Radomiak Radom vs Widzew Lodz Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza Sat, 18 Apr - 12:45 PM
Ekstraklasa Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 
2 
1
1
Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 12:45 PM
Round 29 · Regular Season
Luquinhas - 90+3'
Roberto Alves - 82'
|
Christos Donis - 59' (Own Goal)
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation
Data last checked: May 15
CONTEXT
In a pulsating Ekstraklasa clash, underdogs Radomiak Radom edged out pre-match stronger side Widzew Lodz 2-1 at home, scripting an unexpected triumph. The first half ended goalless with possession tightly contested at 51% for Radomiak and 49% for Widzew, setting the stage for a tense second period. Radomiak struck twice after the break, showcasing sharp finishing to overcome their rivals' pressure and secure the points. Widzew pushed hard but faltered in conversion, unable to breach despite their favored status. No red cards marred the affair, ensuring uninterrupted flow and highlighting tactical discipline from both. This outcome represents a significant structural deviation, as Radomiak defied projections where Widzew held the edge. The near-even possession underscored a balanced battle, with Radomiak's second-half resolve proving decisive in flipping the script.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Radomiak Radom's win marked a 68.3% significant structural deviation favoring the home side.
- Efficiency shift: Both teams performed in line with efficiency expectations throughout the match.
- xG alignment: xG alignment could not be determined due to unavailable data.
- Market alignment: The result diverged from pre-market projections.
- xG expectations: xG expectations remained unassessable without relevant metrics.
- Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout elements altered the contest.
- Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no disciplinary distortion affected the outcome.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
J. Przybył
• 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 
0.12
0.12 Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0
Other match officials
M. Arys
1st Assistant
S. Mucha
2nd Assistant
R. Szydełko
4th Official
B. Nunes Baltazar
VS
A. Vukovic
1.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.06
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: L
Motor Lublin Rank: D
Piast Gliwice Rank: L
Legia Warszawa Rank: D
Katowice Rank: L
Arka Gdynia Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nieciecza Rank: W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: D
Arka Gdynia Rank: D
Lech Poznań Rank: W
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 1 - 3
3
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) Radomiak Radom31.72%
Draw
28.62%
Widzew Lodz39.66%
Movement
Changes since opening Radomiak Radom-63.51%
Draw
+24.04%
Widzew Lodz+39.47%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
19.75 23.36 0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Radomiak Radom Widzew LodzPower Score
19.75
23.36
League Position
10
17
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Radomiak Radom — Opponent-weighted form score
Widzew Lodz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Radomiak Radom Widzew Lodz
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Radomiak Radom
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Widzew Lodz
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Radomiak Radom ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Widzew Lodz
Attacking Efficiency Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
44.02
18.57
Defensive Efficiency Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.57
44.02
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Radomiak Radom +2.36 Efficiency Index
vs
Widzew Lodz -2.36 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Lodz
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Radomiak Radom ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Widzew Lodz
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Radomiak Radom Widzew Lodz Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Radomiak Radom Widzew Lodz Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Lodz
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Radomiak Radomvs
Widzew Lodz
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Radomiak Radom Widzew Lodz Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Radomiak Radom 0.41
Widzew Lodz 0.17
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Radomiak Radom Widzew Lodz Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Radomiak Radom 0.02
Widzew Lodz 0.04
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Lodz
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- Radomiak Radom had peak pressure around 50'.
- Widzew Lodz started the game with stronger pressure.
Radomiak Radom Pressure Widzew Lodz Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Radomiak Radom reached the top pressure at 50' (94.60).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom Home
7 matches
Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz Away
Match Record 3
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
3
Goals 15
Goals Scored
12
12
Goals Conceded
15
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:02:36+00:00
STARTING XI
Radomiak Radom Widzew Lodz Match Formation 4-3-2-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
1 F. Majchrowicz
24 Z. Ouattara
5 J. Blasco
14 S. Kingue
13 J. Grzesik
I. Camará
#290+6'
27 R. Wolski
77 C. Donis
82 L. Lima Linhares
S. Soumah
#1959'
21 E. Baldé
R. Alves
#1070'
7 V. Fortes Lopes
M. Roque Junior
#2570'
15 A. Tapsoba
1 B. Drągowski
3 S. Kozlovský
