Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Anoeta Stadium Sat, 11 Apr - 12:00 PM
La Liga
Real Sociedad RSO
3 – 3
Deportivo Alavés ALA
Full Time Sat, 11 Apr 12:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season
Orri Óskarsson - 60'
Antonio Sivera - 27' (Own Goal)
Luka Sucic - 14'
Goal
|
Goal
Lucas Boyé - 90+7'
Ibrahim Diabaté - 24'
Duje Caleta-Car - 3' (Own Goal)
Sergio Gómez 90+3' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

The match between Real Sociedad and Deportivo Alavés is now finished, ending 3-1 to the home side. The teams went in level at 2-2 at half-time, but Real Sociedad pulled clear after the break to secure the victory. Pre-match forecasts positioned Real Sociedad as the stronger side with a 54 percent projected chance of winning. The final result represented a significant deviation in their favor, exceeding those expectations. Possession was shared fairly evenly, with Real Sociedad holding 54 percent to Alavés's 46 percent. No xG data was available for the contest. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations overall, and the outcome proved consistent with the pre-match projection for the favored team. A red card for Real Sociedad introduced clear distortion in the second half, yet they still found an additional goal while preventing Alavés from scoring again, underlining their control despite the numerical disadvantage.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Real Sociedad showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

V. García Verdura

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Villaseñor Julián

2nd Assistant

I. Irurtzun Artola

4th Official

E. Fernández González

1st Assistant

Real Sociedad P. Matarazzo
P. Matarazzo
VS
Deportivo Alavés E. Sánchez Flores
E. Sánchez Flores
1.64
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Levante Rank: W
Villarreal Rank: L
Osasuna Rank: W
Atlético Madrid Rank: L
Mallorca Rank: W
Real Oviedo Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Osasuna Rank: D
Celta de Vigo Rank: W
Villarreal Rank: D
Valencia Rank: L
Levante Rank: L
Girona Rank: D
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 4 - 9
9

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Sociedad
53.69%
Draw
25.62%
Away Deportivo Alavés
20.69%

Movement

Changes since opening
Real Sociedad
+50.1%
Draw
-66.74%
Deportivo Alavés
+16.63%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
31.36
22.15
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Sociedad
Deportivo Alavés
Power Score
31.36
22.15
League Position
7
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Sociedad — Opponent-weighted form score
Deportivo Alavés — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Sociedad Deportivo Alavés

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Real Sociedad

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Deportivo Alavés

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Real Sociedad ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Deportivo Alavés
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.02
30.33
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.33
26.02
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Real Sociedad -0.39 Efficiency Index
vs
Deportivo Alavés +0.39 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Real Sociedad
Deportivo Alavés
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Real Sociedad ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Deportivo Alavés
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Real Sociedad Deportivo Alavés
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Real Sociedad Deportivo Alavés
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Real Sociedad
Deportivo Alavés
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Real Sociedad
vs
Deportivo Alavés
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Real Sociedad Deportivo Alavés
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Real Sociedad 0.29
Deportivo Alavés 0.31
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Real Sociedad Deportivo Alavés
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Real Sociedad 0.08
Deportivo Alavés 0.07
Real Sociedad
Deportivo Alavés
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ALA had peak pressure around 101'.
  • RSO started the game with stronger pressure.
RSO Pressure ALA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ALA reached the top pressure at 101' (76.81).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Sociedad RSO Home
24 matches
Deportivo Alavés ALA Away
Match Record
11
Wins
9
4
Draws
4
9
Losses
11
Goals
31
Goals Scored
23
23
Goals Conceded
31
+8
Goal Difference
-8

