Rayo Vallecano vs Girona Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
La Liga
Girona GIRSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Rayo Vallecano and Girona played out a 1-1 draw in a competitive La Liga encounter at Vallecas Stadium. The first half ended goalless, with Rayo Vallecano dominating possession at 59% yet struggling to create clear chances against a resilient Girona defense. As the stronger team on paper, Rayo pushed forward after the break, finally breaking the deadlock through a determined effort, only for Girona to respond swiftly and equalize, showcasing their counter-attacking threat despite holding just 41% of the ball. Neither side could find a winner in a match characterized by tactical discipline and few clear openings. Rayo’s control failed to translate into points, while Girona’s organization earned them a valuable share. The result reflects a balanced contest where home advantage was neutralized by visiting resolve.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Moderate 8.5% structural deviation favored Rayo Vallecano in the draw.
- Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies stayed in line with pre-match expectations.
- xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
- Market alignment: Draw outcome fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
- xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without recorded data.
- Event impact: No major events like adjustments or ties altered match dynamics.
- Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion to game structure.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
G. Cuadra Fernández
Other match officials
G. Porras Ayuso
1st Assistant
A. Estévez Iglesias
2nd Assistant
?. Rodríguez Recio
4th Official
League averages
La Liga Based on last 100 matches


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Rayo Vallecano
GironaMovement
Changes since opening
Rayo Vallecano
GironaTeam Power Ranking
i
78.87
75.46
Rayo Vallecano
GironaForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Rayo Vallecano
Girona

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Rayo Vallecano ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Rayo Vallecano ⚠ Proxy
Rayo Vallecano Girona
Rayo Vallecano Girona
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano Girona


Rayo Vallecano Girona


PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- RAY had peak pressure around 38'.
- GIR started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 25 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-05-12T00:03:25+00:00
STARTING XI
Rayo Vallecano
Girona






















































General Information
Next Match

Rayo Vallecano
vs

Valencia
League: La Liga
Kickoff: Thu, 14 May - 5:00 PM
Venue: Estadio de Mestalla

Girona
vs

Real Sociedad
League: La Liga
Kickoff: Thu, 14 May - 6:00 PM
Venue: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Rayo VallecanoManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















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Bench ▼







GironaManager ▼

Starting XI ▼















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Bench ▼






Events
CONCLUSION
Rayo Vallecano vs Girona preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Match Commentary