Real Betis vs Levante Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla Sat, 23 May - 7:00 PM
La Liga
Real Betis BET
2 Winner 1
Levante LVT
Full Time Sat, 23 May 7:00 PM
Round 38 Regular Season
Pablo Fornals - 68'
Abde Ezzalzouli - 5'
Goal
|
Goal
Carlos Espí - 45+1'

CONTEXT

Real Betis hosted Levante in a match that concluded with a 2-1 victory for the home side. The game was level at halftime with both teams finding the net once before the break. Real Betis controlled the majority of possession at 64 percent compared to Levante's 36 percent. Despite the even scoreline at the interval the stronger team managed to pull ahead in the second half. No red cards were shown to either side throughout the contest. The outcome saw Real Betis claim all three points after overcoming the halftime parity. The match highlighted the home team's ability to adjust and secure the win in the latter stages.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Real Betis recorded a significant 59.3 percent deviation as the designated stronger team.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match team expectations.
  • xG alignment: No xG figures were available to assess alignment with the final result.
  • Market alignment: The match outcome proved aligned with available market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals data was not recorded during this fixture.
  • Event impact: Real Betis overcame a 1-1 halftime score to win 2-1.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to distort the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Busquets Ferrer

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

G. García González

2nd Assistant

Spain

Aleksandar Angelov

4th Official

Spain

I. Prieto López de Ceraín

1st Assistant

Spain

League averages

La Liga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 23.04
Yellow cards / match 4.14
Red cards / match 0.25
Penalties / match 0.29
Real Betis M. Pellegrini
M. Pellegrini
VS
Levante L. Ferreira de Castro
L. Ferreira de Castro
1.48
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Barcelona Rank: 96 L
Elche Rank: 75 W
Real Sociedad Rank: 80 D
Real Oviedo Rank: 71 W
Real Madrid Rank: 93 D
Girona Rank: 75 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mallorca Rank: 76 W
Celta de Vigo Rank: 81 W
Osasuna Rank: 78 W
Villarreal Rank: 83 L
Espanyol Rank: 75 D
Sevilla Rank: 75 W
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 4 - 9
9

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Betis
40.68%
Draw
27.03%
Away Levante
32.29%

Movement

Changes since opening
Real Betis
-54.55%
Draw
+22.45%
Levante
+32.1%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.37
63.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Betis
Levante
Power Score
82.37
63.67
League Position
5
17
Global Rank
49
99

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Betis — Opponent-weighted form score
Levante — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Betis Levante

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Real Betis

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Levante

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Real Betis ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Levante
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Real Betis Levante
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Real Betis Levante
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Real Betis
Levante
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Real Betis
vs
Levante
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Real Betis Levante
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Real Betis 0.00
Levante 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Real Betis Levante
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Real Betis 0.00
Levante 0.00
Real Betis
Levante
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LVT had peak pressure around 18'.
  • BET started the game with stronger pressure.
BET Pressure LVT Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LVT reached the top pressure at 18' (74.07).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Betis BET Home
24 matches
Levante LVT Away
Match Record
11
Wins
9
4
Draws
4
9
Losses
11
Goals
40
Goals Scored
35
35
Goals Conceded
40
+5
Goal Difference
-5

Data last updated: 2026-05-23T18:31:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. San Miguel del Castillo
Spain
13 A. San Miguel del Castillo
H. Bellerín Moruno
Spain
2 H. Bellerín Moruno
D. Llorente Ríos
Spain
3 D. Llorente Ríos
Natan
Substitution
Brazil
4 Natan
R. Rodríguez Araya
Switzerland
12 R. Rodríguez Araya
P. Fornals Malla
Substitution
Spain
8 P. Fornals Malla
M. Roca Junqué
Spain
21 M. Roca Junqué
A. dos Santos
Brazil
7 A. dos Santos
F. Alarcón Suárez
Substitution
Spain
22 F. Alarcón Suárez
A. Ezzalzouli
Substitution
Morocco
10 A. Ezzalzouli
J. Hernández Suárez
Colombia
19 J. Hernández Suárez
Pitch
M. Ryan
Australia
13 M. Ryan
M. Sánchez De La Peña
Spain
23 M. Sánchez De La Peña
M. Moreno
Argentina
2 M. Moreno
A. De la Fuente Barquilla
Spain
4 A. De la Fuente Barquilla
J. Toljan
Germany
22 J. Toljan
J. Olasagasti Imizcoz
Substitution
Spain
8 J. Olasagasti Imizcoz
K. Arriaga
Substitution
Honduras
16 K. Arriaga
I. Romero de Ávila Araque
Substitution
Spain
9 I. Romero de Ávila Araque
P. Martínez Andrés
Substitution
Spain
10 P. Martínez Andrés
K. Tunde Ruiz
Substitution
26 K. Tunde Ruiz
C. Espí Escrihuela
Spain
19 C. Espí Escrihuela

