Real Zaragoza vs Mirandés Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Estadio de la Romareda Sun, 5 Apr - 7:00 PM

La Liga 2

Real Zaragoza ZAR

Mirandés MIR

Full Time Sun, 5 Apr 7:00 PM

Round 34 Regular Season

Dani Gómez - 23' (P)

Carlos Fernández - 53'

Unax del Cura - 45'

CONTEXT

The match between Real Zaragoza and Mirandés has finished, with Mirandés securing a 2-1 away victory. The teams went into the halftime break locked in a 1-1 draw, but the visitors ultimately pulled ahead in the second half. This result represents a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, as Mirandés stunned the stronger home side. Real Zaragoza entered the contest as clear favorites with a 47.2% implied win probability, while the visitors were given just a 24.2% chance of winning alongside a 28.6% probability of a draw. Consequently, the final outcome completely failed to align with the pre-match market. Real Zaragoza controlled the tempo for much of the game, finishing with 61% possession compared to Mirandés' 39%, but failed to translate that possession into a decisive advantage. Expected goals (xG) data is unavailable for this fixture, making it impossible to evaluate if the result aligned with the underlying chance creation. However, the overall efficiency shift was measured to be in line with the general flow of the contest. The match was played without any major disciplinary disruptions, as neither team received a red card.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Mirandés showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

M. Orellana Cid

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

?. Ramos Cinos

1st Assistant

J. Sarmiento Millet

2nd Assistant

R. Gonzalo Sánchez

4th Official

D. Navarro Arenaz

A. Muneta Beldarrain

1.08

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

0.85

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

6 - 8 - 7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Real Zaragoza

47.21%

Draw

28.61%

Mirandés

24.18%

Team Power Ranking

60.76

59.13

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Real Zaragoza

Mirandés

Power Score

60.76

59.13

League Position

Global Rank

451

498

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Real Zaragoza — Opponent-weighted form score

Mirandés — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Zaragoza Mirandés

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Real Zaragoza

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Mirandés

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Real Zaragoza ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Mirandés

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

48.28

43.08

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

43.08

48.28

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Real Zaragoza +0.53 Efficiency Index

Mirandés -0.53 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Real Zaragoza

Mirandés

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Real Zaragoza ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Mirandés

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Real Zaragoza Mirandés

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Real Zaragoza Mirandés

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Real Zaragoza

Mirandés

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Real Zaragoza

Mirandés

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Real Zaragoza Mirandés

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Real Zaragoza Mirandés

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Real Zaragoza

Mirandés

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Zaragoza ZAR Home

21 matches

Mirandés MIR Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-2

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-06T00:06:30+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2

1 E. Andrada

20 M. Aguirregabiria Padilla

18 J. El Yamiq

16 A. Radovanović

27 J. Larios López

11 R. González Bayón

33 Y. Saidu

6 K. Bare

31 H. Pinilla Ruiz

19 K. Kodro

9 D. Gómez Alcón

13 J. Palomares Pulpillo

3 F. Medrano Gastañaga

15 J. Cabello Trujillo

22 J. Gutiérrez Martínez

27 T. Tamarit Tamarit

30 S. El Jebari El Hannouni

6 T. Helguera Merello Volante

18 R. Bauzà Sureda

28 F. Hernandez Coarasa

48 U. del Cura Urra

10 C. Fernández Luna

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 05, 2026, 07:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 34 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Estadio de la Romareda

Capacity :

33608

Attendance :

17410

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid

Ángel Ramos Cinos

José Manuel Sarmiento Millet

R. Gonzalo Sánchez

Statistics

Possession

ZAR

59%

MIR

41%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2

4 Big Chances Created 2

7 Shots 14

69 Dangerous attacks 36

61 Possession 39

6 Corners 6

21 Free kicks 16

5 Yellow Cards 8

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 5

59 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67

22 Throwins 15

7 Goal Kicks 7

13 Successful Dribbles 8

13 Dribble Attempts 8

1 Penalties 0

1 Hit Woodwork 1

60 Ball Safe 65

13 Goal Attempts 8

0 Assists 1

Attacking

105 Attacks 61

Possession

82 Successful Passes Percentage 74

357 Passes 231

290 Successful Passes 171

30 Long Passes 21

16 Key Passes 9

Defensive

71 Duels Won 52

10 Interceptions 4

13 Tackles 18

2 Saves 5

Build-up

33 Total Crosses 10

Discipline

16 Fouls 22

1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid

Manager ▼

D. Navarro Arenaz Coach

Starting XI ▼

Esteban Andrada Goalkeeper

Aleksandar Radovanovic Defender

Jawad El Yamiq Defender

Martín Aguirregabiria Defender

Juan Larios Defender

Keidi Bare Midfielder

Rober González Midfielder

Dani Tasende

Defender80'

Hugo Pinilla Midfielder

Marcos Cuenca

Attacker46'

Yussif Saidu Midfielder

Mawuli Kwame Mensah Vadze

Midfielder46'

Dani Gómez Attacker

Mario Soberón

Attacker73'

Kenan Kodro Attacker

Substitutes ▼

Mawuli Kwame Mensah Vadze

Midfielder46'

Marcos Cuenca

Attacker46'

Mario Soberón

Attacker73'

Dani Tasende

Defender80'

Bench ▼

Adrián Rodríguez Goalkeeper

Juan Sebastián Defender

Pablo Insua Defender

Carlos Pomares Defender

Alejandro Gomes Furtado Defender

Toni Moya Midfielder

Sebas Moyano Attacker

Nikola Cumic Attacker

Referee : Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid