Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
La Liga
Deportivo Alavés ALASTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Real Madrid defeated Deportivo Alavés 2-1 in a competitive La Liga encounter, taking a 1-0 halftime lead before Alavés equalized in the second half, only for Madrid to secure the winner late on. The home team dominated possession at 61% to 39%, showcasing their superiority as the stronger side. The final score reflected a significant structural deviation of 22.2% in Real Madrid's favor, yet the outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations. Efficiency remained in line with projections, with no red cards or major events distorting the flow. This result underscores Madrid's resilience despite Alavés' fightback, maintaining their position in the title race while highlighting the visitors' defensive vulnerabilities.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Real Madrid's 2-1 win featured a significant 22.2% structural deviation in their favor.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with expectations.
- xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
- Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
- xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
- Event impact: No notable event impacts or second-half adjustments occurred.
- Red card distortion: No red cards present, resulting in zero distortion.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
J. Martínez Munuera
Other match officials
D. Barbero Sevilla
1st Assistant
M. Martínez Munuera
2nd Assistant
M. Camacho Garrote
4th Official


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Real Madrid
Deportivo AlavésMovement
Changes since opening
Real Madrid
Deportivo AlavésTeam Power Ranking
i
37.41
21.35
Real Madrid
Deportivo AlavésForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Real Madrid
Deportivo Alavés

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Real Madrid ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Real Madrid ⚠ Proxy
Real Madrid Deportivo Alavés
Real Madrid Deportivo Alavés
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Deportivo Alavés


Real Madrid Deportivo Alavés


PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- RMA had peak pressure around 34'.
- RMA started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-04-22T00:04:17+00:00
STARTING XI
Real Madrid
Deportivo Alavés























































General Information
Next Match

Real Madrid
vs

Real Betis
League: La Liga
Kickoff: Fri, 24 Apr - 7:00 PM
Venue: Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla

Deportivo Alavés
vs

Mallorca
League: La Liga
Kickoff: Sat, 25 Apr - 12:00 PM
Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Real MadridManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼







Deportivo AlavésManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼







Events
CONCLUSION
Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Match Commentary