Real Oviedo vs Getafe Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere Sun, 10 May - 4:30 PM
La Liga
Real Oviedo OVI
0 – 0
Getafe GET
Full Time Sun, 10 May 4:30 PM
Round 35 Regular Season
Javi López 54' Red Card
Kwasi Sibo 78' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

Real Oviedo and Getafe played out a tense 0-0 draw in a match defined by disciplinary issues for the home side. The first half ended level at 0-0, with Getafe holding a slight edge in possession at 54% compared to Oviedo's 46%. The game's turning point came in the second half when Real Oviedo received two red cards, leaving them short-handed against the stronger visitors. Despite the numerical disadvantage, Oviedo's resilient defense held firm, frustrating Getafe's attacks and securing a valuable point. Getafe, expected to capitalize, dominated possession but lacked cutting edge in the final third. This result highlights Oviedo's grit under pressure, while Getafe will rue missed opportunities. The draw represents a moderate structural deviation, with the outcome aligning with broader expectations despite the red card chaos. No xG data was available to further dissect chance creation.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match exhibited moderate 10.9% structural deviation favoring Getafe.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Result aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable from missing metrics.
  • Event impact: Two red cards to Real Oviedo heavily influenced second-half flow.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion evident as primary second-half adjustment.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

C. Soto Grado

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. Álvarez Fernández

1st Assistant

Spain

R. Becerril Gómez

2nd Assistant

Spain

M. Pozueta Rodríguez

4th Official

Spain

League averages

La Liga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.49
Yellow cards / match 4.21
Red cards / match 0.24
Penalties / match 0.31
Real Oviedo J. Almada Álves
J. Almada Álves
VS
Getafe J. Bordalás Jiménez
J. Bordalás Jiménez
0.91
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.23
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Betis Rank: 82 L
Elche Rank: 74 L
Villarreal Rank: 82 D
Celta de Vigo Rank: 81 W
Sevilla Rank: 74 W
Levante Rank: 74 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 77 L
FC Barcelona Rank: 95 L
Real Sociedad Rank: 81 W
Levante Rank: 74 L
Athletic Club Rank: 78 W
Espanyol Rank: 73 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Oviedo
1.41%
Draw
89.14%
Away Getafe
9.45%

Movement

Changes since opening
Real Oviedo
-0.43%
Draw
+8.08%
Getafe
-7.65%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.11
75.76
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Oviedo
Getafe
Power Score
60.11
75.76
League Position
20
7
Global Rank
185
105

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Oviedo — Opponent-weighted form score
Getafe — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Oviedo Getafe

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Real Oviedo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Getafe

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Real Oviedo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Getafe
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.54
46.67
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
46.67
20.54
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Real Oviedo -2.36 Efficiency Index
vs
Getafe +2.36 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Real Oviedo
Getafe
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Real Oviedo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Getafe
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Real Oviedo Getafe
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Real Oviedo Getafe
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Real Oviedo
Getafe
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Real Oviedo
vs
Getafe
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Real Oviedo Getafe
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Real Oviedo 0.28
Getafe 0.34
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Real Oviedo Getafe
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Real Oviedo 0.00
Getafe 0.00
Real Oviedo
Getafe
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GET had peak pressure around 98'.
  • GET started the game with stronger pressure.
OVI Pressure GET Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: GET reached the top pressure at 98' (82.69).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Oviedo OVI Home
3 matches
Getafe GET Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
3
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:05:40+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
A. Escandell Banacloche
Spain
13 A. Escandell Banacloche
I. Vidal Miralles
Substitution
Spain
22 I. Vidal Miralles
E. Bailly
Substitution
Ivory Coast
2 E. Bailly
D. Calvo San Román
Spain
12 D. Calvo San Román
J. López Carballo
Spain
25 J. López Carballo
H. Hassan
Substitution
France
10 H. Hassan
K. Sibo
Ghana
6 K. Sibo
A. Reina Campos
Spain
5 A. Reina Campos
T. Fernández
Substitution
Argentina
15 T. Fernández
I. Chaira
Substitution
Morocco
7 I. Chaira
F. Viñas Barboza
Substitution
Uruguay
9 F. Viñas Barboza
Pitch
D. Soria Solís
Spain
13 D. Soria Solís
D. Cordón Mancha
Substitution
26 D. Cordón Mancha
Z. Romero
Argentina
24 Z. Romero
D. Sousa Coutinho Meneses Duarte
Portugal
22 D. Sousa Coutinho Meneses Duarte
A. Abqar
Substitution
Morocco
3 A. Abqar
J. Iglesias Sánchez
Substitution
Spain
21 J. Iglesias Sánchez
M. Arambarri Rosa
Uruguay
8 M. Arambarri Rosa
D. Dakonam Ortega
Togo
2 D. Dakonam Ortega
L. Milla Manzanares
Spain
5 L. Milla Manzanares
M. Satriano
Uruguay
10 M. Satriano
M. Martín Rielves
Substitution
Spain
6 M. Martín Rielves

