Real Oviedo vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere Sun, 17 May - 5:00 PM
La Liga
Real Oviedo OVI
Versus
Deportivo Alavés ALA
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 5:00 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Real Oviedo host Deportivo Alavés in La Liga (Regular Season) at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere. Domestically, Real Oviedo sit 20th in the table while Deportivo Alavés are 15th. Power ranking favours Deportivo Alavés by 16.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Deportivo Alavés enjoys a 16.9-point power advantage with 76.87 score over Real Oviedo's 59.93.
  • Form: Alavés outperforms in form at 24.39 versus Real Oviedo's 13.72.
  • Squad: Real Oviedo ranks 20th in the league while Deportivo Alavés sits 15th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: No specific transition metrics provided for Real Oviedo or Deportivo Alavés.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats use low-confidence proxies with no xG data for either side.
  • xVariable: xG unavailable as set-piece add-on disabled per metadata.
  • Market: Real Oviedo 25% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.9% (Δ+0%) | Deportivo Alavés 49.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Real Oviedo J. Almada Álves
J. Almada Álves
VS
Deportivo Alavés E. Sánchez Flores
E. Sánchez Flores
0.88
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.04
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Madrid Rank: 92 L
Getafe Rank: 76 D
Real Betis Rank: 82 L
Elche Rank: 74 L
Villarreal Rank: 82 D
Celta de Vigo Rank: 80 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Barcelona Rank: 97 W
Elche Rank: 74 D
Athletic Club Rank: 77 L
Mallorca Rank: 76 W
Real Madrid Rank: 92 L
Real Sociedad Rank: 80 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Oviedo
25.03%
Draw
25.9%
Away Deportivo Alavés
49.07%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.93
76.87
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Oviedo
Deportivo Alavés
Power Score
59.93
76.87
League Position
20
15
Global Rank
192
92

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Real Oviedo Opponent-weighted form score
Deportivo Alavés Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Oviedo Deportivo Alavés

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Oviedo OVI Home
5 matches
Deportivo Alavés ALA Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
4
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:08:42+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
A. Escandell Banacloche
Spain
13 A. Escandell Banacloche
I. Vidal Miralles
Spain
22 I. Vidal Miralles
E. Bailly
Ivory Coast
2 E. Bailly
D. Calvo San Román
Spain
12 D. Calvo San Román
J. López Carballo
Spain
25 J. López Carballo
H. Hassan
France
10 H. Hassan
K. Sibo
Ghana
6 K. Sibo
A. Reina Campos
Spain
5 A. Reina Campos
T. Fernández
Argentina
15 T. Fernández
I. Chaira
Morocco
7 I. Chaira
F. Viñas Barboza
Uruguay
9 F. Viñas Barboza
Pitch
A. Sivera Salvá
Spain
1 A. Sivera Salvá
A. Rebbach
Algeria
21 A. Rebbach
A. Pérez Hidalgo
Spain
7 A. Pérez Hidalgo
V. Parada González
Spain
24 V. Parada González
N. Tenaglia
Argentina
14 N. Tenaglia
V. Koski
Finland
16 V. Koski
D. Suárez Fernández
Spain
4 D. Suárez Fernández
A. Blanco Conde
Spain
8 A. Blanco Conde
J. Guridi Aldalur
Spain
18 J. Guridi Aldalur
I. Diabate
Ivory Coast
22 I. Diabate
A. Martínez López
Spain
11 A. Martínez López

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Capacity :
30500
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Lineup

Starting XI

13
Aarón Escandell
Aarón Escandell Goalkeeper
7.14
2
Eric Bailly
Eric Bailly Defender
6.88
12
Dani Calvo
Dani Calvo Defender
6.83
22
Nacho Vidal
Nacho Vidal Defender
6.68
25
Javi López
Javi López Defender
6.58
5
Alberto Reina
Alberto Reina Midfielder
6.78
6
Kwasi Sibo
Kwasi Sibo Midfielder
6.57
10
Haissem Hassan
Haissem Hassan Midfielder
6.67
15
Thiago Fernández
Thiago Fernández Midfielder
6.57
7
Ilyas Chaira
Ilyas Chaira Attacker
6.75
9
Federico Viñas
Federico Viñas Attacker
7.03

Starting XI

1
Antonio Sivera
Antonio Sivera Goalkeeper
6.72
7
Ángel Pérez
Ángel Pérez Defender
6.7
14
Nahuel Tenaglia
Nahuel Tenaglia Defender
6.87
16
Ville Koski
Ville Koski Defender
6.84
21
Abde Rebbach
Abde Rebbach Defender
6.74
24
Victor Parada
Victor Parada Defender
6.52
4
Denis Suárez
Denis Suárez Midfielder
6.63
8
Antonio Blanco
Antonio Blanco Midfielder
6.96
18
Jon Guridi
Jon Guridi Midfielder
6.55
11
Toni Martínez
Toni Martínez Attacker
7.14
22
Ibrahim Diabaté
Ibrahim Diabaté Attacker
6.7

CONCLUSION

Deportivo Alavés approaches this matchup with clear superiority in power scores and form, positioning them ahead of struggling Real Oviedo. The visitors' 15th-place standing contrasts sharply with the hosts' relegation fight at 20th. Absent detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, Alavés' overall metrics point to dominance in key phases. Oviedo's home venue offers hope for counters, yet Alavés' baseline split dominance hints at control. Expect the away team to leverage their edge for a positive result, while Oviedo pushes for resilience amid sparse data gaps.

Real Oviedo vs Deportivo Alavés preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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