Rayo Vallecano vs Elche Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio de Vallecas Fri, 3 Apr - 7:00 PM
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano RAY
1 Winner 0
Elche ELC
Full Time Fri, 3 Apr 7:00 PM
Round 30 Regular Season
Randy Nteka - 74'
Goal
|
|
Second yellow card Pedro Bigas 39'

CONTEXT

The match between Rayo Vallecano and Elche has finished, with the home side securing a 1-0 victory after a scoreless first half. Pre-match expectations clearly favored Rayo Vallecano, who held a 54.4% market probability of winning compared to Elche's 20.7% and a 24.9% chance of a draw. Because the stronger team successfully claimed the victory, the final outcome perfectly aligned with the pre-match market. However, securing the win still required a significant 45.6% performance deviation for Rayo Vallecano. The hosts dictated the tempo for the majority of the match, controlling 60% of the overall possession while restricting the visitors to just 40%. While expected goals (xG) data was not available to further analyze chance creation, the team's overall efficiency shift was entirely in line with the match's final result. A major turning point was a crucial red card issued to Elche. This sending-off caused a notable distortion in the second half, hampering the visitors' defensive structure and ultimately allowing Rayo Vallecano to break the deadlock and secure the victory.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Rayo Vallecano showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. Munuera Montero

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Martínez Moreno

1st Assistant

G. Cueto Amigo

4th Official

A. Díaz González

2nd Assistant

Rayo Vallecano I. Pérez Soto
I. Pérez Soto
VS
Elche E. Sarabia Armesto
E. Sarabia Armesto
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.73
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Barcelona Rank: 96 L
Levante Rank: 71 D
Sevilla Rank: 74 D
Real Oviedo Rank: 70 W
Athletic Club Rank: 79 D
Real Betis Rank: 82 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mallorca Rank: 74 W
Real Madrid Rank: 93 L
Villarreal Rank: 84 L
Espanyol Rank: 74 D
Athletic Club Rank: 79 L
Osasuna Rank: 79 D
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 4 - 12
12

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rayo Vallecano
54.39%
Draw
24.93%
Away Elche
20.68%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.45
61.38
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Power Score
77.45
61.38
League Position
12
17
Global Rank
79
143

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rayo Vallecano — Opponent-weighted form score
Elche — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rayo Vallecano Elche

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Rayo Vallecano

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Elche

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rayo Vallecano ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Elche
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
41.00
27.75
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.75
41.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Rayo Vallecano +1.20 Efficiency Index
vs
Elche -1.20 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rayo Vallecano ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Elche
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Rayo Vallecano Elche
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Rayo Vallecano Elche
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Rayo Vallecano
vs
Elche
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Rayo Vallecano Elche
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Rayo Vallecano 0.29
Elche 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Rayo Vallecano Elche
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Rayo Vallecano 0.00
Elche 0.01
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rayo Vallecano RAY Home
20 matches
Elche ELC Away
Match Record
4
Wins
12
4
Draws
4
12
Losses
4
Goals
22
Goals Scored
36
36
Goals Conceded
22
-14
Goal Difference
+14

Data last updated: 2026-04-04T00:03:28+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
A. Batalla Barga
Argentina
13 A. Batalla Barga
A. Ratiu
Romania
2 A. Ratiu
F. Lejeune
France
24 F. Lejeune
L. Ramos Marchi
Italy
5 L. Ramos Marchi
J. Chavarría Pérez
Spain
3 J. Chavarría Pérez
U. López Cabrera
Spain
17 U. López Cabrera
Ó. Martín Luengo
Substitution
Spain
23 Ó. Martín Luengo
I. Palazón Camacho
Substitution
Spain
7 I. Palazón Camacho
J. De Frutos Sebastián
Substitution
Spain
19 J. De Frutos Sebastián
A. Zurawski
Substitution
Brazil
9 A. Zurawski
Á. García Rivera
Substitution
Spain
18 Á. García Rivera
Pitch
M. Dituro
Argentina
1 M. Dituro
L. Pétrot
France
21 L. Pétrot
P. Bigas Rigo
Spain
6 P. Bigas Rigo
D. Affengruber
Austria
22 D. Affengruber
J. Morente Oliva
Spain
15 J. Morente Oliva
A. Febas Pérez
Substitution
Spain
14 A. Febas Pérez
M. Aguado Pallares
Substitution
Spain
8 M. Aguado Pallares
A. Sangaré Traoré
Substitution
Spain
42 A. Sangaré Traoré
R. Mir Vicente
Substitution
Spain
10 R. Mir Vicente
?. Rodríguez Muñoz
Substitution
Uruguay
20 ?. Rodríguez Muñoz
G. Karabinaite
Spain
11 G. Karabinaite

