Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin Motor LublinSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
The match between Radomiak Radom and Motor Lublin has finished in a 1-1 draw. Motor Lublin initially took the lead, heading into half-time with a 1-0 advantage, but the home side managed to find an equalizer in the second half to ultimately split the points. This outcome did not align with pre-match market expectations. Before kickoff, the market gave Radomiak Radom a 43.5% chance of victory, compared to Motor Lublin's 30.3% win probability and a 26.2% likelihood of a draw. Because the home favorites failed to secure the win, the final scoreline represents a significant deviation (73.8%), standing as a notable result for the deviation team, Motor Lublin. Out on the pitch, Motor Lublin controlled slightly more of the ball, finishing with 54% possession against Radomiak Radom's 46%. Expected goals (xG) data was not available to measure the precise quality of scoring chances, meaning an outcome alignment with xG could not be determined. However, the resulting draw remained in line with the overall efficiency shift observed throughout the contest. Finally, the match dynamic was unaffected by disciplinary issues, as no red cards were issued to either side.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Motor Lublin showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
- Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
- xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
- Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
- xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
- Event impact: No major event distortion.
- Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
K. Nagamine
Other match officials
K. Ando
1st Assistant
M. Hasegawa
2nd Assistant
M. Piszczelok
4th Official


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Radomiak Radom
Motor LublinTeam Power Ranking
i
59.17
60.46
Radomiak Radom
Motor LublinForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Radomiak Radom
Motor Lublin

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Radomiak Radom ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Radomiak Radom ⚠ Proxy
Radomiak Radom Motor Lublin
Radomiak Radom Motor Lublin
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom