Ried vs Wolfsberger AC Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
josko ARENA Tue, 19 May - 4:30 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Ried Ried
2 Winner 1
Wolfsberger AC WAC
Full Time Tue, 19 May 4:30 PM
Conference League Play-offs - 1st Round
Kingstone Mutandwa - 90+3', 80'
Goal
|
Goal
Marco Sulzner - 87'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Ried 2–1 Wolfsberger AC. The result saw Ried take the points. Ried showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 62%–38%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Ried 2-1 Wolfsberger AC. Ried showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Hameter

Austria 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Weiss

1st Assistant

Austria

M. Obritzberger

2nd Assistant

Austria

A. Harkam

4th Official

Austria

League averages

Admiral Bundesliga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.35
Yellow cards / match 3.57
Red cards / match 0.26
Penalties / match 0.33
Ried M. Senft
M. Senft
VS
Wolfsberger AC T. Silberberger
T. Silberberger
1.32
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.05
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rheindorf Altach Rank: 52 L
Wolfsberger AC Rank: 59 L
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: 54 W
WSG Tirol Rank: 51 L
Grazer AK Rank: 54 W
Grazer AK Rank: 54 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
WSG Tirol Rank: 52 W
Ried Rank: 54 W
Rheindorf Altach Rank: 53 W
Grazer AK Rank: 54 W
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: 51 L
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: 51 D
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 9 - 12
12

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Ried
41.73%
Draw
28.45%
Away Wolfsberger AC
29.81%

Movement

Changes since opening
Ried
-53.5%
Draw
+23.87%
Wolfsberger AC
+29.62%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
46.73
59.54
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
Power Score
46.73
59.54
League Position
9
10
Global Rank
676
499

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Ried — Opponent-weighted form score
Wolfsberger AC — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ried Wolfsberger AC

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Ried

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Wolfsberger AC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Ried ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Wolfsberger AC
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.37
23.82
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.82
31.37
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Ried +0.64 Efficiency Index
vs
Wolfsberger AC -0.64 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Ried ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Wolfsberger AC
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Ried Wolfsberger AC
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Ried Wolfsberger AC
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Ried
vs
Wolfsberger AC
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Ried Wolfsberger AC
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Ried 0.35
Wolfsberger AC 0.17
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Ried Wolfsberger AC
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Ried 0.02
Wolfsberger AC 0.04
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Ried had peak pressure around 7'.
  • Ried started the game with stronger pressure.
Ried Pressure WAC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Ried reached the top pressure at 7' (85.48).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 32 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Ried Ried Home
32 matches
Wolfsberger AC WAC Away
Match Record
11
Wins
12
9
Draws
9
12
Losses
11
Goals
36
Goals Scored
37
37
Goals Conceded
36
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-05-20T00:04:02+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
A. Leitner
Austria
1 A. Leitner
N. Havenaar
Japan
5 N. Havenaar
M. Sollbauer
Austria
23 M. Sollbauer
O. Steurer
Germany
30 O. Steurer
P. Pomer
Austria
17 P. Pomer
Y. Nasrawe
Germany
19 Y. Nasrawe
M. Maart
South Africa
6 M. Maart
N. Bajlicz
Austria
28 N. Bajlicz
A. Bajic
Austria
12 A. Bajic
A. Van Wyk
Substitution
South Africa
29 A. Van Wyk
K. Mutandwa
Zambia
7 K. Mutandwa
Pitch
N. Polster
Austria
12 N. Polster
N. Wimmer
Austria
37 N. Wimmer
S. Piesinger
Austria
8 S. Piesinger
D. Baumgartner
Substitution
Austria
22 D. Baumgartner
B. Matić
Substitution
Serbia
2 B. Matić
E. Agyemang
Substitution
34 E. Agyemang
M. Sulzner
Austria
30 M. Sulzner
F. Wohlmuth
Austria
31 F. Wohlmuth
D. Zukić
Serbia
20 D. Zukić
A. Gattermayer
Substitution
Austria
7 A. Gattermayer
E. Kojzek
Substitution
Slovenia
9 E. Kojzek

General Information

Date & Time :
May 19, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Conference League Play-offs - 1st Round
Stadium :
josko ARENA
Capacity :
5000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Markus Hameter
Maximilian Weiss
Michael Obritzberger
Alexander Harkam

Statistics

Possession
Ried
60%
WAC
40%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 0
9 Shots 2
49 Dangerous attacks 41
62 Possession 38
3 Corners 3
13 Free kicks 5
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

18 Throwins 27
21 Dribble Attempts 7
10 Goal Kicks 12
67 Successful Dribbles Percentage 57
14 Successful Dribbles 4
64 Ball Safe 57
1 Substitutions 5
2 Assists 1
1 Injuries 1
14 Goal Attempts 3

Attacking

86 Attacks 73

Possession

372 Successful Passes 175
439 Passes 254
56 Long Passes 55
85 Successful Passes Percentage 69
57 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44
15 Key Passes 5
32 Successful Long Passes 24