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 03, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio de Vallecas
Capacity :
14708
Attendance :
2
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Antonio Ramón Martínez Moreno
G. Cueto Amigo
José Luis Munuera Montero
Adrián Díaz González

Statistics

Possession
RAY
57%
ELC
43%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 2
21 Shots 9
72 Dangerous attacks 42
60 Possession 40
9 Corners 4
9 Free kicks 17
0 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

16 Throwins 25
8 Successful Dribbles 5
14 Successful Headers 18
16 Dribble Attempts 22
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 23
6 Goal Kicks 12
2 Hit Woodwork 1
74 Ball Safe 71
1 Injuries 0
13 Goal Attempts 5
5 Substitutions 5
1 Assists 0

Attacking

98 Attacks 72
1 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

410 Passes 285
18 Key Passes 9
348 Successful Passes 209
85 Successful Passes Percentage 73
45 Long Passes 73
29 Successful Long Passes 31
64 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42

Defensive

20 Tackles 20
6 Interceptions 5
52 Duels Won 58
4 Saves 4

Build-up

29 Total Crosses 10
9 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

17 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : José Luis Munuera Montero

Starting XI ▼

13
Augusto Batalla
Augusto Batalla Goalkeeper
2
Andrei Rațiu
Andrei Rațiu Defender
3
Pep Chavarría
Pep Chavarría Defender
5
Luiz Felipe
Luiz Felipe Defender
24
Florian Lejeune
Florian Lejeune Defender
7
Isi Palazón
Isi Palazón Midfielder
4
Pedro Díaz
Pedro Díaz
Midfielder66'
17
Unai López
Unai López Midfielder
23
Óscar Valentín
Óscar Valentín Midfielder
11
Randy Nteka
Randy Nteka
Midfielder66'
9
Alexandre Zurawski
Alexandre Zurawski Attacker
10
Sergio Camello
Sergio Camello
Attacker83'
18
Álvaro García
Álvaro García Attacker
22
Alfonso Espino
Alfonso Espino
Defender84'
19
Jorge de Frutos
Jorge de Frutos Attacker
14
Carlos Martín
Carlos Martín
Attacker90+3'
Referee : José Luis Munuera Montero

