Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Estadio de Vallecas Thu, 9 Apr - 4:45 PM
Europa Conference League
Rayo Vallecano RAY
3 Winner 0
AEK Athens AEK
Full Time Thu, 9 Apr 4:45 PM
Quarter Finals Leg 1 of 2
Isi Palazón - 74' (P)
Unai López - 45+2'
Ilias Akhomach - 2'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

In this finished game Rayo Vallecano defeated AEK Athens 3-0 in leg 1 of a two-legged knockout tie that entered the match with a 0-0 aggregate. The home side led 2-0 at halftime and added one more goal in the second half while AEK Athens failed to score. Possession favored the away team at 55 percent to Rayo Vallecano's 45 percent. AEK Athens entered as the stronger team yet the home side claimed the victory with no red cards issued to either squad. Pre-match market values stood at 97.2 for home, 2.4 for draw and 48 for away, with a minimal 2.8 percent deviation recorded in favor of Rayo Vallecano. Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations and market alignment held true while xG data remained unavailable.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Rayo Vallecano recorded a minimal structural deviation of 2.8 percent.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be determined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with pre-match expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were unavailable for both teams.
  • Event impact: First half goals established an insurmountable lead for the home side.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued resulting in zero distortion to the result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

B. Bastien

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

H. Zakrani

1st Assistant

A. Berthomieu

2nd Assistant

J. Pignard

4th Official

Rayo Vallecano I. Pérez Soto
I. Pérez Soto
VS
AEK Athens M. Nikolić
M. Nikolić
1.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.29
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Samsunspor Rank: 70 L
Samsunspor Rank: 70 W
Drita Rank: 58 W
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 63 W
Slovan Bratislava Rank: 75 L
Lech Poznań Rank: 69 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celje Rank: 68 L
Celje Rank: 71 W
Universitatea Craiova Rank: 72 W
Samsunspor Rank: 70 W
Fiorentina Rank: 76 W
Shamrock Rovers Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rayo Vallecano
97.15%
Draw
2.37%
Away AEK Athens
0.48%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.77
76.6
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens
Power Score
77.77
76.6
League Position
5
3
Global Rank
71
84

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rayo Vallecano — Opponent-weighted form score
AEK Athens — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rayo Vallecano AEK Athens

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Rayo Vallecano

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

AEK Athens

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rayo Vallecano ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy AEK Athens
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.33
24.36
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.36
26.33
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Rayo Vallecano +0.16 Efficiency Index
vs
AEK Athens -0.16 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rayo Vallecano ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy AEK Athens
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Rayo Vallecano AEK Athens
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Rayo Vallecano AEK Athens
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Rayo Vallecano
vs
AEK Athens
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Rayo Vallecano AEK Athens
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Rayo Vallecano 0.27
AEK Athens 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Rayo Vallecano AEK Athens
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Rayo Vallecano 0.00
AEK Athens 0.08
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rayo Vallecano RAY Home
0 matches
AEK Athens AEK Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-10T00:01:11+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
A. Batalla Barga
Argentina
13 A. Batalla Barga
A. Ratiu
Romania
2 A. Ratiu
F. Lejeune
France
24 F. Lejeune
L. Ramos Marchi
Italy
5 L. Ramos Marchi
J. Chavarría Pérez
Spain
3 J. Chavarría Pérez
U. López Cabrera
Substitution
Spain
17 U. López Cabrera
P. Ciss
Senegal
6 P. Ciss
Ilias Chakkour
Substitution
Morocco
12 Ilias Chakkour
I. Palazón Camacho
Substitution
Spain
7 I. Palazón Camacho
Á. García Rivera
Substitution
Spain
18 Á. García Rivera
J. De Frutos Sebastián
Substitution
Spain
19 J. De Frutos Sebastián
Pitch
T. Strakosha
Albania
1 T. Strakosha
S. Pilios
Greece
3 S. Pilios
F. Bem Relvas Vito Oliveira
Portugal
44 F. Bem Relvas Vito Oliveira
H. Moukoudi
Cameroon
2 H. Moukoudi
L. Rota
Greece
12 L. Rota
R. Pereyra
Substitution
Argentina
37 R. Pereyra
O. Pineda Alvarado
Mexico
13 O. Pineda Alvarado
P. Mandalos
Substitution
Greece
20 P. Mandalos
A. Koita
Substitution
Mauritania
11 A. Koita
L. Jović
Serbia
9 L. Jović
B. Varga
Substitution
Hungary
25 B. Varga

