Real Oviedo vs Sevilla Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere Sun, 5 Apr - 4:30 PM
La Liga
Real Oviedo OVI
1 Winner 0
Sevilla SEV
Full Time Sun, 5 Apr 4:30 PM
Round 30 Regular Season
Federico Viñas - 32'
Goal
|
|
Red Card Tanguy Nianzou 38'

CONTEXT

The match has officially finished, with Real Oviedo securing a 1-0 victory over Sevilla. The home side took the lead early, holding a 1-0 advantage at the break, and successfully defended their narrow margin through to the final whistle. Real Oviedo completely dominated the ball throughout the contest, commanding a massive 70% of the possession compared to Sevilla's 30%. Expected goals (xG) data was not available to measure chance quality for this fixture. Pre-match expectations painted a perfectly even picture, with the market giving both Real Oviedo and Sevilla an identical 34.3% chance of victory, alongside a 31.4% probability of a draw. Despite this parity, Real Oviedo's win registered as a significant deviation in probability models, though the ultimate result remained market-aligned. Additionally, the teams' offensive efficiency shift was squarely in line with baseline expectations. The flow of the game was heavily influenced by a major disciplinary event. Sevilla was reduced to ten men after receiving a red card, which created a clear red card distortion as the match progressed. This sending-off severely hampered the visiting side, allowing Real Oviedo to dictate the tempo, monopolize possession, and see out the win.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Real Oviedo showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Hernández Hernández

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Naranjo Pérez

1st Assistant

M. Cerdán Aguilar

2nd Assistant

D. Clemente Manrique

4th Official

Real Oviedo J. Almada Álves
J. Almada Álves
VS
Sevilla L. García Plaza
L. García Plaza
0.71
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Levante Rank: 72 L
Valencia Rank: 78 W
Espanyol Rank: 74 D
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 77 L
Atlético Madrid Rank: 90 L
Real Sociedad Rank: 82 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Valencia Rank: 77 L
FC Barcelona Rank: 95 L
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 77 D
Real Betis Rank: 82 D
Getafe Rank: 77 W
Deportivo Alavés Rank: 76 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Oviedo
34.31%
Draw
31.38%
Away Sevilla
34.31%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.25
72.56
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Oviedo
Sevilla
Power Score
59.25
72.56
League Position
20
17
Global Rank
192
142

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Oviedo — Opponent-weighted form score
Sevilla — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Oviedo Sevilla

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Real Oviedo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sevilla

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Real Oviedo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sevilla
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
13.00
36.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
36.00
13.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Real Oviedo -2.08 Efficiency Index
vs
Sevilla +2.08 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Real Oviedo
Sevilla
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Real Oviedo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sevilla
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Real Oviedo Sevilla
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Real Oviedo Sevilla
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Real Oviedo
Sevilla
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Real Oviedo
vs
Sevilla
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Real Oviedo Sevilla
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Real Oviedo 0.17
Sevilla 0.25
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Real Oviedo Sevilla
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Real Oviedo 0.00
Sevilla 0.02
Real Oviedo
Sevilla
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Oviedo OVI Home
1 matches
Sevilla SEV Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
0
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-04-06T00:05:36+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Escandell Banacloche
Spain
13 A. Escandell Banacloche
I. Vidal Miralles
Spain
22 I. Vidal Miralles
E. Bailly
Ivory Coast
2 E. Bailly
D. Calvo San Román
Spain
12 D. Calvo San Román
J. López Carballo
Substitution
Spain
25 J. López Carballo
K. Sibo
Substitution
Ghana
6 K. Sibo
N. Fonseca
Italy
23 N. Fonseca
I. Chaira
Morocco
7 I. Chaira
A. Reina Campos
Substitution
Spain
5 A. Reina Campos
T. Fernández
Substitution
Argentina
15 T. Fernández
F. Viñas Barboza
Substitution
Uruguay
9 F. Viñas Barboza
Pitch
O. Vlachodimos
Greece
1 O. Vlachodimos
J. Martínez Gauna
Substitution
Spain
36 J. Martínez Gauna
Kike Salas
Spain
4 Kike Salas
N. Kouassi
France
5 N. Kouassi
José Ángel Carmona
Substitution
Spain
2 José Ángel Carmona
N. Gudelj
Serbia
6 N. Gudelj
B. Mendy
Substitution
France
19 B. Mendy
R. Vargas
Substitution
Switzerland
11 R. Vargas
D. Sow
Substitution
Switzerland
20 D. Sow
J. Sánchez Velasco
Spain
16 J. Sánchez Velasco
A. Adams
Nigeria
9 A. Adams