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Capacity :
30500
Attendance :
19135
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
César Soto Grado
Carlos Álvarez Fernández
Rubén Becerril Gómez
Manuel Pozueta Rodríguez

Statistics

Possession
OVI
47%
GET
53%

Top Statistics

1 Big Chances Created 1
8 Shots 22
29 Dangerous attacks 64
46 Possession 54
1 Corners 9
16 Free kicks 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
2 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

1 Hit Woodwork 0
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 42
9 Successful Dribbles 5
17 Dribble Attempts 12
25 Throwins 27
19 Successful Headers 14
69 Ball Safe 72
6 Substitutions 4
12 Goal Kicks 3
6 Goal Attempts 11
2 Injuries 2

Attacking

101 Attacks 105
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

4 Key Passes 15
72 Successful Passes Percentage 80
70 Long Passes 43
253 Successful Passes 315
349 Passes 393
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 53
29 Successful Long Passes 23

Defensive

67 Duels Won 44
8 Interceptions 11
4 Saves 4
25 Tackles 16

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 35
1 Accurate Crosses 9

Discipline

6 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 16

Lineup

Referee : César Soto Grado

Starting XI ▼

13
Aarón Escandell
Aarón Escandell Goalkeeper
2
Eric Bailly
Eric Bailly Defender
4
David Costas
David Costas
Defender12'
12
Dani Calvo
Dani Calvo Defender
22
Nacho Vidal
Nacho Vidal Defender
24
Lucas Ahijado
Lucas Ahijado
Defender85'
25
Javi López
Javi López Defender
5
Alberto Reina
Alberto Reina Midfielder
6
Kwasi Sibo
Kwasi Sibo Midfielder
10
Haissem Hassan
Haissem Hassan Midfielder
3
Rahim Alhassane
Rahim Alhassane
Defender57'
15
Thiago Fernández
Thiago Fernández Midfielder
8
Santi Cazorla
Santi Cazorla
Midfielder64'
7
Ilyas Chaira
Ilyas Chaira Attacker
17
Thiago Borbas
Thiago Borbas
Attacker84'
9
Federico Viñas
Federico Viñas Attacker
19
Álex Forés
Álex Forés
Attacker84'
Referee : César Soto Grado

