Real Sociedad II vs Racing Santander Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Anoeta Stadium Fri, 17 Apr - 6:30 PM
La Liga 2 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 
1 
3
3
Racing Santander RAC Full Time Fri, 17 Apr 6:30 PM
Round 36 · Regular Season
Gorka Carrera - 86'
|
Iñigo Vicente - 60'
Giorgi Guliashvili - 13'
Andrés Martín - 10'
Mikel Rodriguez 41' 
|
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation
Data last checked: May 15
CONTEXT
Racing Santander dominated Real Sociedad II with a 3-1 away victory in a match that showcased their superiority from the outset. The visitors raced to a 2-0 halftime lead, capitalizing on their 56% possession advantage while the home side managed only 44%. Real Sociedad II mounted a response in the second half, pulling one goal back, but Racing Santander's clinical finishing ensured a two-goal triumph. No red cards marred the proceedings, allowing uninterrupted flow. As the pre-identified stronger team, Racing Santander's performance aligned closely with expectations, exhibiting minimal structural deviation and efficiency in line with norms. The outcome reflected their control without dramatic shifts or external disruptions.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Minimal 2.1% deviation favored Racing Santander.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency stayed in line with expectations.
- xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
- Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market view.
- xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
- Event impact: No events like adjustments altered match dynamics.
- Red card distortion: No red cards caused zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
A. Ojaos Valera
• 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 
0.12
0.12 Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0
Other match officials
C. García Andreu
1st Assistant
B. Jiménez Contreras
2nd Assistant
?. Rodríguez Recio
4th Official
J. Ansotegi Gorostola
VS
J. López Menéndez
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.88
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ceuta Rank: D
Sporting Gijón Rank: L
SD Eibar Rank: L
Almería Rank: L
Granada Rank: L
Córdoba Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Almería Rank: W
FC Andorra Rank: L
Sporting Gijón Rank: W
Real Zaragoza Rank: L
Albacete Rank: L
Cultural Leonesa Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) Real Sociedad II0.22%
Draw
1.92%
Racing Santander97.86%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.64 30.85 0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Sociedad II Racing SantanderPower Score
20.64
30.85
League Position
16
1
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Real Sociedad II — Opponent-weighted form score
Racing Santander — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Sociedad II Racing Santander
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Real Sociedad II
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Racing Santander
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Real Sociedad II ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Racing Santander
Attacking Efficiency Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
43.75
21.34
Defensive Efficiency Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.34
43.75
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Real Sociedad II +2.28 Efficiency Index
vs
Racing Santander -2.28 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Real Sociedad II
Racing Santander
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Real Sociedad II ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Racing Santander
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Real Sociedad II Racing Santander Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Real Sociedad II Racing Santander Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Real Sociedad II
Racing Santander
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Real Sociedad IIvs
Racing Santander
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Real Sociedad II Racing Santander Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Real Sociedad II 0.38
Racing Santander 0.58
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Real Sociedad II Racing Santander Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Real Sociedad II 0.16
Racing Santander 0.02
Real Sociedad II
Racing Santander
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- RAC had peak pressure around 37'.
- RAC started the game with stronger pressure.
Real Sociedad II Pressure RAC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: RAC reached the top pressure at 37' (97.97).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II Home
1 matches
Racing Santander RAC Away
Match Record 0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals 0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Data last updated: 2026-04-18T00:03:20+00:00
STARTING XI
Real Sociedad II Racing Santander Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
13 E. Arana Aizpurua
22 A. Dadie Izagirre
39 U. Ayo Larrañaga
15 K. Kita
U. Agote Aranburu
#2367'
3 J. Balda Zubiri
J. Oleaga Arregi
#3479'
21 J. Eceizabarrena Rezola
14 T. Carbonell Del Rio
L. Astiazarán Escabias
#1767'
7 D. Díaz Gándara
J. Gorosabel Añorga
#3378'
10 A. Mariezkurrena Etxezarreta
A. Marchal Garcia
#1967'
8 M. Rodriguez Carrasco
18 G. Carrera Zarranz
13 Lars Eriksson
32 J. Salinas Viadero
5 J. Castro Urdín
4 J. Hernando Riol
D. Fuentes Pérez
#4485'
15 M. Sangalli Fuentes
A. Aldasoro Sarriegi
#885'
19 G. Puerta Molano
14 M. Gueye
D. Rodríguez Sousa
#2376'
10 I. Vicente Elorduy
18 P. Canales Urtasun
A. Villalibre Molina
#1267'
11 A. Martín García
S. Camara Sanneh
#2076'
