Reggiana vs Pescara Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore Mon, 6 Apr - 1:00 PM

Serie B

Reggiana Reggiana

Pescara PES

Full Time Mon, 6 Apr 1:00 PM

Round 33 Regular Season

Mathis Lambourde - 68'

Lorenzo Meazzi - 89'

Lorenzo Insigne - 50'

Giacomo Olzer - 21'

Alessandro Tripaldelli 90+6'

CONTEXT

The match between Reggiana and Pescara has finished, with Pescara securing a decisive 3-1 victory away from home after taking a 1-0 lead into the half-time break. The final outcome aligned well with pre-match market expectations, which identified Pescara as the stronger team with a 40.9% probability of winning, compared to Reggiana's 31.1% and a 28.1% chance of a draw. Despite being the expected winners, Pescara generated a significant deviation level of 59.1% from these baseline projections, reflecting an unexpectedly dominant overall display. Pescara comfortably dictated the tempo, holding 65% of the possession and restricting the hosts to just 35% of the ball. Although expected goals (xG) data was not available to evaluate underlying chance quality, the teams' attacking output and efficiency shifts were perfectly in line with standard expectations. The match's second-half dynamics were severely impacted by a red card issued to Reggiana. This numerical disadvantage created notable tactical distortion, preventing the home side from mounting a comeback and allowing Pescara to comfortably seal their 3-1 triumph.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Pescara showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

L. Marinelli

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

G. Collu

4th Official

L. Rossi

1st Assistant

M. Ricci

2nd Assistant

P. Bisoli

G. Gorgone

0.84

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

0.96

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 0 - 3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Reggiana

31.05%

Draw

28.09%

Pescara

40.86%

Team Power Ranking

45.59

47.99

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Reggiana

Pescara

Power Score

45.59

47.99

League Position

Global Rank

871

782

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Reggiana — Opponent-weighted form score

Pescara — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Reggiana Pescara

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Reggiana

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Pescara

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Reggiana ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Pescara

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

18.86

21.46

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

21.46

18.86

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Reggiana -0.25 Efficiency Index

Pescara +0.25 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Reggiana

Pescara

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Reggiana ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Pescara

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Reggiana Pescara

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Reggiana Pescara

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Reggiana

Pescara

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Reggiana

Pescara

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Reggiana Pescara

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Reggiana Pescara

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Reggiana

Pescara

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Reggiana Reggiana Home

4 matches

Pescara PES Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-1

Data last updated: 2026-04-07T00:02:11+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

Match Formation 4-3-2-1

1 A. Micai

2 A. Papetti

34 F. Vicari

47 M. Vanelli Lusuardi

17 L. Libutti

8 C. Lima Pontes

57 L. Belardinelli

23 M. Rover

90 M. Portanova

10 K. Bozhanaj

77 T. Fumagalli

22 I. Saio

3 G. Letizia

6 D. Bettella

15 G. Altare

2 R. Capellini

21 F. Caligara

8 G. Brugman

14 L. Valzania

11 L. Insigne

27 G. Olzer

9 A. Di Nardo

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 06, 2026, 01:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 33 · Regular Season

Stadium :

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Capacity :

21584

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Giuseppe Collu

Livio Marinelli

Luigi Rossi

Marco Ricci

Statistics

Possession

Reggiana

37%

PES

63%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3

5 Shots 11

32 Dangerous attacks 59

35 Possession 65

2 Corners 2

21 Free kicks 15

0 Yellow Cards 3

1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

7 Dribble Attempts 11

84 Ball Safe 94

18 Throwins 18

13 Goal Kicks 9

5 Goal Attempts 11

0 Hit Woodwork 1

5 Substitutions 5

1 Assists 2

Attacking

83 Attacks 122

Possession

71 Successful Passes Percentage 85

25 Long Passes 26

274 Passes 527

195 Successful Passes 448

7 Key Passes 18

Defensive

3 Saves 2

16 Tackles 12

8 Interceptions 8

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 4

Discipline

2 Offsides 2

15 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Livio Marinelli

Manager ▼

P. Bisoli Coach

Starting XI ▼

Alessandro Micai Goalkeeper

Andrea Papetti Defender

Alessandro Tripaldelli

Defender46'

Lorenzo Libutti Defender

Francesco Vicari Defender

Massimo Bertagnoli

Midfielder79'

Mateus Lusuardi Defender

Charlys Midfielder

Tobías Reinhart

Midfielder54'

Kleis Bozhanaj Midfielder

Matteo Rover Midfielder

Mathis Lambourde

Attacker46'

Luca Belardinelli Midfielder

Manolo Portanova Midfielder

Tommaso Fumagalli Attacker

Cedric Gondo

Attacker46'

Substitutes ▼

Mathis Lambourde

Attacker46'

Cedric Gondo

Attacker46'

Alessandro Tripaldelli

Defender46'

Tobías Reinhart

Midfielder54'

Massimo Bertagnoli

Midfielder79'

Bench ▼

Andrea Seculin Goalkeeper

Matteo Cardinali Goalkeeper

Danilo Quaranta Defender

Simone Bonetti Defender

Lucas Pasquoto Defender

Francesco Vallarelli Midfielder

Leonardo Mendicino Midfielder

Referee : Livio Marinelli