Randers FC vs Fredericia Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark

Cepheus Park Randers Thu, 23 Apr - 4:00 PM

Superliga

Randers FC RDF

2 – 2

Fredericia Fredericia

Full Time Thu, 23 Apr 4:00 PM

Round 6 Relegation Round

Cyril Edudzi - 46'

John Björkengren - 29'

M. Sjølstad - 34' (Own Goal)

Sofus Johannesen - 5'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Randers FC 2–2 Fredericia. The match ended in a draw. Fredericia showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 54%–46%.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: The match exhibited a significant 74.7% structural deviation in favor of Fredericia.
Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment could not be determined due to unavailable data.
Market alignment: The outcome did not align with pre-match market expectations.
xG expectations: xG expectations were unmet as data was unavailable.
Event impact: No major events significantly altered the match dynamics.
Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the game's structure.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

J. Kehlet

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Tykgaard

4th Official

S. Bramsen

1st Assistant

A. Bøgebjerg

2nd Assistant

R. Bertelsen

M. Hansen

0.93

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.2

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 0 - 2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Randers FC

50.16%

Draw

25.25%

Fredericia

24.59%

Movement

Changes since opening

Randers FC

+45.25%

Draw

-66.25%

Fredericia

+21%

Team Power Ranking

18.46

20.96

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Randers FC

Fredericia

Power Score

18.46

20.96

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Randers FC — Opponent-weighted form score

Fredericia — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Randers FC Fredericia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Randers FC

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Fredericia

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Randers FC ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Fredericia

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

27.50

20.22

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

20.22

27.50

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Randers FC +0.72 Efficiency Index

Fredericia -0.72 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Randers FC

Fredericia

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Randers FC ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Fredericia

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Randers FC Fredericia

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Randers FC Fredericia

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Randers FC

Fredericia

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Randers FC

Fredericia

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Randers FC Fredericia

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Randers FC Fredericia

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Randers FC

Fredericia

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

RDF had peak pressure around 84'.
Fredericia started the game with stronger pressure.

RDF Pressure Fredericia Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: RDF reached the top pressure at 84' (84.29).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Randers FC RDF Home

3 matches

Fredericia Fredericia Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-1

Data last updated: 2026-04-24T00:01:53+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 P. Izzo

23 J. Örn

3 D. Høegh

4 W. Dammers

15 M. Sjølstad

11 E. Mahmoud

8 L. Raun Pedersen

6 J. Björkengren

17 M. Greve

7 M. Themsen

33 C. Edudzi

90 V. Thorsen

8 J. Jessen

5 F. Thykær Rieper

3 A. Nygaard Andersen

12 S. Crone

6 F. Winther

18 A. Andersen

17 D. Kristjánsson

21 J. Holm Lindekilde

16 S. Østergaard Grandjean Johannesen

25 F. Ubi Etim

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 23, 2026, 04:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 6 · Relegation Round

Stadium :

Cepheus Park Randers

Capacity :

12000

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Michael Tykgaard

Steffen Beck Bramsen

Andreas Bøgebjerg

Jakob Kehlet

Statistics

Possession

RDF

55%

Fredericia

45%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2

4 Big Chances Created 1

0 Shots 2

77 Dangerous attacks 46

54 Possession 46

6 Corners 8

10 Free kicks 9

1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

22 Dribble Attempts 20

10 Successful Dribbles 7

45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 35

8 Goal Kicks 10

17 Throwins 16

5 Substitutions 4

1 Assists 0

100 Ball Safe 97

9 Goal Attempts 6

Attacking

137 Attacks 85

3 Counter Attacks 3

2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

53 Successful Long Passes 28

7 Key Passes 5

504 Passes 439

86 Successful Passes Percentage 79

433 Successful Passes 346

86 Long Passes 59

62 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47

Defensive

62 Duels Won 58

1 Saves 2

22 Tackles 21

8 Interceptions 7

Build-up

32 Total Crosses 20

10 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

9 Fouls 10

2 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Jakob Kehlet

Manager ▼

R. Bertelsen Coach

Starting XI ▼

Paul Izzo Goalkeeper

7.02

Daniel Høegh Defender

7.09

Wessel Dammers Defender

7.13

M. Sjølstad Defender

6.49

Nikolas Dyhr

Defender70'

6.67

Benjamin Orn Defender

6.2

Lucas Lissens

Defender46'

6.61

John Björkengren Midfielder

6.97

Laurits Pedersen Midfielder

6.68

Elies Mahmoud Midfielder

7.1

Mathias Greve Midfielder

7.11

Frederik Lauenborg

Midfielder70'

6.7

Mike Themsen Attacker

6.64

Warren Caddy

Attacker46'

6.74

Cyril Edudzi Attacker

6.71

Musa Touré

Attacker78'

6.74

Substitutes ▼

Warren Caddy

Attacker46'

6.74

Lucas Lissens

Defender46'

6.61

Nikolas Dyhr

Defender70'

6.67

Frederik Lauenborg

Midfielder70'

6.7

Musa Touré

Attacker78'

6.74

Bench ▼

Jannich Storch Goalkeeper

6.89

Ousseynou Fall Seck Midfielder

6.5

André Römer Midfielder

6.71

Thibault Klidjé Attacker

6.6

Referee : Jakob Kehlet