Position

Global Rank

692

643

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Ried — Opponent-weighted form score

WSG Tirol — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ried WSG Tirol

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Ried

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

WSG Tirol

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Ried ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy WSG Tirol

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

28.14

17.55

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

17.55

28.14

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Ried +0.87 Efficiency Index

WSG Tirol -0.87 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Ried

WSG Tirol

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Ried

WSG Tirol

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Ried WSG Tirol

Set-piece xG Share

Goals per Match

2.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

+2.00 vs +0.00

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Ried WSG Tirol

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 2.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

Ried

WSG Tirol

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 12 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Ried Ried Home

12 matches

WSG Tirol WSG Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-2

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-03-17T07:31:20+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1

1 (C) A. Leitner

5 N. Havenaar

23 M. Sollbauer

30 O. Steurer

12 A. Bajic

26 J. Mayer

6 M. Maart

17 P. Pomer

18 F. Rossdorfer

29 A. Van Wyk

7 K. Mutandwa

40 A. Stejskal

27 D. Jaunegg

5 J. Lawrence

23 M. Boras

20 B. Böckle

17 J. Naschberger

4 (C) V. Müller

6 L. Sulzbacher

37 M. Wels

8 N. Frederiksen

9 A. Ola-Adebomi

General Information

Date & Time :

Mar 14, 2026, 04:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria

Stadium :

josko ARENA

Capacity :

5000

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ , Clear

Referees :

Jakob Semler

Philipp Duschek

Edin Kudic

Manuel Baumann

Statistics

Possession

Ried

51%

WSG

49%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1

5 Big Chances Created 2

4 Shots 4

47 Dangerous attacks 32

51 Possession 49

5 Corners 5

8 Free kicks 18

2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33

6 Dribble Attempts 9

28 Throwins 18

7 Goal Kicks 8

85 Ball Safe 94

11 Goal Attempts 5

2 Penalties 0

1 Injuries 1

0 Hit Woodwork 1

0 Assists 1

2 Successful Dribbles 3

3 Substitutions 2

Attacking

84 Attacks 79

3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

169 Successful Passes 157

30 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40

56 Long Passes 80

253 Passes 252

67 Successful Passes Percentage 62

7 Key Passes 7

17 Successful Long Passes 32

Defensive

2 Saves 1

5 Interceptions 5

13 Tackles 10

Build-up

7 Accurate Crosses 4

20 Total Crosses 15

Discipline

18 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Jakob Semler

Manager ▼

M. Senft Coach

Starting XI ▼

Andreas Leitner (C) Goalkeeper

6.39

Benjamin Garcia Defender

7.21

Michael Sollbauer Defender

6.94

Oliver Steurer Defender

6.72

Yusuf Maart Midfielder

6.91

Martin Rasner

Midfielder74'

6.26

Ante Bajic Midfielder

7.25

Philipp Pomer Midfielder

6.96

Jonas Mayer Midfielder

6.36

Kingstone Mutandwa Attacker

6.75

Peter Kiedl

Attacker82'

6.37

Fabian Rossdorfer Attacker

6.54

Antonio Van Wyk Attacker

6.45

Joris Boguo

Attacker46'

6.58

Substitutes ▼

Joris Boguo

Attacker46'

6.58

Martin Rasner

Midfielder74'

6.26

Peter Kiedl

Attacker82'

6.37

Bench ▼

Felix Wimmer Goalkeeper

Jonathan Scherzer Defender

Yussef Nasrawe Midfielder

Mark Jackson Midfielder

Nicolas Bajlicz Midfielder

Evan Eghosa Midfielder

Referee : Jakob Semler