Defensive

54 Duels Won 39
10 Tackles 15
11 Interceptions 6
1 Saves 3

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 19
3 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

8 Offsides 2
5 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Markus Hameter

Starting XI ▼

1
Andreas Leitner
Andreas Leitner Goalkeeper
5
Benjamin Garcia
Benjamin Garcia Defender
23
Michael Sollbauer
Michael Sollbauer Defender
30
Oliver Steurer
Oliver Steurer Defender
6
Yusuf Maart
Yusuf Maart Midfielder
17
Philipp Pomer
Philipp Pomer Midfielder
19
Yussef Nasrawe
Yussef Nasrawe Midfielder
28
Nicolas Bajlicz
Nicolas Bajlicz Midfielder
7
Kingstone Mutandwa
Kingstone Mutandwa Attacker
2
12
Ante Bajic
Ante Bajic Attacker
29
Antonio Van Wyk
Antonio Van Wyk Attacker
15
Joris Boguo
Joris Boguo
Attacker84'
Referee : Markus Hameter

Starting XI ▼

12
Nikolas Polster
Nikolas Polster Goalkeeper
8
Simon Piesinger
Simon Piesinger Defender
22
Dominik Baumgartner
Dominik Baumgartner Defender
15
Cheick Mamadou Diabaté
Cheick Mamadou Diabaté
Defender85'
37
Nicolas Wimmer
Nicolas Wimmer Defender
2
Boris Matic
Boris Matic Midfielder
77
Rene Renner
Rene Renner
Defender84'
30
Marco Sulzner
Marco Sulzner Midfielder
31
Fabian Wohlmuth
Fabian Wohlmuth Midfielder
34
Emmanuel Agyemang
Emmanuel Agyemang Midfielder
18
Alessandro Schöpf
Alessandro Schöpf
Midfielder70'
7
Angelo Gattermayer
Angelo Gattermayer Attacker
10
Donis Avdijaj
Donis Avdijaj
Midfielder84'
9
Erik Kojzek
Erik Kojzek Attacker
35
Emmanuel Chukwu
Emmanuel Chukwu
Defender46'
20
Dejan Zukic
Dejan Zukic Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Kingstone Mutandwa
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+3'
87'
Event
Marco Sulzner
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
85'
Event
Cheick Mamadou Diabaté → Dominik Baumgartner
6th Substitution
Event
Joris Boguo → Antonio Van Wyk
4th Substitution
84'
84'
Event
Rene Renner → Boris Matic
5th Substitution
84'
Event
Donis Avdijaj → Angelo Gattermayer
3rd Substitution
Event
Kingstone Mutandwa
Header / 1st Goal
80'
72'
Event
Angelo Gattermayer
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
70'
Event
Alessandro Schöpf → Emmanuel Agyemang
2nd Substitution
Event
Yussef Nasrawe
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
61'
58'
Event
Nicolas Wimmer
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Emmanuel Chukwu → Erik Kojzek
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
37'
Event
Fabian Wohlmuth
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Kingstone Mutandwa takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
87
Attempt Attempt
Marco Sulzner takes a right-footed shot and scores.
83
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Van Wyk attempts a header but misses the shot.
82
Attempt Attempt
Emmanuel Chukwu takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
80
Update Update
Kingstone Mutandwa scores with a header.
77
Attempt Attempt
Ante Bajic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Angelo Gattermayer receives a yellow card.
67
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Bajlicz takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
66
Attempt Attempt
Ante Bajic's left-footed shot is blocked.
64
Attempt Attempt
Kingstone Mutandwa takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yussef Nasrawe receives a yellow card.
59
Attempt Attempt
Moegamat Yusuf Maart takes a left-footed shot but misses.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nicolas Wimmer receives a yellow card.
54
Attempt Attempt
Yussef Nasrawe takes a left-footed shot but misses.
52
Attempt Attempt
Yussef Nasrawe takes a left-footed shot but misses.
49
Attempt Attempt
Emmanuel Chukwu takes a right-footed shot but misses.
47
Attempt Attempt
Philipp Pomer takes a left-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Van Wyk takes a left-footed shot but misses.
39
Attempt Attempt
Marco Sulzner takes a right-footed shot but misses.
37
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Fabian Wohlmuth receives a yellow card.
29
Attempt Attempt
Ante Bajic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
27
Attempt Attempt
Yussef Nasrawe takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
26
Attempt Attempt
Yussef Nasrawe's left-footed shot is saved.
24
Attempt Attempt
Kingstone Mutandwa takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Nikki Havenaar attempts a header but misses the shot.
11
Attempt Attempt
Angelo Gattermayer's right-footed shot is blocked.
8
Attempt Attempt
Emmanuel Agyeman Ofori takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
7
Attempt Attempt
Kingstone Mutandwa takes a left-footed shot but misses.
5
Attempt Attempt
Yussef Nasrawe takes a left-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Ried 2-1 Wolfsberger AC. Structural assessment: Ried exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Ried vs Wolfsberger AC preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Author

Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.