Ried vs Wolfsberger AC Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
josko ARENA Sat, 9 May - 3:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Ried Ried
0 Winner 1
Wolfsberger AC WAC
Full Time Sat, 9 May 3:00 PM
Round 9 Relegation Round
|
Goal
Alessandro Schöpf - 31' (P)

CONTEXT

Wolfsberger AC secured a hard-fought 0-1 victory over Ried in an away match where the visitors capitalized on their opportunities despite being out-possessed. Ried controlled 66% of the ball but failed to convert dominance into goals, while Wolfsberger AC struck first in the opening half to lead 0-1 at halftime. The second period saw Ried push forward without breakthrough, as Wolfsberger AC defended resiliently to hold the lead. No red cards disrupted play, and the stronger side, Wolfsberger AC, emerged as deserved winners. Possession disparity highlighted Ried's inefficiency against a compact Wolfsberger defense. The minimal deviation in performance underscored the visitors' clinical edge in a tactical battle.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Minimal structural deviation of 4.8% aligned with Wolfsberger AC's victory.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true for the outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
  • Event impact: No notable event impacts from second-half adjustments.
  • Red card distortion: No red card distortion as zero reds issued.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. Semler

Austria 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Kühr

2nd Assistant

Austria

L. Katholnig

1st Assistant

Austria

J. Schnur

4th Official

Austria

League averages

Admiral Bundesliga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 20.22
Yellow cards / match 3.46
Red cards / match 0.25
Penalties / match 0.3
Ried M. Senft
M. Senft
VS
Wolfsberger AC T. Silberberger
T. Silberberger
1.47
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.82
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: 54 W
WSG Tirol Rank: 52 L
Grazer AK Rank: 52 W
Grazer AK Rank: 51 D
Wolfsberger AC Rank: 60 D
Rheindorf Altach Rank: 52 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rheindorf Altach Rank: 53 W
Grazer AK Rank: 51 W
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: 50 L
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: 49 D
Ried Rank: 53 D
WSG Tirol Rank: 52 L
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 9 - 11
11

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Ried
0.19%
Draw
4.58%
Away Wolfsberger AC
95.23%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
46.86
59.71
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
Power Score
46.86
59.71
League Position
9
10
Global Rank
692
498

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Ried — Opponent-weighted form score
Wolfsberger AC — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ried Wolfsberger AC

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Ried

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Wolfsberger AC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Ried ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Wolfsberger AC
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
15.30
39.56
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
39.56
15.30
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Ried -2.06 Efficiency Index
vs
Wolfsberger AC +2.06 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Ried ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Wolfsberger AC
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Ried Wolfsberger AC
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Ried Wolfsberger AC
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Ried
vs
Wolfsberger AC
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Ried Wolfsberger AC
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Ried 0.19
Wolfsberger AC 0.41
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Ried Wolfsberger AC
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Ried 0.03
Wolfsberger AC 0.00
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • WAC had peak pressure around 71'.
  • Ried started the game with stronger pressure.
Ried Pressure WAC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: WAC reached the top pressure at 71' (68.02).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Ried Ried Home
31 matches
Wolfsberger AC WAC Away
Match Record
11
Wins
11
9
Draws
9
11
Losses
11
Goals
36
Goals Scored
36
36
Goals Conceded
36
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:04:06+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
A. Leitner
Austria
1 A. Leitner
N. Havenaar
Japan
5 N. Havenaar
M. Sollbauer
Austria
23 M. Sollbauer
O. Steurer
Germany
30 O. Steurer
P. Pomer
Austria
17 P. Pomer
M. Maart
South Africa
6 M. Maart
N. Bajlicz
Substitution
Austria
28 N. Bajlicz
Y. Nasrawe
Substitution
Germany
19 Y. Nasrawe
A. Bajic
Austria
12 A. Bajic
J. Mayer
Substitution
Austria
26 J. Mayer
K. Mutandwa
Zambia
7 K. Mutandwa
Pitch
N. Polster
Austria
12 N. Polster
N. Wimmer
Austria
37 N. Wimmer
S. Piesinger
Austria
8 S. Piesinger
C. Diabaté
Austria
15 C. Diabaté
R. Renner
Substitution
Austria
77 R. Renner
E. Agyemang
Substitution
34 E. Agyemang
A. Schöpf
Austria
18 A. Schöpf
F. Wohlmuth
Austria
31 F. Wohlmuth
D. Avdijaj
Substitution
Kosovo
10 D. Avdijaj
A. Gattermayer
Substitution
Austria
7 A. Gattermayer
M. Pink
Substitution
Austria
32 M. Pink

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 9 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
josko ARENA
Capacity :
5000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Stefan Kühr
Jakob Semler
Luka Katholnig
Julian Schnur

Statistics

Possession
Ried
60%
WAC
40%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 6
1 Shots 1
42 Dangerous attacks 29
66 Possession 34
7 Corners 5
17 Free kicks 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

3 Substitutions 5
11 Successful Dribbles 5
20 Dribble Attempts 13
79 Ball Safe 66
4 Goal Kicks 8
3 Injuries 1
3 Goal Attempts 4
55 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
20 Throwins 12
0 Penalties 1

Attacking

0 Big Chances Missed 5
60 Attacks 65

Possession

82 Successful Passes Percentage 65
28 Successful Long Passes 24
451 Passes 226
4 Key Passes 11
368 Successful Passes 146
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39
56 Long Passes 61