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 09, 2026, 04:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe · Quarter Finals · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium :
Estadio de Vallecas
Capacity :
14708
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ , Clear
Referees :
Hicham Zakrani
Aurélien Berthomieu
Jérémie Pignard
Benoît Bastien

Statistics

Possession
RAY
46%
AEK
54%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 3
8 Shots 9
37 Dangerous attacks 48
45 Possession 55
1 Corners 8
14 Free kicks 15
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

17 Throwins 23
99 Ball Safe 103
6 Goal Attempts 5
1 Assists 0
17 Dribble Attempts 34
6 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47
7 Goal Kicks 4
1 Successful Dribbles 16
0 Hit Woodwork 1
2 Injuries 0
5 Substitutions 4
1 Penalties 0

Attacking

76 Attacks 109
1 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

79 Successful Passes Percentage 80
35 Successful Long Passes 17
333 Passes 400
63 Long Passes 39
56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44
263 Successful Passes 319
7 Key Passes 7

Defensive

10 Interceptions 9
58 Duels Won 65
33 Tackles 24
1 Saves 1

Build-up

1 Accurate Crosses 5
8 Total Crosses 12

Discipline

15 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Benoît Bastien

Starting XI ▼

13
Augusto Batalla
Augusto Batalla Goalkeeper
2
Andrei Rațiu
Andrei Rațiu Defender
3
Pep Chavarría
Pep Chavarría Defender
5
Luiz Felipe
Luiz Felipe Defender
24
Florian Lejeune
Florian Lejeune Defender
6
Pathé Ciss
Pathé Ciss Midfielder
7
Isi Palazón
Isi Palazón Midfielder
10
Sergio Camello
Sergio Camello
Attacker80'
12
Ilias Akhomach
Ilias Akhomach Midfielder
4
Pedro Díaz
Pedro Díaz
Midfielder55'
17
Unai López
Unai López Midfielder
9
Alexandre Zurawski
Alexandre Zurawski
Attacker56'
18
Álvaro García
Álvaro García Midfielder
22
Alfonso Espino
Alfonso Espino
Defender66'
19
Jorge de Frutos
Jorge de Frutos Attacker
23
Óscar Valentín
Óscar Valentín
Midfielder80'
Referee : Benoît Bastien

Starting XI ▼

1
Thomas Strakosha
Thomas Strakosha Goalkeeper
2
Harold Moukoudi
Harold Moukoudi Defender
3
Stavros Pilios
Stavros Pilios Defender
12
Lazaros Rota
Lazaros Rota Defender
44
Filipe Relvas
Filipe Relvas Defender
11
Aboubakary Koita
Aboubakary Koita Midfielder
7
Dereck Kutesa
Dereck Kutesa
Midfielder87'
13
Orbelín Pineda
Orbelín Pineda Midfielder
20
Petros Mantalos
Petros Mantalos Midfielder
18
Răzvan Marin
Răzvan Marin
Midfielder46'
37
Roberto Pereyra
Roberto Pereyra Midfielder
8
Mijat Gacinovic
Mijat Gacinovic
Midfielder71'
9
Luka Jović
Luka Jović Attacker
25
Barnabás Varga
Barnabás Varga Attacker
90
Zini
Zini
Attacker71'

