Real Zaragoza vs Sporting Gijón Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio de la Romareda Sun, 17 May - 7:15 PM
La Liga 2
Real Zaragoza ZAR
1 Winner 3
Sporting Gijón SPO
Full Time Sun, 17 May 7:15 PM
Round 40 Regular Season
Yussif Saidu - 23'
Goal
|
Goal
Amadou Coundoul - 90+5'
Àlex Corredera - 41' (P)
Lucas Perrin - 29'

CONTEXT

Real Zaragoza hosted Sporting Gijón in a match that ended 1-3 to the visitors. The home side took an early lead but trailed 1-2 at halftime. Sporting Gijón maintained control in the second half to secure the win. Real Zaragoza recorded 56 percent possession compared to 44 percent for the away team. No red cards were shown to either side during the contest. Sporting Gijón was noted as the stronger team beforehand and delivered a performance consistent with that assessment. The result featured a significant deviation from initial projections for the winning side. The match highlighted clear differences in clinical finishing between the two sides.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sporting Gijón recorded a significant structural deviation from pre-match projections.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with overall team performance.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment data was unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Market alignment: The final result was not aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be assessed due to missing data.
  • Event impact: Key second half events allowed Sporting Gijón to extend their lead to 1-3.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so there was no distortion from disciplinary events.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. González Esteban

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Pérez de Colosía Alonso

1st Assistant

Spain

L. Marín Robles

2nd Assistant

Spain

P. Arenas Mora

4th Official

Spain

League averages

La Liga 2 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.86
Yellow cards / match 4.82
Red cards / match 0.27
Penalties / match 0.33
Real Zaragoza D. Navarro Arenaz
D. Navarro Arenaz
VS
Sporting Gijón B. Jiménez Sáez
B. Jiménez Sáez
1.04
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.28
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 L
Granada Rank: 64 L
Huesca Rank: 57 L
Ceuta Rank: 61 D
Córdoba Rank: 64 L
Mirandés Rank: 58 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Málaga Rank: 69 L
Ceuta Rank: 61 L
Córdoba Rank: 62 L
Cádiz Rank: 56 W
Burgos Rank: 68 L
Real Sociedad II Rank: 60 W
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 9 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Zaragoza
50.14%
Draw
27.78%
Away Sporting Gijón
22.09%

Movement

Changes since opening
Real Zaragoza
+49.51%
Draw
+18.26%
Sporting Gijón
-67.76%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
55.85
63.69
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Zaragoza
Sporting Gijón
Power Score
55.85
63.69
League Position
22
12
Global Rank
613
363

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Zaragoza — Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting Gijón — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Zaragoza Sporting Gijón

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Real Zaragoza

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sporting Gijón

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Real Zaragoza ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sporting Gijón
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.55
26.25
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.25
34.55
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Real Zaragoza +0.83 Efficiency Index
vs
Sporting Gijón -0.83 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Real Zaragoza
Sporting Gijón
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Real Zaragoza ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sporting Gijón
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Real Zaragoza Sporting Gijón
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Real Zaragoza Sporting Gijón
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Real Zaragoza
Sporting Gijón
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Real Zaragoza
vs
Sporting Gijón
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Real Zaragoza Sporting Gijón
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Real Zaragoza 0.24
Sporting Gijón 0.32
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Real Zaragoza Sporting Gijón
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Real Zaragoza 0.10
Sporting Gijón 0.01
Real Zaragoza
Sporting Gijón
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ZAR had peak pressure around 79'.
  • ZAR started the game with stronger pressure.
ZAR Pressure SPO Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ZAR reached the top pressure at 79' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 27 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Zaragoza ZAR Home
27 matches
Sporting Gijón SPO Away
Match Record
11
Wins
7
9
Draws
9
7
Losses
11
Goals
36
Goals Scored
32
32
Goals Conceded
36
+4
Goal Difference
-4

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T09:07:00+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
A. Rodríguez Giménez
Argentina
13 A. Rodríguez Giménez
J. Serrano
Substitution
Spain
2 J. Serrano
J. El Yamiq
Morocco
18 J. El Yamiq
A. Radovanović
Substitution
Serbia
16 A. Radovanović
D. Esmorís Tasende
Substitution
Spain
3 D. Esmorís Tasende
Y. Saidu
33 Y. Saidu
M. Cuenca Aranda
Substitution
Spain
23 M. Cuenca Aranda
A. Moya Vega
Spain
8 A. Moya Vega
K. Bare
Albania
6 K. Bare
H. Pinilla Ruiz
Substitution
31 H. Pinilla Ruiz
D. Gómez Alcón
Spain
9 D. Gómez Alcón
Pitch
O. Yáñez Alabart
Spain
1 O. Yáñez Alabart
A. Cuenca Cejudo
Spain
44 A. Cuenca Cejudo
L. Perrin
France
4 L. Perrin
P. Vázquez Pérez
Spain
15 P. Vázquez Pérez
P. García Carrasco
Substitution
Spain
3 P. García Carrasco
A. Corredera Alardi
Spain
14 A. Corredera Alardi
J. Smith
Substitution
British Virgin Islands
24 J. Smith
M. Rodríguez Paz
Spain
36 M. Rodríguez Paz
G. Rosas Alonso
Substitution
Spain
2 G. Rosas Alonso
G. Campos Ansó Fernández
Spain
7 G. Campos Ansó Fernández
C. Gelabert Pina
Substitution
Spain
10 C. Gelabert Pina

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 07:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 40 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio de la Romareda
Capacity :
33608
Attendance :
12316
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Jon Ander González Esteban
David Pérez de Colosía Alonso
Luis Miguel Marín Robles
Pol Arenas Mora

Statistics

Possession
ZAR
54%
SPO
46%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
1 Big Chances Created 5
8 Shots 3
67 Dangerous attacks 31
56 Possession 44
9 Corners 2
19 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

26 Throwins 15
5 Successful Dribbles 6
29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 55
17 Dribble Attempts 11
8 Goal Kicks 11
0 Assists 2
0 Penalties 1
88 Ball Safe 97
9 Goal Attempts 10
5 Substitutions 4
1 Injuries 2

Attacking

98 Attacks 88
1 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

359 Successful Passes 282
45 Long Passes 57
23 Successful Long Passes 24
51 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42
85 Successful Passes Percentage 79
421 Passes 356
9 Key Passes 9

Defensive

8 Interceptions 6
43 Duels Won 45
9 Tackles 18
4 Saves 2

Build-up

37 Total Crosses 12
7 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

10 Fouls 19
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Jon Ander González Esteban

Starting XI ▼

13
Adrián Rodríguez
Adrián Rodríguez Goalkeeper
2
Juan Sebastián
Juan Sebastián Defender
36
Alejandro Gomes Furtado
Alejandro Gomes Furtado
Defender74'
3
Dani Tasende
Dani Tasende Defender
27
Juan Larios
Juan Larios
Defender74'
16
Aleksandar Radovanovic
Aleksandar Radovanovic Defender
19
Kenan Kodro
Kenan Kodro
Attacker46'
18
Jawad El Yamiq
Jawad El Yamiq Defender
6
Keidi Bare
Keidi Bare Midfielder
8
Toni Moya
Toni Moya Midfielder
23
Marcos Cuenca
Marcos Cuenca Midfielder
17
Sebas Moyano
Sebas Moyano
Attacker46'
31
Hugo Pinilla
Hugo Pinilla Midfielder
29
Jaime Tobajas
Jaime Tobajas
Midfielder78'
33
Yussif Saidu
Yussif Saidu Midfielder
9
Dani Gómez
Dani Gómez Attacker
Referee : Jon Ander González Esteban