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 05, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Capacity :
5000
Attendance :
24921
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Alejandro José Hernández Hernández
José Enrique Naranjo Pérez
Marcos Cerdán Aguilar
D. Clemente Manrique

Statistics

Possession
OVI
61%
SEV
39%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 1
2 Shots 7
42 Dangerous attacks 36
70 Possession 30
5 Corners 9
12 Free kicks 11
5 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

2 Injuries 1
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 55
5 Substitutions 5
17 Throwins 27
17 Successful Headers 19
10 Goal Kicks 7
77 Ball Safe 67
9 Goal Attempts 6
2 Successful Dribbles 6
5 Dribble Attempts 11
1 Assists 0

Attacking

97 Attacks 92
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

424 Successful Passes 125
83 Successful Passes Percentage 60
508 Passes 209
58 Long Passes 70
6 Key Passes 7
29 Successful Long Passes 31
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

Defensive

41 Duels Won 47
2 Interceptions 6
10 Tackles 13
0 Saves 3

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 17
4 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

11 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Alejandro José Hernández Hernández

Starting XI ▼

13
Aarón Escandell
Aarón Escandell Goalkeeper
2
Eric Bailly
Eric Bailly Defender
12
Dani Calvo
Dani Calvo Defender
22
Nacho Vidal
Nacho Vidal Defender
25
Javi López
Javi López Defender
3
Rahim Alhassane
Rahim Alhassane
Defender85'
5
Alberto Reina
Alberto Reina Midfielder
8
Santi Cazorla
Santi Cazorla
Midfielder72'
6
Kwasi Sibo
Kwasi Sibo Midfielder
11
Santiago Colombatto
Santiago Colombatto
Midfielder59'
7
Ilyas Chaira
Ilyas Chaira Midfielder
15
Thiago Fernández
Thiago Fernández Midfielder
10
Haissem Hassan
Haissem Hassan
Attacker72'
23
Nicolás Fonseca
Nicolás Fonseca Midfielder
9
Federico Viñas
Federico Viñas Attacker
17
Thiago Borbas
Thiago Borbas
Attacker59'
Referee : Alejandro José Hernández Hernández