General Information

Date & Time :
May 23, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla
Capacity :
70000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Mateo Busquets Ferrer
Gonzalo García González
Aleksandar Ivaylov Angelov
Iñigo Prieto López de Ceraín

Statistics

Possession
BET
60%
LVT
40%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 4
18 Shots 15
26 Dangerous attacks 44
64 Possession 36
4 Corners 8
7 Free kicks 11
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

62 Ball Safe 47
12 Goal Attempts 8
0 Hit Woodwork 1
69 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29
14 Throwins 8
13 Dribble Attempts 7
8 Goal Kicks 5
9 Successful Dribbles 2
6 Successful Headers 6
0 Assists 1
4 Substitutions 5

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 3
79 Attacks 91

Possession

60 Successful Long Passes Percentage 55
24 Successful Long Passes 18
618 Passes 333
91 Successful Passes Percentage 87
40 Long Passes 33
562 Successful Passes 289
13 Key Passes 11

Defensive

13 Tackles 18
3 Interceptions 12
5 Saves 6
34 Duels Won 36

Build-up

3 Accurate Crosses 7
7 Total Crosses 25

Discipline

11 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Mateo Busquets Ferrer

Starting XI ▼

13
Adrián
Adrián Goalkeeper
6.5
2
Héctor Bellerín
Héctor Bellerín Defender
6.8
3
Diego Llorente
Diego Llorente Defender
6.97
4
Natan
Natan Defender
6.7
16
Valentín Gómez
Valentín Gómez
Defender79'
6.77
12
Ricardo Rodríguez
Ricardo Rodríguez Defender
6.62
7
Antony
Antony Midfielder
7.24
8
Pablo Fornals
Pablo Fornals Midfielder
7.29
15
Álvaro Fidalgo
Álvaro Fidalgo
Midfielder80'
6.77
10
Abde Ezzalzouli
Abde Ezzalzouli Midfielder
7.3
9
Chimy Ávila
Chimy Ávila
Attacker80'
6.62
21
Marc Roca
Marc Roca Midfielder
6.82
22
Isco
Isco Midfielder
6.85
20
Giovani Lo Celso
Giovani Lo Celso
Midfielder54'
7.04
19
Cucho Hernández
Cucho Hernández Attacker
7.05
Referee : Mateo Busquets Ferrer

Starting XI ▼

13
Mathew Ryan
Mathew Ryan Goalkeeper
7.12
2
Matías Moreno
Matías Moreno Defender
6.82
4
Adrián Dela
Adrián Dela Defender
6.97
22
Jeremy Toljan
Jeremy Toljan Defender
6.64
23
Manu Sánchez
Manu Sánchez Defender
6.65
8
Jon Ander Olasagasti
Jon Ander Olasagasti Midfielder
6.81
14
Ugo Raghouber
Ugo Raghouber
Midfielder78'
6.72
9
Iván Romero
Iván Romero Midfielder
6.89
18
Iker Losada
Iker Losada
Attacker78'
6.65
10
Pablo Martínez
Pablo Martínez Midfielder
6.83
21
Karl Etta Eyong
Karl Etta Eyong
Attacker86'
7.02
16
Kervin Arriaga
Kervin Arriaga Midfielder
6.83
20
Oriol Rey
Oriol Rey
Midfielder46'
6.65
26
Kareem Tunde
Kareem Tunde Midfielder
6.6
55
Tai Abed
Tai Abed
Attacker46'
6.46
19
Carlos Espí
Carlos Espí Attacker
6.91