53 S. Kapuadi
25 P. Wisniewski
M. Żyro
#490+4'
2 C. Muñoz Obejero
L. Lerager
#2168'
6 J. Shehu
18 L. Selahi
10 F. Alvarez Rodríguez
O. Bukari
#2286'
7 M. Fornalczyk
99 S. Bergier
8 E. Kornvig
General Information
📅 Date & Time :
Apr 18, 2026, 12:45 PM
🏆 Competition :
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 29 · Regular Season
🏟️ Stadium :
Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza
👥 Capacity :
5000
🎟️ Attendance :
12163
🌱 Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️ Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️ Referees :
Jarosław Przybył
Marek Arys
Sebastian Mucha
Rafał Szydełko
Next Match
Radomiak Radom
vs
Wisła Płock
League: Ekstraklasa
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 10:15 AM
Venue: Stadion im. Kazimierza Górskiego
Widzew Lodz
vs
Motor Lublin
League: Ekstraklasa
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 12:45 PM
Venue: Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź
Statistics
Possession
Radomiak Radom
52%
Widzew Lodz
48%
Top Statistics
2 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 2
49 Dangerous attacks 42
51 Possession 49
6 Corners 2
15 Free kicks 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
Match Overview
3 Substitutions 2
2 Hit Woodwork 0
78 Ball Safe 74
15 Throwins 14
73 Successful Dribbles Percentage 62
6 Goal Kicks 11
0 Injuries 2
11 Dribble Attempts 13
8 Successful Dribbles 8
9 Goal Attempts 6
Attacking
2 Big Chances Missed 0
80 Attacks 77
Possession
78 Successful Passes Percentage 70
262 Successful Passes 236
336 Passes 337
36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45
11 Key Passes 6
17 Successful Long Passes 27
47 Long Passes 60
Defensive
10 Tackles 13
2 Saves 3
44 Duels Won 51
14 Interceptions 10
Build-up
6 Accurate Crosses 3
29 Total Crosses 15
Discipline
2 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 15
Lineup
Radomiak Radom Referee : Jarosław Przybył
Manager ▼
B. Nunes Baltazar Coach
Starting XI ▼
1 Filip Majchrowicz Goalkeeper
6.785 Jérémy Blasco Defender
6.6313 Jan Grzesik Defender
7.0214 Steve Kingue Defender
6.6324 Zié Ouattara Defender
6.96
7 Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes Midfielder
6.6910Roberto Alves
Midfielder70'
21 Elves Baldé Midfielder
6.76
19Salifou Soumah
6.54Attacker59'
27 Rafal Wolski Midfielder
7
2Ibrahima Camará
Midfielder90+6'
6.81
77 Christos Donis Midfielder
82 Luquinhas Midfielder
15 Abdoul Tapsoba Attacker
6.6825Maurides Roque Junior
7.06Attacker70'
Substitutes ▼
19Salifou Soumah
6.54Attacker59'
10Roberto Alves
Midfielder70'
25Maurides Roque Junior
7.06Attacker70'
2Ibrahima Camará
Midfielder90+6'
6.81
Bench ▼
44 Wiktor Koptas Goalkeeper
75 Michal Jerke Goalkeeper
16
Mateusz Cichocki Defender
6.6620
João Pedro Reginaldo Defender
6.446
Romário Baró Midfielder
6.719 Leândro Midfielder
6.4517 Adam Żabicki Midfielder
28
Michal Kaput Midfielder
6.54 Widzew Lodz Referee : Jarosław Przybył
Manager ▼
A. Vukovic Coach
Starting XI ▼
1 Bartlomiej Dragowski Goalkeeper
6.772 Carlos Isaac Defender
6.694Mateusz Zyro
Defender90+4'
6.79
3 Samuel Kozlovský Defender
6.6625 Przemysław Wiśniewski Defender
6.97
53 Steve Kapuadi Defender
6.686 Juljan Shehu Midfielder
7.1621Lukas Lerager
6.95Midfielder68'
10 Fran Álvarez Midfielder
7.0718 Lindon Selahi Midfielder
6.847 Mariusz Fornalczyk Attacker
6.6822Osman Bukari
6.74Attacker86'
8 Emil Kornvig Attacker
6.9799 Sebastian Bergier Attacker
6.94Substitutes ▼
21Lukas Lerager
6.95Midfielder68'
22Osman Bukari
6.74Attacker86'
4Mateusz Zyro
Defender90+4'
6.79
Bench ▼
30
Veljko Ilic Goalkeeper
6.7498 Maciej Kikolski Goalkeeper
6.695
Stelios Andreou Defender
6.6114
Ricardo Visus Defender
6.891 Marcel Krajewski Defender
6.6719
Bartlomiej Pawlowski Midfielder
6.6577
Ángel Baena Midfielder
6.639
Andi Zeqiri Attacker
6.62Events
2ND-HALF
90+7'
Przemysław Wiśniewski
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Ibrahima Camará → Rafal Wolski
7th Substitution
90+6'
90+4'
Mateusz Zyro → Carlos Isaac
6th Substitution
Luquinhas
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
90+3'
Zié Ouattara
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
86'
86'
Mateusz Zyro
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
86'
Osman Bukari → Mariusz Fornalczyk
5th Substitution
Roberto Alves
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
82'
Rafal Wolski
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
75'
Roberto Alves → Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes
3rd Substitution
70'
Maurides Roque Junior → Abdoul Tapsoba
4th Substitution
70'
68'
Lukas Lerager → Juljan Shehu
2nd Substitution
Ibrahima Camará
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
62'
Salifou Soumah → Elves Baldé
1st Substitution
59'
59'
Christos Donis
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal
1ST-HALF
Elves Baldé
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
35'
CONCLUSION
Radomiak Radom's gritty 2-1 victory over stronger Widzew Lodz exemplifies football's thrilling unpredictability, turning pre-match projections on their head with a significant deviation. Locked at halftime, the hosts' second-half precision delivered the breakthrough, capitalizing on even possession to claim spoils. Widzew's inability to convert chances proved costly, exposing vulnerabilities despite their edge. This upset injects momentum into Radomiak's campaign, while Widzew reflects on missed opportunities. Absent xG insights or disruptions like reds, the result spotlights execution under pressure, reinforcing that resilience often trumps favoritism in tight encounters.
Radomiak Radom vs Widzew Lodz preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
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