Starting XI ▼

1
Odysseas Vlachodimos
Odysseas Vlachodimos Goalkeeper
2
José Ángel Carmona
José Ángel Carmona Defender
32
Andrés Castrín
Andrés Castrín
Defender46'
4
Kike Salas
Kike Salas Defender
5
Tanguy Nianzou
Tanguy Nianzou Defender
36
Oso
Oso Defender
12
Gabriel Suazo
Gabriel Suazo
Defender73'
6
Nemanja Gudelj
Nemanja Gudelj Midfielder
11
Rubén Vargas
Rubén Vargas Midfielder
21
Chidera Ejuke
Chidera Ejuke
Attacker80'
16
Juanlu Sánchez
Juanlu Sánchez Midfielder
19
Batista Mendy
Batista Mendy Midfielder
7
Isaac Romero
Isaac Romero
Attacker72'
20
Djibril Sow
Djibril Sow Midfielder
28
Manu Bueno
Manu Bueno
Midfielder46'
9
Akor Adams
Akor Adams Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ilyas Chaira
Time wasting / 8th Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Eric Bailly
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
90'
Event
Nicolás Fonseca
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
89'
Event
Rahim Alhassane → Javi López
10th Substitution
85'
80'
Event
Chidera Ejuke → Rubén Vargas
9th Substitution
73'
Event
Gabriel Suazo → Oso
8th Substitution
Event
Haissem Hassan → Thiago Fernández
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Santi Cazorla → Alberto Reina
5th Substitution
72'
72'
Event
Isaac Romero → Batista Mendy
7th Substitution
69'
Event
Manu Bueno
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Thiago Borbas → Federico Viñas
3rd Substitution
59'
Event
Santiago Colombatto → Kwasi Sibo
4th Substitution
59'
54'
Event
Kike Salas
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Javi López
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
53'
46'
Event
Manu Bueno → Djibril Sow
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Andrés Castrín → José Ángel Carmona
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
43'
Event
José Ángel Carmona
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
38'
Event
Tanguy Nianzou
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
Event
Federico Viñas
Header / 1st Goal
32'
Event
Federico Viñas
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
13'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 3 minutes of added time.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Eric Bailly of Real Oviedo receives a yellow card for a foul.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Eric Bailly for Real Oviedo.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Real Oviedo leading Sevilla 1-0.
90
Update Update
Kike Salas of Sevilla is called offside.
90
Update Update
Ilyas Chaira from Real Oviedo commits a foul.
90
Update Update
Andrés Castrín from Sevilla won a free kick in defense.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Nemanja Gudelj from Sevilla took a right-footed shot from outside the box following a free kick.
90
Update Update
Kike Salas of Sevilla won a free kick in an attacking position.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ilyas Chaira of Real Oviedo receives a yellow card.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nicolás Fonseca of Real Oviedo receives a yellow card for a foul.
88
Update Update
Gabriel Suazo from Sevilla won a free kick on the left wing.
88
Update Update
Nicolás Fonseca of Real Oviedo commits a foul.
86
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Ilyas Chaira of Real Oviedo takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the right corner by Odysseas Vlachodimos of Sevilla, with an assist from Santi Cazorla.
86
Update Update
Offside called against Real Oviedo. Rahim Alhassane is in an offside position.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Oviedo: Rahim Alhassane replaces Javi López.
82
Update Update
Foul committed by Isaac Romero of Sevilla.
82
Update Update
Santiago Colombatto of Real Oviedo won a free kick in defense.
82
Update Update
Foul committed by Nacho Vidal of Real Oviedo.
82
Update Update
Chidera Ejuke of Sevilla won a free kick in the defensive area.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Chidera Ejuke replaces Rubén Vargas.
79
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Thiago Borbas concedes.
77
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Javi López concedes.
76
Update Update
New attacking attempt. Santi Cazorla of Real Oviedo shoots with his right foot from the center of the box, but Odysseas Vlachodimos of Sevilla saves it in the top center of the goal.
74
Update Update
Nicolás Fonseca from Real Oviedo misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, sending the ball high and wide to the right. The assist was provided by Santi Cazorla.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Gabriel Suazo replaces Oso.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Oviedo: Santi Cazorla replaces Alberto Reina.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Oviedo: Haissem Hassan replaces Thiago Fernández.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Isaac Romero replaces Batista Mendy.
71
Update Update
Santiago Colombatto of Real Oviedo is flagged for offside.
69
Update Update
Manu Bueno of Sevilla won a free kick in defense.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Manu Bueno from Sevilla receives a yellow card for a foul.
69
Update Update
Javi López from Real Oviedo won a free kick in an attacking position.
67
Corner Corner
Real Oviedo wins a corner after Nemanja Gudelj concedes.
67
Corner Corner
Real Oviedo is awarded a corner after Nemanja Gudelj concedes it.
66
Update Update
Andrés Castrín's header from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Rubén Vargas's cross.
65
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Dani Calvo concedes.
64
Update Update
Rubén Vargas of Sevilla won a free kick in an attacking position.
64
Update Update
Nicolás Fonseca of Real Oviedo commits a foul.
63
Update Update
Nicolás Fonseca from Real Oviedo won a free kick in defense.
63
Update Update
Foul committed by Rubén Vargas of Sevilla.
59
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Oviedo: Thiago Borbas replaces Federico Viñas.
59
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Oviedo: Santiago Colombatto replaces Kwasi Sibo.
56
