Rangers vs Motherwell Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland

Ibrox Stadium Sun, 26 Apr - 2:00 PM

Premiership

Rangers RAN

Motherwell MOT

Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 2:00 PM

Round 34 2nd Phase

Nicolas Raskin - 70'

Youssef Chermiti - 51'

Emmanuel Longelo - 90', 25'

Lukas Fadinger - 16'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Rangers 2–3 Motherwell. The result saw Motherwell take the points. Motherwell showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 51%–49%.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Match exhibited moderate structural deviation of 7.5% favoring Motherwell.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
Market alignment: Result aligned with pre-match market assessments.
xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
Event impact: No significant events or adjustments altered the match flow.
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in no distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

K. Clancy

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

G. Stewart

1st Assistant

C. Rae

2nd Assistant

G. Grainger

4th Official

D. Röhl

J. Askou

2.4

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.79

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

36 - 17 - 2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Rangers

0.19%

Draw

7.33%

Motherwell

92.48%

Team Power Ranking

42.89

20.65

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Rangers

Motherwell

Power Score

42.89

20.65

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Rangers — Opponent-weighted form score

Motherwell — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rangers Motherwell

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Rangers

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Motherwell

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rangers ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Motherwell

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

36.67

22.24

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

22.24

36.67

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Rangers +1.39 Efficiency Index

Motherwell -1.39 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Rangers

Motherwell

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rangers ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Motherwell

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Rangers Motherwell

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Rangers Motherwell

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Rangers

Motherwell

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Rangers

Motherwell

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Rangers Motherwell

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Rangers Motherwell

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Rangers

Motherwell

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

RAN had peak pressure around 80'.
RAN started the game with stronger pressure.

RAN Pressure MOT Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: RAN reached the top pressure at 80' (90.76).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 55 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rangers RAN Home

55 matches

Motherwell MOT Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

126

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

126

+81

Goal Difference

-81

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:05:16+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-2-2

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 J. Butland

21 D. Sterling

24 N. Djiga

37 E. Fernandez

30 J. Meghoma

43 N. Raskin

42 T. Chukwuani

11 T. Aasgaard

23 D. Gassama

28 B. Miovski

9 Y. Ramalho Chermiti

13 C. Ward

2 S. O'Donnell

57 S. Welsh

16 P. McGinn

7 T. Sparrow

20 E. Watt

12 L. Fadinger

45 M. Emmanuel

8 C. Slattery

18 T. Maswanhise

21 E. Just

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 26, 2026, 02:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 34 · 2nd Phase

Stadium :

Ibrox Stadium

Capacity :

50817

Attendance :

50970

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Kevin Clancy

Graeme Stewart

Chris Rae

Graham Grainger

Statistics

Possession

RAN

52%

MOT

48%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 3

6 Big Chances Created 1

4 Shots 4

54 Dangerous attacks 38

51 Possession 49

7 Corners 5

10 Free kicks 15

1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

1 Hit Woodwork 0

0 Injuries 2

18 Dribble Attempts 15

72 Successful Dribbles Percentage 27

5 Goal Kicks 8

23 Throwins 19

13 Successful Dribbles 4

58 Ball Safe 77

2 Assists 3

5 Substitutions 3

Attacking

4 Big Chances Missed 0

105 Attacks 71

Possession

425 Passes 419

82 Successful Passes Percentage 82

348 Successful Passes 344

18 Successful Long Passes 33

11 Key Passes 6

39 Long Passes 64

46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 52

Defensive

12 Interceptions 8

22 Tackles 20

64 Duels Won 46

2 Saves 3

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 3

27 Total Crosses 18

Discipline

3 Offsides 2

15 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Kevin Clancy

Manager ▼

D. Röhl Coach

Starting XI ▼

Jack Butland Goalkeeper

6.91

Dujon Sterling Defender

6.9

Max Aarons

Defender77'

6.83

Nasser Djiga Defender

6.98

Jayden Meghoma Defender

6.81

James Tavernier

Defender46'

7.44

Emmanuel Fernandez Defender

7.32

Thelo Aasgaard Midfielder

7.05

Connor Barron

Midfielder86'

6.93

Djeidi Gassama Midfielder

6.99

Tochi Chukwuani Midfielder

6.91

Mohamed Diomandé

Midfielder46'

6.77

Nicolas Raskin Midfielder

7.32

Youssef Chermiti Attacker

7.09

Bojan Miovski Attacker

6.8

Mikey Moore

Attacker46'

6.85

Substitutes ▼

Mohamed Diomandé

Midfielder46'

6.77

James Tavernier

Defender46'

7.44

Mikey Moore

Attacker46'

6.85

Max Aarons

Defender77'

6.83

Connor Barron

Midfielder86'

6.93

Bench ▼

Liam Kelly Goalkeeper

John Souttar Defender

7.09

Andreas Skov Olsen Attacker

7.07

Oliver Antman Attacker

6.88

Referee : Kevin Clancy