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Luka Jović
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
87'
Event
Dereck Kutesa → Aboubakary Koita
9th Substitution
Event
Óscar Valentín → Jorge de Frutos
8th Substitution
80'
Event
Sergio Camello → Isi Palazón
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Isi Palazón
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
74'
72'
Event
Filipe Relvas
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Alfonso Espino
Penalty awarded
71'
71'
Event
Mijat Gacinovic → Roberto Pereyra
5th Substitution
71'
Event
Zini → Barnabás Varga
6th Substitution
Event
Alfonso Espino → Álvaro García
4th Substitution
66'
Event
Pedro Díaz
Time wasting / 2nd Yellowcard
65'
61'
Event
Barnabás Varga
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
61'
Event
Marko Nikolić
5th Yellowcard
Event
Alexandre Zurawski → Unai López
3rd Substitution
56'
Event
Pedro Díaz → Ilias Akhomach
2nd Substitution
55'
46'
Event
Răzvan Marin → Petros Mantalos
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Unai López
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
45+2'
Event
Florian Lejeune
Goal disallowed
22'
17'
Event
Marko Nikolić
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Ilias Akhomach
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
2'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The second half ends with Rayo Vallecano winning 3-0 against AEK Athens.
90
Corner Corner
AEK Athens wins a corner after Luiz Felipe concedes.
90
Corner Corner
AEK Athens win a corner after Luiz Felipe concedes.
90
Update Update
Filipe Relvas from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Alemão of Rayo Vallecano.
90
Corner Corner
AEK Athens wins a corner after Luiz Felipe concedes.
90
Corner Corner
Zine from AEK Athens misses the target with a header from the center of the box, going close but to the left. Razvan Marin provided the assist with a cross after a corner.
90
Attempt Attempt
Zine's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Mijat Gacinovic.
88
Update Update
Augusto Batalla wins a free kick for Rayo Vallecano in the defensive half.
88
Update Update
Dereck Kutesa of AEK Athens commits a foul.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Luka Jovic from AEK Athens receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AEK Athens: Dereck Kutesa comes on for Aboubakary Koïta.
87
Update Update
Stavros Pilios from AEK Athens wins a free kick on the left wing.
87
Update Update
Foul by Florian Lejeune for Rayo Vallecano.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Óscar Valentín comes on for Jorge de Frutos.
80
Update Update
Sergio Camello comes on for Isi Palazón at Rayo Vallecano.
80
Attempt Attempt
Alemão from Rayo Vallecano misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box that goes just a bit too high. Augusto Batalla provided the assist.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision confirms a penalty for Rayo Vallecano.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AEK Athens: Zine comes on for Barnabás Varga.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AEK Athens: Mijat Gacinovic comes on for Roberto Pereyra.
70
Update Update
Foul committed by Pacha Espino of Rayo Vallecano.
70
Attempt Attempt
Pacha Espino's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Andrei Ratiu.
70
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Pacha Espino from Rayo Vallecano receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
70
Update Update
Roberto Pereyra from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
69
Update Update
Foul committed by Roberto Pereyra of AEK Athens.
69
Update Update
Pep Chavarría from Rayo Vallecano is awarded a free kick on the left wing.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pacha Espino comes on for Álvaro García.
66
Update Update
Foul committed by Pacha Espino of Rayo Vallecano.
66
Update Update
Harold Moukoudi of AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Pedro Díaz from Rayo Vallecano receives a yellow card.
65
Update Update
Foul committed by Harold Moukoudi of AEK Athens.
65
Update Update
Luiz Felipe from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
64
Update Update
Florian Lejeune commits a handball for Rayo Vallecano.
63
Update Update
Foul committed by Lazaros Rota of AEK Athens.
63
Update Update
Florian Lejeune from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Barnabás Varga of AEK Athens receives a yellow card for a foul.
60
Update Update
Foul committed by Barnabás Varga of AEK Athens.
60
Update Update
Pedro Díaz from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
59
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Razvan Marin from AEK Athens takes a right-footed shot from outside the box following a direct free kick.
58
Update Update
Foul committed by Pedro Díaz of Rayo Vallecano.
58
Update Update
Aboubakary Koïta from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the attacking half.
57
Attempt Attempt
Alemão from Rayo Vallecano misses a right-footed shot from the center of the box, sending it close but to the right. Jorge de Frutos provided the assist with a cross.
56
Update Update
Foul committed by Lazaros Rota of AEK Athens.
56
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemão comes on for Ilias Akhomach.
56
Update Update
Pathé Ciss from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
56
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemão comes on for Unai López.
55
Corner Corner
AEK Athens win a corner after Pathé Ciss concedes.
54
Corner Corner
AEK Athens wins a corner after Unai López concedes.
52
Corner Corner
AEK Athens win a corner after Álvaro García concedes.
50
Update Update
Orbelín Pineda from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
50
Update Update
Orbelín Pineda from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
48
Update Update
Aboubakary Koïta from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
48
Update Update
Aboubakary Koïta from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
46
Attempt Attempt
Aboubakary Koïta's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. Lazaros Rota provided the assist.
