Real Valladolid vs Cádiz Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla Tue, 31 Mar - 7:30 PM

La Liga 2

Real Valladolid REV

Cádiz CAD

Full Time Tue, 31 Mar 7:30 PM

Round 33 Regular Season

Chuki - 75', 15'

Dawda Camara - 29' (Own Goal)

CONTEXT

The match between Real Valladolid and Cádiz has finished, with the hosts securing a decisive 3-0 full-time victory. Real Valladolid laid the groundwork early, taking a comfortable 2-0 lead into the halftime break. This outcome perfectly aligned with the pre-match market, which gave Valladolid a heavy 62.1% win probability compared to a 22.6% chance of a draw and just 15.3% for the visitors. Despite Cádiz being rated as the overall stronger team, Valladolid produced a significant deviation in their favor to claim the win. On the pitch, Real Valladolid controlled the tempo, recording 56% possession while limiting Cádiz to 44% of the ball. Because expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, it is impossible to assess if the final scoreline aligned with the underlying chance creation. However, the overall efficiency shift was strictly in line with expectations. The match proceeded without any major disciplinary disruptions, as neither side received a red card. Operating with a full complement of players for the entire 90 minutes, Real Valladolid smoothly converted their pre-match market advantage into a dominant, clean-sheet triumph.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Real Valladolid showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

J. González Esteban

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Pérez de Colosía Alonso

1st Assistant

L. Marín Robles

2nd Assistant

I. de Santisteban Adame

4th Official

F. Escriba Segura

S. González Soriano

1.04

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

2 - 6 - 3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Real Valladolid

62.13%

Draw

22.55%

Cádiz

15.32%

Team Power Ranking

56.43

59.27

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Real Valladolid

Cádiz

Power Score

56.43

59.27

League Position

Global Rank

442

489

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Real Valladolid — Opponent-weighted form score

Cádiz — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Valladolid Cádiz

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Real Valladolid

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Cádiz

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Real Valladolid ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Cádiz

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

27.77

20.34

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

20.34

27.77

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Real Valladolid +0.75 Efficiency Index

Cádiz -0.75 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Real Valladolid

Cádiz

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Real Valladolid ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Cádiz

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Real Valladolid Cádiz

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Real Valladolid Cádiz

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Real Valladolid

Cádiz

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Valladolid REV Home

11 matches

Cádiz CAD Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-2

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-02T08:59:58+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 Á. Aceves Catalina

14 I. Alejo Peralta

15 P. Tomeo Félez

4 D. Torres Ortiz

18 C. Clerc Martínez

24 (C) S. Jurić

21 J. Ponceau

22 P. Gonzalez Carmona

20 I. San José Cantalejo

17 S. Biuk

9 J. Latasa Fernandez Layos

13 V. Aznar Ussen

33 R. Pereira Vargas

38 S. Arribas Prieto

14 B. Kovačević

29 A. Caicedo Mina

24 J. González

8 (C) A. Fernández Iglesias

10 B. Ocampo Ferreira

11 J. Fernández Sáez de la Torre

19 J. de la Rosa

17 D. Camara Sankharé

General Information

Date & Time :

Mar 31, 2026, 07:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 33 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Capacity :

27618

Attendance :

14002

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ , Clear

Referees :

Jon Ander González Esteban

David Pérez de Colosía Alonso

Luis Miguel Marín Robles

Ignacio de Santisteban Adame

Statistics

Possession

REV

56%

CAD

44%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0

4 Big Chances Created 0

13 Shots 8

51 Dangerous attacks 19

56 Possession 44

7 Corners 2

13 Free kicks 13

0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 24

19 Throwins 18

20 Dribble Attempts 17

4 Goal Kicks 8

8 Successful Dribbles 4

9 Goal Attempts 5

78 Ball Safe 73

5 Substitutions 5

1 Assists 0

0 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

115 Attacks 96

2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

62 Long Passes 62

35 Successful Long Passes 19

84 Successful Passes Percentage 78

364 Successful Passes 275

431 Passes 352

56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31

11 Key Passes 5

Defensive

1 Saves 4

20 Tackles 19

8 Interceptions 7

54 Duels Won 47

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 11

6 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

13 Fouls 13

3 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Jon Ander González Esteban

Manager ▼

F. Escriba Segura Coach

Starting XI ▼

Álvaro Aceves Goalkeeper

7.09

David Torres Defender

6.6

Iván Alejo Defender

7.04

Clément Michelin

Defender71'

6.59

Pablo Tomeo Defender

6.92

Carlos Clerc Defender

7.06

Stipe Biuk Midfielder

6.93

Chuki Midfielder

8.76

Víctor Meseguer

Midfielder83'

6.6

Julien Ponceau Midfielder

6.95

Mathis Lachuer

Midfielder87'

Peter Federico Midfielder

7.34

Lucas Sanseviero

Attacker71'

6.87

Stanko Juric (C) Midfielder

7.05

Juanmi Latasa Attacker

6.75

Marcos André

Attacker83'

6.72

Substitutes ▼

Lucas Sanseviero

Attacker71'

6.87

Clément Michelin

Defender71'

6.59

Marcos André

Attacker83'

6.72

Víctor Meseguer

Midfielder83'

6.6

Mathis Lachuer

Midfielder87'

Bench ▼

Álvaro de Pablo Goalkeeper

Ramón Martínez Defender

Mohamed Jaouab Defender

Hugo San Defender

Sergi Canós Attacker

Vegard Erlien Attacker

Noah Ohio Attacker

Referee : Jon Ander González Esteban