Real Sociedad vs Valencia Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Anoeta Stadium Sun, 17 May - 5:00 PM
La Liga
Real Sociedad RSO
Versus
Valencia VAL
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 5:00 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Real Sociedad host Valencia in La Liga (Regular Season) at Anoeta Stadium. Domestically, Real Sociedad sit 8th in the table while Valencia are 12th. Power ranking favours Real Sociedad by 2.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Real Sociedad possess a 2.1-point power advantage and occupy 8th place ahead of Valencia in 12th.
  • Form: Valencia hold the edge in recent form with a 17.22 score over Real Sociedad's 9.33.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates available for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both sides.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with proxy metrics used for Real Sociedad and Valencia.
  • xVariable: xG variable data unavailable due to lack of underlying metrics.
  • Market: Real Sociedad 43.1% (Δ+-0%) | Draw 27.3% (Δ-0.2%) | Valencia 29.6% (Δ+0.2%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Real Sociedad P. Matarazzo
P. Matarazzo
VS
Valencia C. Corberán Vallet
C. Corberán Vallet
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Girona Rank: 75 D
Real Betis Rank: 82 D
Sevilla Rank: 72 L
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 76 D
Getafe Rank: 76 L
Deportivo Alavés Rank: 77 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 79 D
Athletic Club Rank: 79 W
Atlético Madrid Rank: 89 L
Girona Rank: 76 W
Mallorca Rank: 76 D
Elche Rank: 74 L
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 9 - 12
12
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Sociedad
43.11%
Draw
27.25%
Away Valencia
29.64%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
79.91
77.77
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Sociedad
Valencia
Power Score
79.91
77.77
League Position
8
12
Global Rank
59
79

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Real Sociedad Opponent-weighted form score
Valencia Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Sociedad Valencia

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Sociedad RSO Home
35 matches
Valencia VAL Away
Match Record
14
Wins
12
9
Draws
9
12
Losses
14
Goals
46
Goals Scored
39
39
Goals Conceded
46
+7
Goal Difference
-7

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:05:43+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
A. Remiro Gargallo
Spain
1 A. Remiro Gargallo
J. Aramburu
Venezuela
2 J. Aramburu
J. Martín Vicente
Spain
31 J. Martín Vicente
D. Ćaleta-Car
Croatia
16 D. Ćaleta-Car
S. Gómez
Spain
17 S. Gómez
T. Kubo
Japan
14 T. Kubo
J. Gorrotxategi Etxaniz
Spain
4 J. Gorrotxategi Etxaniz
Y. Herrera Ravelo
Venezuela
12 Y. Herrera Ravelo
A. Barrenetxea Muguruza
Spain
7 A. Barrenetxea Muguruza
L. Sučić
Croatia
24 L. Sučić
M. Oyarzabal Ugarte
Spain
10 M. Oyarzabal Ugarte
Pitch
S. Dimitrievski
Macedonia
1 S. Dimitrievski
J. Gayá Peña
Spain
14 J. Gayá Peña
E. Cömert
Switzerland
24 E. Cömert
C. Tárrega Requeni
Spain
5 C. Tárrega Requeni
R. Saravia
Argentina
20 R. Saravia
L. Rioja González
Spain
11 L. Rioja González
G. Rodríguez
Argentina
2 G. Rodríguez
J. García Vayá
Spain
18 J. García Vayá
D. López Noguerol
Spain
16 D. López Noguerol
J. Guerra Moreno
Spain
8 J. Guerra Moreno
H. Duro
Spain
9 H. Duro

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Anoeta Stadium
Capacity :
40000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Lineup

Starting XI

1
Álex Remiro
Álex Remiro Goalkeeper
6.81
2
Jon Aramburu
Jon Aramburu Defender
6.74
16
Duje Caleta-Car
Duje Caleta-Car Defender
6.82
17
Sergio Gómez
Sergio Gómez Defender
6.93
31
Jon Martín
Jon Martín Defender
6.91
4
Jon Gorrotxategi
Jon Gorrotxategi Midfielder
6.8
7
Ander Barrenetxea
Ander Barrenetxea Midfielder
6.85
12
Yangel Herrera
Yangel Herrera Midfielder
6.5
14
Takefusa Kubo
Takefusa Kubo Midfielder
7.02
10
Mikel Oyarzabal
Mikel Oyarzabal Attacker
7.17
24
Luka Sucic
Luka Sucic Attacker
6.75

Starting XI

1
Stole Dimitrievski
Stole Dimitrievski Goalkeeper
6.9
5
César Tárrega
César Tárrega Defender
6.72
14
José Gayà
José Gayà Defender
6.72
20
Renzo Saravia
Renzo Saravia Defender
6.61
24
Eray Cömert
Eray Cömert Defender
6.88
2
Guido Rodríguez
Guido Rodríguez Midfielder
6.97
11
Luis Rioja
Luis Rioja Midfielder
6.83
16
Diego López
Diego López Midfielder
6.67
18
Pepelu
Pepelu Midfielder
6.93
8
Javi Guerra
Javi Guerra Attacker
6.69
9
Hugo Duro
Hugo Duro Attacker
6.74

CONCLUSION

Real Sociedad enter as narrow favorites thanks to their home venue and power edge, but Valencia's stronger form injects real intrigue into this La Liga meeting. The hosts' structural solidity at Anoeta could stifle the visitors' momentum, yet transitional battles may decide the outcome amid absent efficiency insights. Without set-piece differentiators, expect a cagey affair where Sociedad's league position proves key. Valencia must capitalize on their form surge to upset the script in this balanced regular season tilt.

Real Sociedad vs Valencia preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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