Starting XI ▼

1
Rubén Yáñez
Rubén Yáñez Goalkeeper
4
Lucas Perrin
Lucas Perrin Defender
15
Pablo Vázquez
Pablo Vázquez Defender
44
Andrés Cuenca
Andrés Cuenca Defender
2
Guille Rosas
Guille Rosas Midfielder
20
Kevin Vázquez
Kevin Vázquez
Defender54'
3
Pablo García
Pablo García Midfielder
5
Diego Sánchez
Diego Sánchez
Defender86'
14
Àlex Corredera
Àlex Corredera Midfielder
24
Justin Smith
Justin Smith Midfielder
18
Amadou Coundoul
Amadou Coundoul
Attacker69'
36
Manu Rodríguez
Manu Rodríguez Midfielder
7
Gaspar Campos
Gaspar Campos Attacker
10
César Gelabert
César Gelabert Attacker
8
Jesús Bernal
Jesús Bernal
Midfielder69'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+5'
Event
Amadou Coundoul
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
86'
Event
Diego Sánchez → Pablo García
9th Substitution
79'
Event
Jesús Bernal
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Jaime Tobajas → Hugo Pinilla
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Alejandro Gomes Furtado → Juan Sebastián
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Juan Larios → Dani Tasende
7th Substitution
74'
69'
Event
Jesús Bernal → César Gelabert
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Amadou Coundoul → Justin Smith
5th Substitution
65'
Event
Rubén Yáñez
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
60'
Event
Pablo García
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
54'
Event
Kevin Vázquez → Guille Rosas
3rd Substitution
Event
Kenan Kodro → Aleksandar Radovanovic
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Sebas Moyano → Marcos Cuenca
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
41'
Event
Àlex Corredera
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
40'
Event
Àlex Corredera
Review
Event
Adrián Rodríguez
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
39'
37'
Event
Àlex Corredera
Penalty awarded
29'
Event
Lucas Perrin
Header / 2nd Goal
Event
Yussif Saidu
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
23'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Amadou Coundoul scores with a right-footed shot.
85
Update Update
Diego Sanchez comes on for Pablo Garcia Carrasco.
78
Update Update
Jaime Tobajas replaces Hugo Pinilla.
74
Update Update
Juan Larios replaces Dani Tasende.
74
Substitution Substitution
Ale Gomes is substituted for Juan Serrano.
73
Attempt Attempt
Amadou Coundoul's header is saved.
72
Attempt Attempt
Amadou Coundoul's header is saved.
71
Attempt Attempt
Dani Tasende takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
70
Attempt Attempt
Jawad El Yamiq's header is saved.
69
Update Update
Amadou Coundoul is on, and Justin Smith is off.
69
Substitution Substitution
Jesus Bernal is substituted for Cesar Gelabert.
66
Attempt Attempt
Dani Tasende takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Orlando Ruben Yanez Alabart.
63
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Sebastian Moyano Jimenez takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Pablo Garcia Carrasco receives a yellow card.
58
Attempt Attempt
Cesar Gelabert takes a right-footed shot but misses.
55
Attempt Attempt
Hugo Pinilla's right-footed shot is blocked.
55
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Moya Vega takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
54
Update Update
Kevin Vazquez Comesana replaces Guillermo Rosas Alonso.
53
Attempt Attempt
Dani Tasende's left-footed shot is blocked.
49
Attempt Attempt
Guillermo Rosas Alonso takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Francisco Sebastian Moyano Jimenez comes on for Marcos Aranda Cuenca.
46
Update Update
Kenan Kodro comes on for Aleksandar Radovanovic.
45
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Moya Vega takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Aleksandar Radovanovic attempts a header but misses the shot.
45
Attempt Attempt
Marcos Aranda Cuenca attempts a header but misses the shot.
41
Attempt Attempt
Allexandre Corredera Alardi takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
41
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Allexandre Corredera Alardi scores, making it 1-2.
39
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved! Allexandre Corredera Alardi misses the penalty.
37
Update Update
Penalty awarded after a VAR decision to Allexandre Corredera Alardi.
32
Attempt Attempt
Cesar Gelabert takes a left-footed shot but misses.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lucas Perrin scores, making it 1-1.
29
Update Update
Lucas Perrin scores with a header.
28
Attempt Attempt
Justin Smith takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
23
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Yussif Saidu scores to make it 1-0.
23
Attempt Attempt
Yussif Saidu scores with a left-footed shot.
23
Attempt Attempt
Yussif Saidu scores with a left-footed shot.
14
Attempt Attempt
Marcos Aranda Cuenca takes a right-footed shot but misses.
12
Attempt Attempt
Marcos Aranda Cuenca attempts a header but misses the shot.
11
Attempt Attempt
Hugo Pinilla takes a right-footed shot but misses.
9
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Moya Vega takes a right-footed shot but misses.
5
Attempt Attempt
Marcos Aranda Cuenca takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Sporting Gijón claimed a solid away victory against Real Zaragoza by three goals to one. The visitors overturned an early deficit and added further goals after the break to confirm their superiority. Real Zaragoza enjoyed greater possession but lacked the efficiency needed to challenge the result. With no red cards issued the game remained balanced in terms of player numbers throughout. The outcome reflected the pre-match view of Sporting Gijón as the stronger side. This performance underlined their ability to capitalize on opportunities while restricting the hosts. The final scoreline of 1-3 stands as a clear indicator of the difference in execution on the day.

Real Zaragoza vs Sporting Gijón preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.