Starting XI ▼

1
Matías Dituro
Matías Dituro Goalkeeper
6
Pedro Bigas
Pedro Bigas Defender
21
Léo Pétrot
Léo Pétrot Defender
22
David Affengruber
David Affengruber Defender
8
Marc Aguado
Marc Aguado Midfielder
5
Federico Redondo
Federico Redondo
Midfielder77'
14
Aleix Febas
Aleix Febas Midfielder
12
Gonzalo Villar
Gonzalo Villar
Midfielder77'
15
Tete Morente
Tete Morente Midfielder
42
Buba Sangaré
Buba Sangaré Midfielder
7
Yago Santiago
Yago Santiago
Attacker83'
10
Rafa Mir
Rafa Mir Attacker
3
Adrià Pedrosa
Adrià Pedrosa
Defender46'
11
Germán Valera
Germán Valera Attacker
20
Álvaro Rodríguez
Álvaro Rodríguez Attacker
9
André Silva
André Silva
Attacker77'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Carlos Martín → Jorge de Frutos
10th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Alfonso Espino → Álvaro García
9th Substitution
84'
Event
Sergio Camello → Alexandre Zurawski
7th Substitution
83'
83'
Event
Yago Santiago → Buba Sangaré
8th Substitution
77'
Event
André Silva → Álvaro Rodríguez
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Gonzalo Villar → Aleix Febas
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Federico Redondo → Marc Aguado
4th Substitution
Event
Randy Nteka
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
74'
Event
Pedro Díaz → Isi Palazón
2nd Substitution
66'
Event
Randy Nteka → Óscar Valentín
3rd Substitution
66'
63'
Event
Álvaro Rodríguez
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Adrià Pedrosa → Rafa Mir
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Rafa Mir
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
39'
Event
Pedro Bigas
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
22'
Event
Pedro Bigas
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Jorge de Frutos of Rayo Vallecano commits a handball.
90
Update Update
Randy Nteka from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Federico Redondo from Elche won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Rayo Vallecano winning 1-0 against Elche.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Carlos Martín replaces Jorge de Frutos.
87
Update Update
André Silva from Elche won a free kick in defense.
87
Update Update
Fouled by Florian Lejeune of Rayo Vallecano.
86
Update Update
Federico Redondo of Elche committed a foul.
86
Update Update
Pep Chavarría from Rayo Vallecano won a free kick in the defensive area.
85
Update Update
Andrei Ratiu from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
85
Update Update
André Silva from Elche won a free kick on the left wing.
84
Update Update
Pacha Espino from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
84
Update Update
Gonzalo Villar from Elche won a free kick in defense.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pacha Espino replaces Álvaro García.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Elche: Yago Santiago replaces Buba Sangaré.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Sergio Camello replaces Alemão.
82
Update Update
Germán Valera from Elche won a free kick in defense.
82
Update Update
Buba Sangaré from Elche won a free kick in defense.
80
Update Update
Foul committed by Pedro Díaz of Rayo Vallecano.
80
Update Update
Gonzalo Villar from Elche won a free kick in defense.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Elche: Federico Redondo replaces Marc Aguado.
77
Attempt Attempt
Florian Lejeune's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Elche: André Silva replaces Álvaro Rodríguez.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Elche: Gonzalo Villar replaces Aleix Febas.
76
Update Update
Alemão from Rayo Vallecano won a free kick on the left wing.
76
Update Update
Tete Morente from Elche commits a foul.
74
Update Update
Unai López of Rayo Vallecano won a free kick in defense.
74
Update Update
Adrià Pedrosa fouled a player from Elche.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Rayo Vallecano leads 1-0 against Elche. Randy Nteka scores with a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the left corner, assisted by Álvaro García's cross.
72
Attempt Attempt
Jorge de Frutos from Rayo Vallecano has his right-footed shot from the right side of the box blocked. Alemão provided the assist.
71
Attempt Attempt
Pep Chavarría's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Jorge de Frutos provided the assist.
71
Update Update
Andrei Ratiu of Rayo Vallecano misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, but the ball goes high. The assist was provided by Unai López.
70
Corner Corner
Rayo Vallecano wins a corner after Matías Dituro concedes.
70
Corner Corner
Pedro Díaz from Rayo Vallecano had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, but it went just to the left. The assist came from Unai López after a corner.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rayo Vallecano after Tete Morente concedes.
68
Attempt Attempt
Pedro Díaz from Rayo Vallecano hits the right post with a right-footed shot from outside the box, assisted by Andrei Ratiu.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pedro Díaz replaces Isi Palazón.
66
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Buba Sangaré from Elche.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Randy Nteka replaces Óscar Valentín.
65
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Álvaro García from Rayo Vallecano takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but Matías Dituro from Elche saves it in the left corner.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Álvaro Rodríguez from Elche receives a yellow card for a foul.
63
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Óscar Valentín from Rayo Vallecano.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rayo Vallecano after Matías Dituro concedes.
61
Update Update
New attacking attempt. Pep Chavarría of Rayo Vallecano shoots with his left foot from outside the box, but Matías Dituro of Elche saves it in the center of the goal. The assist was provided by Isi Palazón.
60
Update Update
Unai López from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
60
Update Update
Aleix Febas from Elche won a free kick in defense.
60
Attempt Attempt
Jorge de Frutos of Rayo Vallecano had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box but missing to the left. The assist came from Andrei Ratiu with a cross.
58
Update Update
Aleix Febas from Elche won a free kick in defense.
58
Update Update
Alemão fouled a player from Rayo Vallecano.
58
Attempt Attempt
Unai López from Rayo Vallecano has his right-footed shot from outside the box blocked.
55
Update Update
Jorge de Frutos from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
55
Update Update
Foul committed by Jorge de Frutos of Rayo Vallecano.
54
Update Update
