Randers FC vs FC København Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark

Cepheus Park Randers Sun, 12 Apr - 4:00 PM

Superliga

Randers FC RDF

FC København COP

Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 4:00 PM

Round 4 Relegation Round

Daniel Høegh - 66'

William Clem - 90+1'

Viktor Claesson - 83'

CONTEXT

The match between Randers FC and FC København is now finished, ending 1-2 to the visitors. After a goalless first half, FC København scored twice in the second period while Randers FC responded with a single goal. The result showed only minimal deviation from pre-match expectations, with FC København slightly exceeding projections. Although Randers FC entered the fixture as the stronger side, the away team’s victory aligned with the overall pre-match assessment and produced an efficiency shift that stayed in line with expectations. Possession was almost identical, with Randers FC at 49 percent and FC København at 51 percent. No expected goals data was available to measure alignment on that metric. No red cards were shown to either team, so the outcome was decided without any disciplinary impact. Overall the contest followed a predictable competitive pattern despite the home side’s designation as the stronger outfit.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: FC København showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

M. Kristoffersen

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Markus

1st Assistant

D. Cortzen

2nd Assistant

A. Uslu

4th Official

R. Bertelsen

B. Svensson

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

0.79

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

13 - 9 - 34

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Randers FC

0.19%

Draw

3.73%

FC København

96.07%

Team Power Ranking

20.18

19.76

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Randers FC

FC København

Power Score

20.18

19.76

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Randers FC — Opponent-weighted form score

FC København — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Randers FC FC København

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Randers FC

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

FC København

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Randers FC ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy FC København

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

34.49

24.71

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

24.71

34.49

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Randers FC +0.96 Efficiency Index

FC København -0.96 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Randers FC

FC København

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Randers FC ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy FC København

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Randers FC FC København

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Randers FC FC København

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Randers FC

FC København

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Randers FC

FC København

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Randers FC FC København

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Randers FC FC København

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Randers FC

FC København

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

COP had peak pressure around 1'.
RDF started the game with stronger pressure.

RDF Pressure COP Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: COP reached the top pressure at 1' (91.07).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 56 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Randers FC RDF Home

56 matches

FC København COP Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

104

Goals Conceded

-56

Goal Difference

+56

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:08:55+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 P. Izzo

24 S. Osman Hansen

3 D. Høegh

4 W. Dammers

15 M. Sjølstad

8 L. Raun Pedersen

6 J. Björkengren

11 E. Mahmoud

17 M. Greve

33 C. Edudzi

10 W. Caddy

1 D. Kotarski

15 M. López Lanfranco

25 M. Jattah-Njie Jørgensen

5 G. Pereira Magalhães dos Santos

20 J. Suzuki

36 W. Clem

21 M. Madsen

16 R. Rodrigues Silva

10 M. Elyounoussi

11 J. Larsson

9 Y. Moukoko

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 12, 2026, 04:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 4 · Relegation Round

Stadium :

Cepheus Park Randers

Capacity :

12000

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Mads-Kristoffer Kristoffersen

Martin Markus

Daniel Cortzen

Aydin Uslu

Statistics

Possession

RDF

50%

COP

50%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2

4 Big Chances Created 1

5 Shots 3

58 Dangerous attacks 32

49 Possession 51

5 Corners 2

12 Free kicks 11

2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

16 Throwins 27

19 Dribble Attempts 16

58 Successful Dribbles Percentage 56

9 Goal Kicks 12

11 Successful Dribbles 9

6 Substitutions 4

1 Assists 1

89 Ball Safe 75

2 Injuries 2

8 Goal Attempts 7

Attacking

104 Attacks 120

3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

27 Successful Long Passes 14

80 Successful Passes Percentage 83

454 Passes 485

46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 30

363 Successful Passes 403

59 Long Passes 46

9 Key Passes 7

Defensive

16 Tackles 13

4 Saves 5

11 Interceptions 7

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 7

5 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

11 Fouls 11

2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Mads-Kristoffer Kristoffersen

Manager ▼

R. Bertelsen Coach

Starting XI ▼

Paul Izzo Goalkeeper

Daniel Høegh Defender

Wessel Dammers Defender

M. Sjølstad Defender

Benjamin Orn

Defender90+2'

Sabil Hansen Defender

John Björkengren Midfielder

Laurits Pedersen Midfielder

Ousseynou Fall Seck

Midfielder90+2'

Elies Mahmoud Midfielder

Mike Themsen

Midfielder85'

Mathias Greve Midfielder

Cyril Edudzi Midfielder

Thibault Klidjé

Attacker78'

Warren Caddy Attacker

Lucas Lissens

Defender85'

Substitutes ▼

Thibault Klidjé

Attacker78'

Lucas Lissens

Defender85'

Mike Themsen

Midfielder85'

Ousseynou Fall Seck

Midfielder90+2'

Benjamin Orn

Defender90+2'

Bench ▼

Jannich Storch Goalkeeper

André Römer Midfielder

Hector Lux Høyrup Midfielder

Musa Touré Attacker

Referee : Mads-Kristoffer Kristoffersen