Starting XI ▼

13
David Soria
David Soria Goalkeeper
3
Abdel Abqar
Abdel Abqar Defender
18
Álex Sancris
Álex Sancris
Attacker73'
21
Juan Iglesias
Juan Iglesias Defender
9
Borja Mayoral
Borja Mayoral
Attacker86'
22
Domingos Duarte
Domingos Duarte Defender
24
Zaid Romero
Zaid Romero Defender
26
Davinchi
Davinchi Defender
14
Javi Muñoz
Javi Muñoz
Midfielder64'
2
Dakonam Djené
Dakonam Djené Midfielder
5
Luis Milla
Luis Milla Midfielder
8
Mauro Arambarri
Mauro Arambarri Midfielder
6
Mario Martín
Mario Martín Attacker
19
Luis Vázquez
Luis Vázquez
Attacker46'
10
Martín Satriano
Martín Satriano Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Álex Sancris
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
86'
Event
Borja Mayoral → Juan Iglesias
10th Substitution
Event
Lucas Ahijado → Nacho Vidal
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Thiago Borbas → Ilyas Chaira
7th Substitution
84'
Event
Álex Forés → Federico Viñas
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Kwasi Sibo
Foul / 2nd Redcard
78'
Event
David Costas
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
73'
73'
Event
Álex Sancris → Abdel Abqar
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Abdel Abqar
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Santi Cazorla → Thiago Fernández
4th Substitution
64'
64'
Event
Javi Muñoz → Davinchi
5th Substitution
Event
Rahim Alhassane → Haissem Hassan
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
Javi López
Foul / 1st Redcard
54'
Event
Javi López
Card adjusted
53'
46'
Event
Luis Vázquez → Mario Martín
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Federico Viñas
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
14'
Event
David Costas → Eric Bailly
1st Substitution
12'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Zaid Romero takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Alex Sancris receives a yellow card.
90
Attempt Attempt
Borja Mayoral Moya takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Martin Satriano takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Abdel Rahim Alhassane Bonkano takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Luis Vasquez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Luis Vasquez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Luis Vasquez attempts a header but misses the shot.
90
Attempt Attempt
Mauro Wilney Arambarri Rosa takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Luis Milla takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
88
Attempt Attempt
Luis Milla takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
86
Attempt Attempt
Luis Vasquez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
86
Update Update
Borja Mayoral Moya comes on for Juan Antonio Iglesias Sanchez.
85
Update Update
David Carmo is on, and Federico Sebastian Vinas Barboza is off.
85
Substitution Substitution
Lucas Ahijado is substituted for Ignacio Vidal Miralles.
84
Update Update
Thiago Nicolas Borbas comes on for Ilyas Chaira.
84
Attempt Attempt
Martin Satriano takes a right-footed shot but misses.
83
Attempt Attempt
Ilyas Chaira takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
82
Attempt Attempt
Luis Milla takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
78
Red Card Red Card Important
Kwasi Sibo receives a red card.
74
Attempt Attempt
Alex Sancris takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Alex Sancris comes on for Abdel Abqar.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
David Costas receives a yellow card.
72
Attempt Attempt
Ilyas Chaira takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Abdel Abqar receives a yellow card.
65
Attempt Attempt
Luis Milla takes a right-footed shot but misses.
65
Attempt Attempt
Mauro Wilney Arambarri Rosa attempts a header but misses the shot.
64
Update Update
Javier Munoz Jimenez is on, and Davinchi is off.
64
Update Update
Santiago Cazorla Gonzalez comes on for Thiago Fernandez.
59
Attempt Attempt
Ilyas Chaira takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
57
Update Update
Abdel Rahim Alhassane Bonkano is on, and Haissem Hassan is off.
57
Attempt Attempt
Luis Vasquez attempts a header but misses the shot.
54
Red Card Red Card Important
Javier Lopez receives a red card.
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Javier Lopez receives a yellow card.
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
VAR decision results in the cancellation of the yellow card for Javier Lopez.
46
Update Update
Luis Vasquez is on, and Mario Martin is off.
44
Update Update
Mario Martin's header is blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Javier Lopez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
36
Attempt Attempt
Juan Antonio Iglesias Sanchez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
36
Attempt Attempt
Juan Antonio Iglesias Sanchez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
36
Attempt Attempt
Mario Martin takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
32
Attempt Attempt
Zaid Romero's header shot misses the target.
32
Attempt Attempt
Mario Martin's left-footed shot is saved.
19
Attempt Attempt
Davinchi's left-footed shot is saved.
14
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Federico Sebastian Vinas Barboza.
13
Update Update
David Costas replaces Eric Bertrand Bailly.
9
Attempt Attempt
Ilyas Chaira takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
3
Attempt Attempt
Martin Satriano takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.

CONCLUSION

In a dramatic encounter, Real Oviedo's two red cards failed to break their resolve, resulting in a hard-fought 0-0 draw against stronger opponents Getafe. The home team's defensive masterclass, despite playing with nine men late on, neutralized Getafe's 54% possession dominance. This outcome underscores Oviedo's character and tactical discipline under duress, turning a potential defeat into a creditable point. Getafe, though controlling the ball, struggled to convert pressure into goals, exposing vulnerabilities in their finishing. The moderate deviation and market alignment suggest the draw was not entirely unexpected, tempered by red card effects. Both sides take lessons forward, with Oviedo boosting morale and Getafe pondering inefficiency.

Real Oviedo vs Getafe preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

La Liga, Spain View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