Real Sociedad II vs Granada Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Anoeta Stadium
Sun, 22 Mar - 3:15 PM
La Liga 2
Real Sociedad II
Real Sociedad II
0
2
2
Granada
GRA
Full Time
Sun, 22 Mar
3:15 PM
Round 31 ·
Regular Season
|
Manu Lama - 5'
Gonzalo Petit - 1'
|
Unknown 81'
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Jul 11
CONTEXT
The match has officially finished, with Granada securing a 1-0 away victory over Real Sociedad II. Before kickoff, the home side was favored by the markets with a 38.6% implied win probability, while Granada sat at 31% and a draw at 30.4%. As a result, Granada's triumph represents a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, confirming that the final outcome was not aligned with the initial market consensus. Despite the home defeat, Real Sociedad II controlled the majority of the ball, finishing with 56% possession compared to Granada's 44%. Expected goals (xG) metrics were not available for this contest, making it impossible to assess whether the outcome was consistent with the actual underlying chances created by either side. The fixture proceeded cleanly without any major disciplinary disruptions, as neither team received a red card to alter the tactical landscape. Additionally, the match's efficiency shift was entirely in line with typical baseline expectations. Ultimately, Granada proved to be the stronger side on the scoreboard, overcoming a slight possession deficit and unfavorable pre-match odds to claim the victory.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Granada showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
-
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
-
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
-
Event impact: No major event distortion.
-
Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
J. Ansotegi Gorostola
VS
J. Rojo Martín
1.46
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.41
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Córdoba
Rank: 63
W
Castellón
Rank: 67
W
Deportivo La Coruña
Rank: 68
L
Cádiz
Rank: 61
W
Málaga
Rank: 69
W
FC Andorra
Rank: 61
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ceuta
Rank: 61
L
Real Valladolid
Rank: 61
W
Leganés
Rank: 67
L
Racing Santander
Rank: 71
W
Cádiz
Rank: 61
W
SD Eibar
Rank: 69
D
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Real Sociedad II
38.61%
Draw
30.42%
Granada
30.97%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
57.99
67.1
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Sociedad II
Granada
Power Score
57.99
67.1
League Position
13
14
Global Rank
383
274
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Real Sociedad II
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Granada
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Real Sociedad II Granada
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Real Sociedad II
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Granada
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Real Sociedad II
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Granada
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.79
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.34
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Real Sociedad II
+1.14
Efficiency Index
vs
Granada
-1.14
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Real Sociedad II
Granada
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Real Sociedad II
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Granada
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Real Sociedad II
Granada
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Real Sociedad II
Granada
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Real Sociedad II
Granada
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Real Sociedad II
Real Sociedad II
Home
1
matches
Granada
GRA
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
2
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:24:46+00:00
STARTING XI
Real Sociedad II
Granada
Match Formation
4-4-2
Match Formation
4-3-3
1 A. Fraga Torres
J. Gorosabel Añorga
#3382'
22 A. Dadie Izagirre
4 (C) L. Beitia Aguirregomezcorta
15 K. Kita
J. Garro
#2967'
23 U. Agote Aranburu
L. Astiazarán Escabias
#1746'
7 D. Díaz Gándara
14 T. Carbonell Del Rio
J. Eceizabarrena Rezola
#2167'
31 I. Aguirre Basurko
11 J. Ochieng
G. Gorosabel Añorga
#1677'
8 M. Rodriguez Carrasco
10 A. Mariezkurrena Etxezarreta
22 B. Diallo
24 L. Ntambue Kayumba
5 M. Maroto
28 O. Naasei Oppong
R. Alcaraz Jiménez
#474'
41 I. González Muñoz
P. Serra
#869'
3 D. Hormigo Iturralde
14 (C) M. Trigueros Muñoz
P. Saenz Ezquerra
#2146'
40 B. Diocou Ndiaye
R. Zinebi Talbi
#3781'
9 G. Petit Abad
S. Rodelas Pintor
#2674'
7 A. Sola López Ocaña
General Information
📅
Date & Time :
Mar 22, 2026, 03:15 PM
🏆
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 31 · Regular Season
🏟️
Stadium :
Anoeta Stadium
👥
Capacity :
40000
🌱
Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️
Referees :
E. Mallo Fernández
Imanol Irurtzun Artola
Samuel García Aguilera
Marcos Barroso Galán
Next Match
Real Sociedad II
vs
Almería
League: La Liga 2
Kickoff: Sun, 29 Mar - 7:00 PM
Venue: Away
Granada
vs
Huesca
League: La Liga 2
Kickoff: Sat, 28 Mar - 3:15 PM
Venue: Home
Statistics
Possession
Real Sociedad II
56%
GRA
44%
Top Statistics
0
Goals
2
3
Big Chances Created
1
5
Shots
4
52
Dangerous attacks
43
56
Possession
44
7
Corners
5
17
Free kicks
15
5
Yellow Cards
5
Match Overview
7
Goal Kicks
16
0
Assists
1
87
Ball Safe
91
13
Goal Attempts
8
10
Successful Dribbles
8
24
Dribble Attempts
20
23
Throwins
19
42
Successful Dribbles Percentage
40
0
Injuries
3
5
Substitutions
5
1
Hit Woodwork
0
Attacking
129
Attacks
77
3
Big Chances Missed
0
Possession
422
Passes
338
57
Long Passes
76
63
Successful Long Passes Percentage
38
351
Successful Passes
255
83
Successful Passes Percentage
75
12
Key Passes
7
36
Successful Long Passes
29
Defensive
7
Interceptions
7
21
Tackles
25
2
Saves
5
Build-up
26
Total Crosses
12
8
Accurate Crosses
2
Discipline
13
Fouls
14
3
Offsides
0
Lineup
Real Sociedad II
Referee :
E. Mallo Fernández
Manager ▼
J. Ansotegi Gorostola
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Aitor Fraga
Goalkeeper
6.42 4
Luken Beitia (C)
Defender
7.04 15
Kazunari Kita
Defender
7.17 22
Alberto Dadie
Defender
5.67
33Jakes Gorosabel
6.39Attacker82'
23
Unax Agote
Defender
6.9
29Jon Garro
6.76Midfielder67'
7
Dani Díaz
Midfielder
6.53
17Lander Astiazaran
6.58Midfielder46'
11
Job Ochieng
Midfielder
7.09 14
Tomy Carbonell
Midfielder
7.14
31
Ibai Aguirre Basurco
Midfielder
6.73 21Joni Eceiza
6.34Midfielder67'
8
Mikel Rodriguez
Attacker
6.79 16Gorka Gorosabel
Midfielder77'
6.34
10
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
Attacker
6.83 Substitutes ▼
17Lander Astiazaran
6.58Midfielder46'
29Jon Garro
6.76Midfielder67'
21Joni Eceiza
6.34Midfielder67'
16Gorka Gorosabel
Midfielder77'
6.34
33Jakes Gorosabel
6.39Attacker82'
Bench ▼
13
Egoitz Arana
Goalkeeper
32
Theo Folgado
Goalkeeper
45
Lander Olasagasti
Goalkeeper
39
Unax Larrañaga
Defender
34
Joan Oleaga
Midfielder
19
Alex Marchal
Attacker
Granada
Referee :
E. Mallo Fernández
Manager ▼
J. Rojo Martín
Coach
Starting XI ▼
5
Manu Lama
Defender
22
Baïla Diallo
Defender
6.89 24
Loïc Williams
Defender
7.1 28
Oscar Naasei Oppong
Defender
6.5 3
Diego Hormigo
Midfielder
6.6
8Pedro Alemañ Serna
6.86Midfielder69'
14
Manu Trigueros (C)
Midfielder
7.7 41
Izan González
Midfielder
6.64
4Rubén Alcaraz
6.53Midfielder74'
7
Álex Sola
Attacker
6.46 26Sergio Rodelas
6.34Attacker74'
9
Gonzalo Petit
Attacker
37Rayan Zinebi Talbi
6.63Attacker81'
40
Baba Diocou
Attacker
6.57
21Pablo Sáenz
Attacker46'
6.69
Substitutes ▼
21Pablo Sáenz
Attacker46'
6.69
8Pedro Alemañ Serna
6.86Midfielder69'
4Rubén Alcaraz
6.53Midfielder74'
26Sergio Rodelas
6.34Attacker74'
37Rayan Zinebi Talbi
6.63Attacker81'
Bench ▼
34
Íker García
Goalkeeper
17
Bambo Diaby
Defender
18
Álvaro Lemos
Defender
23
Luka Gagnidze
Midfielder
10
Mohamed Bouldini
Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
Gorka Gorosabel
Argument / 9th Yellowcard
90+2'
Jakes Gorosabel → Alberto Dadie
10th Substitution
82'
81'
Gonzalo Petit
Time wasting / 10th Yellowcard
81'
12th Yellowcard
81'
Rayan Zinebi Talbi → Gonzalo Petit
9th Substitution
Gorka Gorosabel → Mikel Rodriguez
8th Substitution
77'
74'
Rubén Alcaraz → Izan González
6th Substitution
74'
Sergio Rodelas → Álex Sola
7th Substitution
69'
Pedro Alemañ Serna → Diego Hormigo
5th Substitution
Jon Garro → Unax Agote
4th Substitution
67'
Joni Eceiza → Ibai Aguirre Basurco
3rd Substitution
67'
Unax Agote
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
65'
60'
Pablo Sáenz
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
Tomy Carbonell
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
54'
50'
Diego Hormigo
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Lander Astiazaran → Dani Díaz
1st Substitution
46'
46'
Pablo Sáenz → Baba Diocou
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
43'
Izan González
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
43'
11th Yellowcard
Alberto Dadie
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
39'
Dani Díaz
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
35'
23'
Baba Diocou
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
5'
Manu Lama
Header / 2nd Goal
1'
Gonzalo Petit
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: Granada exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.
Real Sociedad II vs Granada preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
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