Defensive

56 Duels Won 48
2 Interceptions 5
14 Tackles 14
5 Saves 2

Build-up

3 Accurate Crosses 6
14 Total Crosses 13

Discipline

17 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 4

Lineup

Referee : Jakob Semler

Starting XI ▼

1
Andreas Leitner
Andreas Leitner Goalkeeper
5
Benjamin Garcia
Benjamin Garcia Defender
23
Michael Sollbauer
Michael Sollbauer Defender
30
Oliver Steurer
Oliver Steurer Defender
6
Yusuf Maart
Yusuf Maart Midfielder
17
Philipp Pomer
Philipp Pomer Midfielder
19
Yussef Nasrawe
Yussef Nasrawe Midfielder
9
Saliou Sané
Saliou Sané
Attacker82'
28
Nicolas Bajlicz
Nicolas Bajlicz Midfielder
29
Antonio Van Wyk
Antonio Van Wyk
Attacker69'
7
Kingstone Mutandwa
Kingstone Mutandwa Attacker
12
Ante Bajic
Ante Bajic Attacker
26
Jonas Mayer
Jonas Mayer Attacker
8
Martin Rasner
Martin Rasner
Midfielder55'
Referee : Jakob Semler

Starting XI ▼

12
Nikolas Polster
Nikolas Polster Goalkeeper
8
Simon Piesinger
Simon Piesinger Defender
15
Cheick Mamadou Diabaté
Cheick Mamadou Diabaté Defender
37
Nicolas Wimmer
Nicolas Wimmer Defender
18
Alessandro Schöpf
Alessandro Schöpf Midfielder
31
Fabian Wohlmuth
Fabian Wohlmuth Midfielder
34
Emmanuel Agyemang
Emmanuel Agyemang Midfielder
23
Emin Kujovic
Emin Kujovic
Midfielder90+3'
77
Rene Renner
Rene Renner Midfielder
2
Boris Matic
Boris Matic
Midfielder82'
7
Angelo Gattermayer
Angelo Gattermayer Attacker
35
Emmanuel Chukwu
Emmanuel Chukwu
Defender90+3'
10
Donis Avdijaj
Donis Avdijaj Attacker
20
Dejan Zukic
Dejan Zukic
Midfielder46'
32
Markus Pink
Markus Pink Attacker
9
Erik Kojzek
Erik Kojzek
Attacker73'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Emmanuel Chukwu → Angelo Gattermayer
7th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Emin Kujovic → Emmanuel Agyemang
8th Substitution
Event
Andreas Leitner
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Benjamin Garcia
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
87'
Event
Saliou Sané → Yussef Nasrawe
6th Substitution
82'
82'
Event
Boris Matic → Rene Renner
5th Substitution
73'
Event
Erik Kojzek → Markus Pink
4th Substitution
Event
Antonio Van Wyk → Nicolas Bajlicz
3rd Substitution
69'
56'
Event
Nikolas Polster
Handball / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Martin Rasner → Jonas Mayer
2nd Substitution
55'
54'
Event
Fabian Wohlmuth
Time wasting / 1st Yellowcard
46'
Event
Dejan Zukic → Donis Avdijaj
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
31'
Event
Alessandro Schöpf
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
30'
Event
Markus Pink
Penalty awarded

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Angelo Gattermayer takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Update Update
Emin Kujovic replaces Emmanuel Agyeman Ofori.
90
Attempt Attempt
Nikki Havenaar's header is saved.
90
Update Update
Emmanuel Chukwu is on, and Angelo Gattermayer is off.
85
Attempt Attempt
Angelo Gattermayer takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
85
Attempt Attempt
Erik Kojzek takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
83
Update Update
Saliou Sane replaces Jussef Nasrawe.
82
Update Update
Boris Matic is on, and Rene Renner is off.
78
Attempt Attempt
Ante Bajic takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
76
Attempt Attempt
Emmanuel Agyeman Ofori takes a left-footed shot but misses.
73
Update Update
Erik Kojzek comes on for Markus Pink.
71
Attempt Attempt
Philipp Pomer's left-footed shot is blocked.
69
Update Update
Antonio Van Wyk is on, and Nicolas Bajlicz is off.
68
Attempt Attempt
Ante Bajic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
66
Attempt Attempt
Simon Piesinger's header is saved.
65
Attempt Attempt
Dejan Zukic takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
61
Attempt Attempt
Ante Bajic takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
57
Attempt Attempt
Philipp Pomer's left-footed shot is blocked.
56
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nikolas Polster receives a yellow card.
55
Substitution Substitution
Martin Rasner is substituted for Jonas Mayer.
53
Attempt Attempt
Markus Pink takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Dejan Zukic comes on for Donis Avdijaj.
42
Attempt Attempt
Fabian Wohlmuth takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
37
Attempt Attempt
Fabian Wohlmuth takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
33
Attempt Attempt
Donis Avdijaj takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
31
Attempt Attempt
Alessandro Schopf scores with a right-footed shot.
31
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Alessandro Schopf scores, making it 1-0.
30
Update Update
Penalty awarded after a VAR decision to Markus Pink.
27
Attempt Attempt
Alessandro Schopf scores with a right-footed shot.
27
Update Update
Markus Pink attempts a header but misses the target.
20
Attempt Attempt
Moegamat Yusuf Maart takes a left-footed shot but misses.
8
Attempt Attempt
Angelo Gattermayer takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.

CONCLUSION

Wolfsberger AC's 0-1 triumph over Ried validates their status as the stronger team, overcoming 34% possession through sharp finishing and solid defending. Ried's 66% ball control yielded nothing, exposing wastefulness in attack during a first-half goal concession that set the tone. With no disruptions from reds or major events, the result reflects tactical discipline from the winners. This minimal-deviation win reinforces Wolfsberger AC's efficiency, providing momentum in their campaign while Ried must address conversion issues ahead.

Ried vs Wolfsberger AC preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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