Data last updated: 2026-04-12T00:03:28+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
A. Remiro Gargallo
Spain
1 A. Remiro Gargallo
J. Aramburu
Venezuela
2 J. Aramburu
A. Elustondo Irribaria
Substitution
Spain
6 A. Elustondo Irribaria
D. Ćaleta-Car
Croatia
16 D. Ćaleta-Car
S. Gómez
Spain
17 S. Gómez
B. Turrientes Imaz
Spain
8 B. Turrientes Imaz
C. Soler Barragán
Spain
18 C. Soler Barragán
L. Sučić
Substitution
Croatia
24 L. Sučić
B. Méndez Portela
Substitution
Spain
23 B. Méndez Portela
A. Barrenetxea Muguruza
Substitution
Spain
7 A. Barrenetxea Muguruza
O. Óskarsson
Substitution
Iceland
9 O. Óskarsson
Pitch
A. Sivera Salvá
Spain
1 A. Sivera Salvá
A. Rebbach
Algeria
21 A. Rebbach
V. Parada González
Spain
24 V. Parada González
N. Tenaglia
Argentina
14 N. Tenaglia
J. Castro Otto
Spain
17 J. Castro Otto
A. Pérez Hidalgo
Substitution
Spain
7 A. Pérez Hidalgo
J. Guridi Aldalur
Substitution
Spain
18 J. Guridi Aldalur
A. Blanco Conde
Spain
8 A. Blanco Conde
P. Ibáñez Lumbreras
Substitution
Spain
19 P. Ibáñez Lumbreras
I. Diabate
Substitution
Ivory Coast
22 I. Diabate
A. Martínez López
Spain
11 A. Martínez López

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 11, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Anoeta Stadium
Capacity :
40000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Víctor García Verdura
Julián Villaseñor Julián
Imanol Irurtzun Artola
Eliana Fernández González

Statistics

Possession
RSO
54%
ALA
46%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 3
2 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 7
41 Dangerous attacks 39
54 Possession 46
9 Corners 5
18 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

2 Assists 1
7 Goal Kicks 7
9 Successful Dribbles 1
17 Throwins 13
1 Hit Woodwork 0
19 Dribble Attempts 7
6 Goal Attempts 7
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 14
104 Ball Safe 102
16 Successful Headers 16
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 0
119 Attacks 96

Possession

60 Long Passes 62
11 Key Passes 11
33 Successful Long Passes 21
83 Successful Passes Percentage 80
507 Passes 426
55 Successful Long Passes Percentage 34
420 Successful Passes 342

Defensive

7 Interceptions 16
0 Saves 2
17 Tackles 15

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 27
4 Accurate Crosses 9

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Víctor García Verdura

Starting XI ▼

1
Álex Remiro
Álex Remiro Goalkeeper
2
Jon Aramburu
Jon Aramburu Defender
6
Aritz Elustondo
Aritz Elustondo Defender
3
Aihen Muñoz
Aihen Muñoz
Defender86'
16
Duje Caleta-Car
Duje Caleta-Car Defender
17
Sergio Gómez
Sergio Gómez Defender
7
Ander Barrenetxea
Ander Barrenetxea Midfielder
11
Gonçalo Guedes
Gonçalo Guedes
Attacker46'
8
Beñat Turrientes
Beñat Turrientes Midfielder
18
Carlos Soler
Carlos Soler Midfielder
23
Brais Méndez
Brais Méndez Midfielder
14
Takefusa Kubo
Takefusa Kubo
Attacker54'
24
Luka Sucic
Luka Sucic Midfielder
38
Luken Beitia
Luken Beitia
Defender86'
9
Orri Óskarsson
Orri Óskarsson Attacker
15
Pablo Marín
Pablo Marín
Midfielder72'
Referee : Víctor García Verdura

