Real Valladolid vs Real Sociedad II Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla Sat, 25 Apr - 2:15 PM

La Liga 2

Real Valladolid REV

Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II

Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 2:15 PM

Round 37 Regular Season

Lucas Sanseviero - 88'

CONTEXT

Real Valladolid secured a 1-0 victory over Real Sociedad II in a low-scoring affair that remained goalless at halftime with a 0-0 scoreline. The home side dominated possession at 54% compared to the visitors' 46%, reflecting their status as the stronger team. No red cards were issued, and the match proceeded without major disruptions or second-half tactical adjustments. Pre-match assessments gave Valladolid a 62% implied probability of winning, with the actual result demonstrating a significant 38% deviation in their favor. Market expectations aligned with the outcome, as the home win matched the favored projection. Efficiency metrics stayed in line with anticipations, though xG data was unavailable for deeper chance quality analysis. Valladolid's control and clinical finishing in the second half proved sufficient to claim the three points, underscoring their structural edge against a resilient Real Sociedad II defense.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: The result exhibited a significant 38% deviation favoring Real Valladolid.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match expectations.
xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevented assessment of alignment with outcome.
Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market projections.
xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to lack of data.
Event impact: No key events or adjustments influenced the match proceedings.
Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion from player dismissals.
Market: Real Valladolid 62% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23% (Δ+0%) | Real Sociedad II 15% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

M. Huerta de Aza

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

?. Carreño Cabrera

1st Assistant

J. García Urbaneja

2nd Assistant

F. Sáiz Villares

4th Official

F. Escriba Segura

J. Ansotegi Gorostola

0.96

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.19

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 0 - 2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Real Valladolid

61.98%

Draw

22.98%

Real Sociedad II

15.03%

Team Power Ranking

18.39

17.55

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Real Valladolid

Real Sociedad II

Power Score

18.39

17.55

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Real Valladolid — Opponent-weighted form score

Real Sociedad II — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Valladolid Real Sociedad II

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Real Valladolid

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Real Sociedad II

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Real Valladolid ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Real Sociedad II

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

25.74

27.28

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

27.28

25.74

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Real Valladolid -0.16 Efficiency Index

Real Sociedad II +0.16 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Real Valladolid

Real Sociedad II

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Real Valladolid ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Real Sociedad II

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Real Valladolid Real Sociedad II

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Real Valladolid Real Sociedad II

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Real Valladolid

Real Sociedad II

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Real Valladolid

Real Sociedad II

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Real Valladolid Real Sociedad II

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Real Valladolid Real Sociedad II

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Real Valladolid

Real Sociedad II

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

REV had peak pressure around 32'.
REV started the game with stronger pressure.

REV Pressure Real Sociedad II Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: REV reached the top pressure at 32' (75.43).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Valladolid REV Home

3 matches

Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:05:27+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

Match Formation 4-4-2

1 Á. Aceves Catalina

14 I. Alejo Peralta

5 R. Martinez Gil

4 D. Torres Ortiz

18 C. Clerc Martínez

21 J. Ponceau

24 S. Jurić

22 P. Gonzalez Carmona

20 I. San José Cantalejo

17 S. Biuk

10 M. de Sousa Mendonça

13 E. Arana Aizpurua

23 U. Agote Aranburu

3 J. Balda Zubiri

39 U. Ayo Larrañaga

22 A. Dadie Izagirre

19 A. Marchal Garcia

31 I. Aguirre Basurko

14 T. Carbonell Del Rio

17 L. Astiazarán Escabias

18 G. Carrera Zarranz

10 A. Mariezkurrena Etxezarreta

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 25, 2026, 02:15 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Capacity :

27618

Attendance :

15693

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Marta Huerta de Aza

Álvaro Yeray Carreño Cabrera

José Unai García Urbaneja

F. Sáiz Villares

Statistics

Possession

REV

55%

Real Sociedad II

45%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0

0 Big Chances Created 2

3 Shots 7

58 Dangerous attacks 31

54 Possession 46

9 Corners 1

12 Free kicks 12

2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

22 Dribble Attempts 13

8 Goal Attempts 9

18 Successful Dribbles 7

89 Ball Safe 90

22 Throwins 14

82 Successful Dribbles Percentage 54

15 Goal Kicks 15

2 Injuries 1

5 Substitutions 5

1 Assists 0

Attacking

94 Attacks 74

0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

350 Successful Passes 297

53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39

425 Passes 370

28 Successful Long Passes 22

82 Successful Passes Percentage 80

53 Long Passes 56

10 Key Passes 8

Defensive

14 Tackles 20

60 Duels Won 45

10 Interceptions 9

3 Saves 0

Build-up

30 Total Crosses 12

11 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

12 Fouls 12

2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Marta Huerta de Aza

Manager ▼

F. Escriba Segura Coach

Starting XI ▼

Álvaro Aceves Goalkeeper

6.67

David Torres Defender

6.75

Ramón Martínez Defender

6.48

Pablo Tomeo

Defender46'

6.73

Iván Alejo Defender

6.99

Carlos Clerc Defender

6.68

Stipe Biuk Midfielder

6.72

Chuki Midfielder

7.02

Juanmi Latasa

Attacker58'

6.9

Julien Ponceau Midfielder

6.84

Peter Federico Midfielder

6.9

Amath Ndiaye

Attacker58'

6.85

Stanko Juric Midfielder

6.94

Mathis Lachuer

Midfielder77'

6.64

Marcos André Attacker

6.75

Lucas Sanseviero

Attacker71'

6.43

Substitutes ▼

Pablo Tomeo

Defender46'

6.73

Juanmi Latasa

Attacker58'

6.9

Amath Ndiaye

Attacker58'

6.85

Lucas Sanseviero

Attacker71'

6.43

Mathis Lachuer

Midfielder77'

6.64

Bench ▼

Guilherme Fernandes Goalkeeper

6.79

Clément Michelin Defender

6.72

Mohamed Jaouab Defender

6.47

Hugo San Defender

6.56

Víctor Meseguer Midfielder

6.77

Mario Maroto Midfielder

6.66

Brain Obosso Midfielder

Referee : Marta Huerta de Aza