Update Update
Federico Viñas of Real Oviedo won a free kick on the left wing.
56
Update Update
Andrés Castrín from Sevilla committed a foul.
55
Update Update
Nacho Vidal from Real Oviedo won a free kick on the right wing.
55
Update Update
Oso from Sevilla won a free kick in defense.
54
Update Update
Kike Salas from Sevilla committed a foul.
54
Update Update
Aarón Escandell of Real Oviedo won a free kick in defense.
54
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kike Salas of Sevilla receives a yellow card for a foul.
53
Update Update
Javi López of Real Oviedo commits a foul.
53
Update Update
Juanlu Sánchez from Sevilla won a free kick on the right wing.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Javi López of Real Oviedo receives a yellow card for a foul.
49
Corner Corner
Real Oviedo wins a corner after Juanlu Sánchez concedes.
49
Corner Corner
Dani Calvo from Real Oviedo had a missed chance as his header from the center of the box went over the bar. The assist came from Thiago Fernández, who delivered a cross following a corner.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Real Oviedo 1, Sevilla 0.
45
Update Update
Akor Adams from Sevilla misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, but it goes high. Djibril Sow provided the assist after a fast break.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Real Oviedo leading Sevilla 1-0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 6 minutes of added time.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Andrés Castrín replaces José Ángel Carmona.
45
Corner Corner
Real Oviedo is awarded a corner after José Ángel Carmona concedes it.
45
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Thiago Fernández of Real Oviedo takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the top center of the goal by Odysseas Vlachodimos of Sevilla. The assist comes from Federico Viñas.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Ilyas Chaira of Real Oviedo.
45
Update Update
Rubén Vargas from Sevilla won a free kick in defense.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Manu Bueno replaces Djibril Sow.
45
Attempt Attempt
Rubén Vargas from Sevilla missed a right-footed shot from the left side of the box.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
José Ángel Carmona from Sevilla receives a yellow card for a foul.
43
Update Update
Thiago Fernández of Real Oviedo won a free kick on the left wing.
43
Update Update
José Ángel Carmona from Sevilla committed a foul.
42
Update Update
Oso fouled a Sevilla player.
42
Update Update
Ilyas Chaira of Real Oviedo won a free kick in defense.
39
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Federico Viñas of Real Oviedo.
38
Red Card Red Card Important
Tanguy Nianzou from Sevilla receives a red card.
38
Update Update
Foul committed by Tanguy Nianzou of Sevilla.
38
Update Update
Federico Viñas of Real Oviedo won a free kick in an attacking position.
37
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Eric Bailly concedes.
37
Corner Corner
Missed chance for Sevilla. Tanguy Nianzou heads the ball from the center of the box, but it goes just wide of the top left corner. The assist came from Rubén Vargas, who delivered a cross after a corner.
37
Update Update
Tanguy Nianzou's header from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Rubén Vargas, who provided the cross.
36
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Dani Calvo concedes.
36
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Nicolás Fonseca concedes.
35
Update Update
Juanlu Sánchez of Sevilla won a free kick in an attacking position.
35
Update Update
Javi López of Real Oviedo commits a foul.
32
Corner Corner
Real Oviedo wins a corner after José Ángel Carmona concedes it.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Real Oviedo leads 1-0 against Sevilla. Federico Viñas scores for Real Oviedo with a header from a few meters out after a corner.
29
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Dani Calvo concedes.
29
Corner Corner
Tanguy Nianzou of Sevilla missed a header from the center of the box, sending the ball to the left. Rubén Vargas provided the assist with a cross following a corner.
27
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Juanlu Sánchez from Sevilla.
26
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Nemanja Gudelj of Sevilla heads the ball from the center of the box but it goes just to the left. The assist came from Rubén Vargas, who delivered a cross following a corner.
25
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Nicolás Fonseca concedes.
23
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Eric Bailly from Real Oviedo.
16
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Javi López concedes.
15
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Djibril Sow from Sevilla.
13
Update Update
Djibril Sow from Sevilla won a free kick on the right wing.
13
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Federico Viñas of Real Oviedo receives a yellow card for a foul.
13
Update Update
Foul committed by Federico Viñas of Real Oviedo.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Oviedo after a concession by Odysseas Vlachodimos.
6
Update Update
Foul committed by Rubén Vargas - Sevilla.
6
Update Update
Kike Salas from Sevilla won a free kick in defense.
6
Update Update
Foul committed by Javi López of Real Oviedo.
6
Update Update
Nacho Vidal from Real Oviedo won a free kick in defense.
5
Attempt Attempt
Akor Adams from Sevilla had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box.
4
Update Update
Javi López from Real Oviedo won a free kick in defense.
4
Update Update
José Ángel Carmona from Sevilla won a free kick in defense.
4
Update Update
Fouled by Javi López of Real Oviedo.
4
Update Update
Akor Adams fouled a Sevilla player.
2
Update Update
Kike Salas from Sevilla commits a foul.
2
Update Update
Federico Viñas from Real Oviedo won a free kick in an attacking position.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Real Oviedo exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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