Jorge de Frutos from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
54
Update Update
Aleix Febas from Elche won a free kick in defense.
53
Update Update
Adrià Pedrosa from Elche committed a foul.
53
Update Update
Aleix Febas from Elche won a free kick in defense.
51
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Florian Lejeune of Rayo Vallecano.
51
Update Update
Matías Dituro from Elche won a free kick in defense.
50
Update Update
Álvaro Rodríguez from Elche won a free kick in defense.
50
Update Update
Alemão from Rayo Vallecano commits a foul.
49
Update Update
Foul committed by Luiz Felipe against Rayo Vallecano.
47
Attempt Attempt
Florian Lejeune from Rayo Vallecano misses a chance with a right-footed shot from outside the box.
46
Corner Corner
Elche wins a corner after Augusto Batalla concedes.
46
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Pep Chavarría from Rayo Vallecano shoots with his left foot from the left side of the box, but it goes over the goal.
46
Attempt Attempt
Adrià Pedrosa from Elche attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it is saved.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Rafa Mir from Elche receives a yellow card for a foul.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Rayo Vallecano and Elche tied at 0-0.
45
Update Update
Andrei Ratiu from Rayo Vallecano won a free kick in defense.
45
Update Update
Rafa Mir fouled an Elche player.
45
Update Update
Jorge de Frutos from Rayo Vallecano misses a chance, heading the ball high and wide to the right from the right side of the box. The assist came from Andrei Ratiu's cross.
45
Update Update
Jorge de Frutos of Rayo Vallecano misses a header from the right side of the box, sending the ball high and wide to the right. The assist came from Andrei Ratiu's cross.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Elche: Adrià Pedrosa replaces Rafa Mir.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at 0-0 between Rayo Vallecano and Elche.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rayo Vallecano after being conceded by Rafa Mir.
39
Update Update
Jorge de Frutos from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
39
Update Update
Tete Morente from Elche won a free kick in defense.
39
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Óscar Valentín from Rayo Vallecano.
39
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Pedro Bigas from Elche receives a second yellow card for a foul.
37
Update Update
Aleix Febas from Elche won a free kick in an attacking position.
37
Update Update
Óscar Valentín from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
34
Update Update
Álvaro García from Rayo Vallecano misses a chance, shooting with his left foot from the left side of the box, and the ball goes high. The assist was provided by Andrei Ratiu with a through ball.
33
Attempt Attempt
Jorge de Frutos from Rayo Vallecano has a shot with his right foot from a difficult position on the left, but it is blocked.
31
Attempt Attempt
Rafa Mir from Elche had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the right side of the box, but it went close and missed. Matías Dituro provided the assist.
30
Update Update
Isi Palazón's header from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Florian Lejeune's cross.
29
Corner Corner
Rayo Vallecano wins a corner after Matías Dituro concedes.
29
Attempt Attempt
Unai López from Rayo Vallecano missed a chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box to the left. Luiz Felipe provided the assist.
27
Update Update
Foul committed by Buba Sangaré of Elche.
27
Update Update
Pep Chavarría from Rayo Vallecano was awarded a free kick on the left wing.
25
Update Update
Jorge de Frutos of Rayo Vallecano has a header from the center of the box blocked. The assist came from Álvaro García's cross.
25
Corner Corner
Rayo Vallecano wins a corner after Pedro Bigas concedes.
24
Corner Corner
Florian Lejeune of Rayo Vallecano misses a chance as his header from the center of the box goes high. The assist came from Unai López, who delivered a cross after a corner.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rayo Vallecano after being conceded by Léo Pétrot.
22
Update Update
Foul committed by Pedro Bigas of Elche.
22
Update Update
Unai López from Rayo Vallecano was awarded a free kick in defense.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Pedro Bigas of Elche receives a yellow card for a foul.
19
Update Update
Foul committed by Tete Morente of Elche.
19
Update Update
Andrei Ratiu of Rayo Vallecano won a free kick in defense.
18
Attempt Attempt
Rafa Mir from Elche takes a shot with his right foot from outside the box, but it is saved by Rayo Vallecano's goalkeeper Augusto Batalla, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Tete Morente.
18
Attempt Attempt
Álvaro Rodríguez's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Aleix Febas.
17
Corner Corner
Pedro Bigas of Elche heads the ball from the center of the box, but it's just wide of the goal. The assist came from Germán Valera, who delivered a cross after a corner.
16
Corner Corner
Elche wins a corner after Luiz Felipe concedes.
14
Corner Corner
Elche wins a corner after Florian Lejeune concedes.
13
Attempt Attempt
Tete Morente's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist came from Aleix Febas.
12
Update Update
Alemão fouled by Rayo Vallecano.
12
Update Update
Buba Sangaré of Elche won a free kick in defense.
11
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Rafa Mir from Elche takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it's saved in the left corner by Augusto Batalla of Rayo Vallecano.
9
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Álvaro García from Rayo Vallecano takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, but Matías Dituro from Elche saves it in the left corner. The assist was provided by Isi Palazón.
8
Corner Corner
Rayo Vallecano is awarded a corner after Germán Valera concedes.
6
Update Update
Jorge de Frutos commits a handball for Rayo Vallecano.
6
Update Update
Léo Pétrot from Elche commits a foul.
6
Update Update
Jorge de Frutos from Rayo Vallecano won a free kick in defense.
4
Corner Corner
Rayo Vallecano is awarded a corner after David Affengruber concedes.
2
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Rafa Mir of Elche takes a right-footed shot from a difficult position on the left, but it's saved in the left corner by Augusto Batalla of Rayo Vallecano. The assist comes from Germán Valera.
1
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Elche after Óscar Valentín concedes.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Rayo Vallecano exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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