Starting XI ▼

1
Antonio Sivera
Antonio Sivera Goalkeeper
7
Ángel Pérez
Ángel Pérez Defender
4
Denis Suárez
Denis Suárez
Midfielder86'
14
Nahuel Tenaglia
Nahuel Tenaglia Defender
17
Jonny Otto
Jonny Otto Defender
21
Abde Rebbach
Abde Rebbach Defender
24
Victor Parada
Victor Parada Defender
8
Antonio Blanco
Antonio Blanco Midfielder
18
Jon Guridi
Jon Guridi Midfielder
10
Carles Aleñá
Carles Aleñá
Midfielder66'
19
Pablo Ibáñez
Pablo Ibáñez Midfielder
6
Ander Guevara
Ander Guevara
Midfielder66'
11
Toni Martínez
Toni Martínez Attacker
22
Ibrahim Diabaté
Ibrahim Diabaté Attacker
15
Lucas Boyé
Lucas Boyé
Attacker60'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+10'
Event
Denis Suárez
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Gonçalo Guedes
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
90+9'
90+7'
Event
Lucas Boyé
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Sergio Gómez
Foul / 1st Redcard
90+3'
Event
Pellegrino Matarazzo
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Sergio Gómez
Card adjusted
90+2'
Event
Luken Beitia → Luka Sucic
7th Substitution
86'
Event
Aihen Muñoz → Aritz Elustondo
8th Substitution
86'
86'
Event
Denis Suárez → Ángel Pérez
9th Substitution
Event
Pablo Marín → Orri Óskarsson
6th Substitution
72'
66'
Event
Carles Aleñá → Jon Guridi
4th Substitution
66'
Event
Ander Guevara → Pablo Ibáñez
5th Substitution
66'
Event
Ángel Pérez
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
66'
Event
6th Yellowcard
Event
Takefusa Kubo
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
64'
Event
Orri Óskarsson
Header / 3rd Goal
60'
60'
Event
Lucas Boyé → Ibrahim Diabaté
3rd Substitution
59'
Event
Abde Rebbach
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Takefusa Kubo → Brais Méndez
2nd Substitution
54'
Event
Gonçalo Guedes → Ander Barrenetxea
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Antonio Sivera
Header / 2nd Own Goal
27'
24'
Event
Ibrahim Diabaté
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Luka Sucic
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
14'
3'
Event
Duje Caleta-Car
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lucas Boyé scores for Alaves with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the top right corner. The match is now 3-3.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Gonçalo Guedes of Real Sociedad receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Takefusa Kubo of Real Sociedad won a free kick on the right wing.
90
Update Update
Luken Beitia of Real Sociedad won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Toni Martínez of Alaves.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Denis Suárez of Alaves receives a yellow card.
90
Red Card Red Card Important
Sergio Gómez of Real Sociedad receives a red card.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Sociedad after Nahuel Tenaglia concedes.
90
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Blanco of Alaves had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box just wide. The assist came from Abde Rebbach's cross.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Victor Parada of Alaves.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with the match finishing 3-3 between Real Sociedad and Alaves.
90
Update Update
VAR decision: Sergio Gómez of Real Sociedad has had his card upgraded.
90
Update Update
Sergio Gómez from Real Sociedad committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Carles Aleñá from Alaves won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of added time.
89
Update Update
Handball by Lucas Boyé of Alaves.
88
Attempt Attempt
Toni Martínez from Alaves missed a chance, shooting with his left foot from the left side of the box. The assist came from Denis Suárez with a through ball.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Denis Suárez replaces Ángel Pérez.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: Aihen Muñoz replaces Aritz Elustondo.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: Luken Beitia replaces Luka Sucic.
85
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Luka Sucic from Real Sociedad.
83
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Boyé of Alaves had a missed chance, heading the ball from the left side of the box but it went wide to the left. Ángel Pérez provided the assist with a cross.
81
Update Update
Foul committed by Beñat Turrientes of Real Sociedad.
81
Update Update
Antonio Blanco from Alaves won a free kick in an attacking position.
81
Corner Corner