Events

2ND-HALF
86'
Event
Karl Etta Eyong → Pablo Martínez
9th Substitution
Event
Chimy Ávila → Abde Ezzalzouli
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Álvaro Fidalgo → Pablo Fornals
8th Substitution
80'
Event
Valentín Gómez → Natan
6th Substitution
79'
78'
Event
Iker Losada → Iván Romero
4th Substitution
78'
Event
Ugo Raghouber → Jon Ander Olasagasti
5th Substitution
71'
Event
Luís Castro
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Pablo Fornals
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
68'
66'
Event
Jeremy Toljan
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Giovani Lo Celso → Isco
3rd Substitution
54'
46'
Event
Oriol Rey → Kervin Arriaga
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Tai Abed → Kareem Tunde
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+1'
Event
Carlos Espí
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
37'
Event
Kervin Arriaga
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Antony
Simulation / 1st Yellowcard
22'
Event
Abde Ezzalzouli
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
5'

Match Commentary

88
Attempt Attempt
Etta Eyong takes a right-footed shot but misses.
86
Attempt Attempt
Antony Matheus dos Santos takes a left-footed shot but misses.
86
Substitution Substitution
Etta Eyong is substituted for Pablo Martinez Andres.
81
Attempt Attempt
Antony Matheus dos Santos takes a left-footed shot but misses.
80
Update Update
Alvaro Fidalgo comes on for Pablo Fornals.
80
Update Update
Valentin Gomez is on, and Natan Bernardo De Souza is off.
79
Update Update
Luis Ezequiel Avila comes on for Abdessamad Ezzalzouli.
79
Attempt Attempt
Giovani Lo Celso takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
78
Substitution Substitution
Ugo Raghouber is substituted for Jon Ander Olasagasti.
75
Attempt Attempt
Marc Roca takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
75
Attempt Attempt
Marc Roca takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
71
Attempt Attempt
Adrian De La Fuente attempts a header but misses the shot.
71
Attempt Attempt
Adrian De La Fuente's header is saved.
68
Attempt Attempt
Diego Javier Llorente Rios takes a shot with his head, but it is saved.
68
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Fornals scores with a left-footed shot.
67
Attempt Attempt
Juan Camilo Hernandez Suarez takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jeremy Toljan receives a yellow card.
65
Attempt Attempt
Jon Ander Olasagasti takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
60
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Espi takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
59
Attempt Attempt
Antony Matheus dos Santos takes a left-footed shot but misses.
55
Update Update
Giovani Lo Celso is on, and Francisco R. Alarcon Suarez, Isco is off.
53
Attempt Attempt
Tai Abed takes a left-footed shot but misses.
52
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Isco is blocked.
52
Attempt Attempt
Marc Roca takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
50
Attempt Attempt
Juan Camilo Hernandez Suarez attempts a header but misses the shot.
49
Attempt Attempt
Iván Romero takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
46
Update Update
Oriol Rey replaces Kervin Arriaga.
46
Update Update
Tai Abed is on, and Kareem Tunde is off.
45
Attempt Attempt
Juan Camilo Hernandez Suarez takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Espi takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Carlos Espi scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Pablo Martinez Andres.
45
Update Update
Kareem Tunde's header is blocked.
37
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kervin Arriaga receives a yellow card.
37
Attempt Attempt
Juan Camilo Hernandez Suarez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
36
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Espi takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
36
Attempt Attempt
Jon Ander Olasagasti takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
25
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Francisco R. Alarcon Suarez, also known as Isco, is blocked.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Antony Matheus dos Santos.
18
Attempt Attempt
Marc Roca takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
17
Attempt Attempt
Kareem Tunde's left-footed shot is saved.
13
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Espi takes a shot, but it is blocked.
8
Attempt Attempt
Kareem Tunde takes a left-footed shot but misses.
5
Attempt Attempt
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
3
Attempt Attempt
Antony Matheus dos Santos takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Real Betis 2-1 Levante. Structural assessment: Real Betis exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Real Betis vs Levante preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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