7 G. Guliashvili
General Information
📅 Date & Time :
Apr 17, 2026, 06:30 PM
🏆 Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 36 · Regular Season
🏟️ Stadium :
Anoeta Stadium
👥 Capacity :
40000
🎟️ Attendance :
4863
🌱 Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️ Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️ Referees :
Alejandro Ojaos Valera
Christian García Andreu
Borja Jiménez Contreras
?. Rodríguez Recio
Next Match
Real Sociedad II
vs
Real Valladolid
League: La Liga 2
Kickoff: Sat, 25 Apr - 2:15 PM
Venue: Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Racing Santander
vs
Ceuta
League: La Liga 2
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 7:00 PM
Venue: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Statistics
Possession
Real Sociedad II
49%
RAC
51%
Top Statistics
1 Goals 3
1 Big Chances Created 3
3 Shots 7
45 Dangerous attacks 19
44 Possession 56
2 Corners 2
14 Free kicks 28
5 Yellow Cards 3
Match Overview
3 Goal Kicks 13
24 Throwins 18
25 Dribble Attempts 20
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45
1 Assists 1
1 Hit Woodwork 0
5 Substitutions 5
11 Successful Dribbles 9
14 Goal Attempts 9
2 Injuries 1
78 Ball Safe 90
Attacking
118 Attacks 60
0 Big Chances Missed 1
Possession
57 Long Passes 44
27 Successful Long Passes 17
260 Successful Passes 357
80 Successful Passes Percentage 82
326 Passes 435
12 Key Passes 8
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39
Defensive
59 Duels Won 70
11 Interceptions 9
4 Saves 2
23 Tackles 20
Build-up
21 Total Crosses 4
4 Accurate Crosses 1
Discipline
2 Offsides 0
28 Fouls 14
Lineup
Real Sociedad II Referee : Alejandro Ojaos Valera
Manager ▼
J. Ansotegi Gorostola Coach
Starting XI ▼
13 Egoitz Arana Goalkeeper
6.883 Jon Balda Defender
6.8223Unax Agote
6.74Defender67'
15 Kazunari Kita Defender
6.83
22 Alberto Dadie Defender
6.54
39 Unax Larrañaga Defender
6.677 Dani Díaz Midfielder
6.817Lander Astiazaran
6.81Midfielder67'
8 Mikel Rodriguez Midfielder
6.84
19Alex Marchal
6.58Attacker67'
10 Arkaitz Mariezkurrena Midfielder
6.62
33Jakes Gorosabel
6.64Attacker78'
14 Tomy Carbonell Midfielder
6.7
21 Joni Eceiza Midfielder
6.5234Joan Oleaga
6.55Midfielder79'
18 Gorka Carrera Attacker
Substitutes ▼
17Lander Astiazaran
6.81Midfielder67'
23Unax Agote
6.74Defender67'
19Alex Marchal
6.58Attacker67'
33Jakes Gorosabel
6.64Attacker78'
34Joan Oleaga
6.55Midfielder79'
Bench ▼
32 Theo Folgado Goalkeeper
45 Lander Olasagasti Goalkeeper
37 Iker Calderon Defender
6.7929 Jon Garro Midfielder
6.6326
Darío Ramírez Attacker
6.54 Racing Santander Referee : Alejandro Ojaos Valera
Manager ▼
J. López Menéndez Coach
Starting XI ▼
13 Simon Eriksson Goalkeeper
6.654 Manu Hernando Defender
6.765 Javi Castro Defender
6.7915 Marco Sangalli Defender
6.78
44Diego Fuentes
6.43Midfielder85'
32 Jorge Salinas Defender
6.7
10 Iñigo Vicente Midfielder
23Damián Rodríguez
6.76Midfielder76'
11 Andrés Martín Midfielder
12Asier Villalibre
6.89Attacker67'
14 Maguette Gueye Midfielder
6.6718 Peio Canales Midfielder
7.0619 Gustavo Puerta Midfielder
6.938Aritz Aldasoro
Midfielder85'
6.59
7 Giorgi Guliashvili Attacker
20Suleiman Camara
6.64Attacker76'
Substitutes ▼
12Asier Villalibre
6.89Attacker67'
20Suleiman Camara
6.64Attacker76'
23Damián Rodríguez
6.76Midfielder76'
8Aritz Aldasoro
Midfielder85'
6.59
44Diego Fuentes
6.43Midfielder85'
Bench ▼
1
Jokin Ezkieta Goalkeeper
6.8121
Pablo Ramón Defender
6.6733 Samuel Calera Defender
46 Carlos Sánchez Martos Defender
6
Íñigo Sainz-Maza Midfielder
6.69
Juan Carlos Arana Attacker
6.5417
Jaime Mata Attacker
6.27Events
2ND-HALF
88'
Aritz Aldasoro
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
Gorka Carrera
Goal awarded
87'
Gorka Carrera
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
86'
85'
Aritz Aldasoro → Gustavo Puerta
9th Substitution
85'
Diego Fuentes → Marco Sangalli
10th Substitution
Joan Oleaga → Joni Eceiza
8th Substitution
79'
Jakes Gorosabel → Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
7th Substitution
78'
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
Persistent fouling / 7th Yellowcard
76'
76'
Suleiman Camara → Giorgi Guliashvili
5th Substitution
76'
Damián Rodríguez → Iñigo Vicente
6th Substitution
Alberto Dadie
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
70'
Lander Astiazaran → Dani Díaz
2nd Substitution
67'
Unax Agote → Jon Balda
1st Substitution
67'
Alex Marchal → Mikel Rodriguez
3rd Substitution
67'
67'
Asier Villalibre → Andrés Martín
4th Substitution
60'
Iñigo Vicente
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
58'
Jorge Salinas
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
45+3'
Marco Sangalli
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Mikel Rodriguez
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
41'
Mikel Rodriguez
9th Yellowcard
41'
Tomy Carbonell
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
31'
Kazunari Kita
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
22'
13'
Giorgi Guliashvili
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
10'
Andrés Martín
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
CONCLUSION
Racing Santander's 3-1 win over Real Sociedad II affirmed their status as the stronger side, with a commanding halftime lead and sustained possession edge proving decisive. The minimal deviation and market alignment underscore a predictable, efficient performance devoid of chaos from reds or major events. Real Sociedad II's second-half goal offered brief hope but couldn't overturn the visitors' dominance. This result highlights Racing Santander's tactical discipline and finishing prowess in a cleanly contested affair.
Real Sociedad II vs Racing Santander preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
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