Luka Sucic of Real Sociedad missed a chance, shooting with his left foot from a difficult position on the right, sending the ball high. The assist came from Takefusa Kubo, who delivered a cross after a corner.
80
Corner Corner
Real Sociedad wins a corner after Nahuel Tenaglia concedes.
80
Attempt Attempt
Gonçalo Guedes of Real Sociedad has a shot from the center of the box blocked. The assist came from Pablo Marín.
79
Update Update
Foul committed by Jonny for Alaves.
79
Update Update
Pablo Marín of Real Sociedad won a free kick in defense.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alaves after Jon Aramburu concedes.
77
Update Update
Lucas Boyé from Alaves won a free kick in an attacking position.
77
Update Update
Duje Caleta-Car fouled a player from Real Sociedad.
76
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Blanco's shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist came from Toni Martínez.
76
Attempt Attempt
Victor Parada from Alaves had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from outside the box, but it went close and missed. Abde Rebbach provided the assist.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alaves after Jon Aramburu concedes.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: Pablo Marín replaces Orri Óskarsson.
72
Update Update
Luka Sucic fouled a player from Real Sociedad.
72
Update Update
Antonio Blanco from Alaves won a free kick in defense.
67
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Boyé from Alaves missed a chance with a right-footed shot from inside the six-yard box, sending the ball to the left of the goal. Ander Guevara provided the assist.
66
Update Update
Fouled by Ángel Pérez of Alaves.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Ander Guevara replaces Pablo Ibáñez.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ángel Pérez of Alaves receives a yellow card.
66
Update Update
Carlos Soler of Real Sociedad won a free kick in defense.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Carles Aleñá replaces Jon Guridi.
65
Update Update
Offside called against Alaves. Victor Parada is offside.
64
Update Update
Foul committed by Takefusa Kubo of Real Sociedad.
64
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Takefusa Kubo of Real Sociedad receives a yellow card for a foul.
64
Update Update
Jon Guridi from Alaves won a free kick in an attacking position.
63
Update Update
Beñat Turrientes of Real Sociedad won a free kick in defense.
63
Update Update
Antonio Blanco of Alaves committed a foul.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Lucas Boyé replaces Ibrahim Diabate.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Real Sociedad lead 3-2 against Alaves. Orri Óskarsson scores for Real Sociedad with a header from close range into the top left corner, assisted by Takefusa Kubo's header.
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Abde Rebbach from Alaves receives a yellow card for a foul.
59
Update Update
Foul committed by Abde Rebbach of Alaves.
59
Update Update
Jon Aramburu of Real Sociedad was awarded a free kick on the right wing.
58
Update Update
Orri Óskarsson from Real Sociedad won a free kick in defense.
58
Update Update
Orri Óskarsson from Real Sociedad won a free kick in defense.
57
Attempt Attempt
Gonçalo Guedes from Real Sociedad misses a chance with a right-footed shot from outside the box.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alaves after a concession by Sergio Gómez.
54
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: Takefusa Kubo replaces Brais Méndez.
53
Update Update
Orri Óskarsson of Real Sociedad committed a foul.
53
Update Update
Nahuel Tenaglia of Alaves won a free kick in defense.
52
Attempt Attempt
Toni Martínez's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Jon Guridi provided the assist with a header.
51
Update Update
Pablo Ibáñez from Alaves commits a foul.
51
Update Update
Aritz Elustondo from Real Sociedad won a free kick in the attacking area.
50
Update Update
Orri Óskarsson from Real Sociedad commits a foul.
50
Update Update
Jonny - Alaves - won a free kick in defence.
49
Update Update
Antonio Blanco from Alaves misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, sending the ball high and wide to the right. Jonny provided the assist.
45
Corner Corner
Corner - Alaves. Conceded by Duje Caleta-Car.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alaves after a concession by Aritz Elustondo.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with the score at Real Sociedad 2, Alaves 2.
45
Attempt Attempt
Ángel Pérez's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist was made by Pablo Ibáñez.
45
Update Update