45
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Augusto Batalla from Rayo Vallecano.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 5 minutes of added time.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Ilias Akhomach of Rayo Vallecano.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Rayo Vallecano 2, AEK Athens 0.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Unai López of Rayo Vallecano.
45
Update Update
Petros Mantalos from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Unai López scores for Rayo Vallecano with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the bottom right corner. The score is now Rayo Vallecano 2, AEK Athens 0.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Orbelín Pineda of AEK Athens.
45
Update Update
Isi Palazón of Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Ilias Akhomach from Rayo Vallecano has a left-footed shot from the right side of the box, but it's saved in the center of the goal by Thomas Strakosha of AEK Athens. The assist comes from Jorge de Frutos.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Jorge de Frutos of Rayo Vallecano.
45
Update Update
Stavros Pilios from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
Orbelín Pineda from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the attacking half.
45
Update Update
First half ends with Rayo Vallecano leading 2-0 against AEK Athens.
45
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Petros Mantalos from AEK Athens.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AEK Athens: Razvan Marin comes on for Petros Mantalos due to an injury.
44
Corner Corner
AEK Athens win a corner after Pathé Ciss concedes.
43
Corner Corner
AEK Athens win a corner after Pathé Ciss concedes.
40
Corner Corner
AEK Athens win a corner after Andrei Ratiu concedes.
39
Attempt Attempt
Andrei Ratiu's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved.
39
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Álvaro García from Rayo Vallecano takes a left-footed shot from outside the box that goes close but misses to the right. Florian Lejeune provided the assist.
35
Update Update
Augusto Batalla of Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
35
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Augusto Batalla from Rayo Vallecano.
35
Update Update
Foul by Aboubakary Koïta of AEK Athens.
32
Update Update
Orbelín Pineda from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the attacking half.
32
Update Update
Foul committed by Jorge de Frutos of Rayo Vallecano.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to AEK Athens after a concession by Pathé Ciss.
29
Corner Corner
AEK Athens win a corner after Pathé Ciss concedes.
29
Update Update
Pep Chavarría from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
29
Update Update
Foul committed by Luka Jovic of AEK Athens.
29
Attempt Attempt
Aboubakary Koïta's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
27
Update Update
Roberto Pereyra of AEK Athens wins a free kick in the attacking half.
27
Update Update
Foul committed by Pathé Ciss of Rayo Vallecano.
24
Update Update
Foul committed by Stavros Pilios of AEK Athens.
24
Update Update
Ilias Akhomach from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
22
Update Update
VAR decision: The goal is disallowed. The match remains Rayo Vallecano 1, AEK Athens 0.
22
Update Update
VAR is checking a goal by Florian Lejeune for Rayo Vallecano.
20
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Rayo Vallecano leads 2-0 against AEK Athens. Florian Lejeune scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the bottom left corner, assisted by Ilias Akhomach after a corner.
20
Attempt Attempt
Ilias Akhomach's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
19
Corner Corner
Rayo Vallecano win a corner after Orbelín Pineda concedes.
18
Update Update
Foul committed by Isi Palazón of Rayo Vallecano.
18
Update Update
Barnabás Varga from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
16
Update Update
Foul by Aboubakary Koïta of AEK Athens.
16
Update Update
Luiz Felipe from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
16
Update Update
Foul committed by Aboubakary Koïta of AEK Athens.
12
Update Update
Foul by Barnabás Varga of AEK Athens.
12
Attempt Attempt
Jorge de Frutos from Rayo Vallecano has a right-footed shot from the right side of the box, but it is blocked. Ilias Akhomach provided the assist.
12
Update Update
Pathé Ciss from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
10
Update Update
Foul committed by Pep Chavarría of Rayo Vallecano.
10
Update Update
Aboubakary Koïta from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
7
Corner Corner
AEK Athens win a corner after Florian Lejeune concedes.
7
Corner Corner
AEK Athens win a corner after Florian Lejeune concedes.
6
Update Update
Ilias Akhomach from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
6
Update Update
Foul committed by Petros Mantalos of AEK Athens.
2
Update Update
Foul committed by Unai López of Rayo Vallecano.
2
Update Update
Orbelín Pineda of AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
2
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Rayo Vallecano leads 1-0 after Ilias Akhomach scores with a left-footed shot from the center of the box.
1
Update Update
Foul committed by Orbelín Pineda of AEK Athens.
1
Update Update
Álvaro García from Rayo Vallecano is awarded a free kick on the left wing.

CONCLUSION

Rayo Vallecano secured a 3-0 first-leg victory over AEK Athens in the knockout tie, creating a substantial aggregate lead despite AEK being labeled the stronger team and holding more possession. No red cards altered the balance of play and efficiency remained in line with expectations while the market proved aligned with the result. The lack of xG data prevents deeper performance comparison yet the outcome leaves AEK Athens facing a difficult recovery in the second leg. Overall the match produced a clear winner in the opening fixture and sets defined stakes for the return meeting.

Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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