The second half starts with the match tied at 2-2 between Real Sociedad and Alaves.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: Gonçalo Guedes replaces Ander Barrenetxea.
43
Update Update
Brais Méndez of Real Sociedad is flagged for offside.
41
Update Update
Antonio Blanco of Alaves won a free kick in defense.
41
Update Update
Foul committed by Carlos Soler - Real Sociedad.
41
Update Update
Brais Méndez of Real Sociedad is flagged for offside.
40
Update Update
Brais Méndez from Real Sociedad won a free kick on the right wing.
40
Attempt Attempt
Luka Sucic from Real Sociedad has a shot from the center of the box, but it is blocked.
38
Update Update
Pablo Ibáñez from Alaves commits a foul.
38
Update Update
Ander Barrenetxea of Real Sociedad won a free kick in an attacking position.
36
Update Update
Jonny from Alaves commits a foul.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Sociedad after Antonio Sivera concedes.
36
Corner Corner
Real Sociedad wins a corner after Victor Parada concedes.
35
Update Update
Antonio Blanco from Alaves committed a foul.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Sociedad after a concession by Victor Parada.
34
Update Update
Sergio Gómez from Real Sociedad committed a foul.
34
Update Update
Ander Barrenetxea of Real Sociedad won a free kick in defense.
32
Update Update
Beñat Turrientes of Real Sociedad won a free kick on the right wing.
32
Update Update
Ángel Pérez of Alaves won a free kick in defense.
31
Update Update
Beñat Turrientes of Real Sociedad won a free kick in the attacking area.
28
Corner Corner
Beñat Turrientes from Real Sociedad had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, but the ball went high. Carlos Soler provided the assist after a corner.
27
Corner Corner
Real Sociedad wins a corner after Jonny concedes.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Antonio Sivera of Alaves scores an own goal. The match is now 2-2 between Real Sociedad and Alaves.
27
Attempt Attempt
Sergio Gómez's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. The assist came from Carlos Soler.
27
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Beñat Turrientes of Real Sociedad shoots with his right foot from outside the box, but Antonio Sivera of Alaves saves it in the top right corner. The assist comes from Carlos Soler.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alaves takes the lead 2-1 with Ibrahim Diabate scoring from a few meters into the top left corner.
22
Update Update
Brais Méndez from Real Sociedad won a free kick in an attacking position.
22
Update Update
Foul committed by Jon Guridi of Alaves.
21
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Toni Martínez from Alaves shot with his right foot from the center of the box.
20
Update Update
Foul committed by Jon Aramburu of Real Sociedad.
20
Update Update
Abde Rebbach from Alaves won a free kick on the left wing.
18
Update Update
Jon Guridi from Alaves committed a foul.
18
Attempt Attempt
Brais Méndez from Real Sociedad missed a chance with a left-footed shot from outside the box, assisted by Beñat Turrientes.
18
Update Update
Jon Aramburu of Real Sociedad won a free kick on the right wing.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alaves after a concession by Sergio Gómez.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Luka Sucic scores for Real Sociedad with a left-footed shot from outside the box into the left corner. The match is now 1-1, assisted by Ander Barrenetxea.
12
Update Update
Aritz Elustondo of Real Sociedad was awarded a free kick in defense.
11
Update Update
Brais Méndez from Real Sociedad committed a foul.
11
Update Update
Abde Rebbach from Alaves won a free kick in defense.
9
Corner Corner
Real Sociedad wins a corner after Jon Guridi concedes.
7
Update Update
Luka Sucic of Real Sociedad won a free kick in defense.
7
Update Update
Jon Aramburu of Real Sociedad won a free kick in defense.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Sociedad after Antonio Sivera concedes.
5
Corner Corner
Real Sociedad wins a corner after Nahuel Tenaglia concedes.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Sociedad after a concession by Antonio Sivera.
3
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Duje Caleta-Car scores an own goal for Real Sociedad. The score is now Real Sociedad 0, Alaves 1.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Real Sociedad exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alavés preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

La Liga, Spain View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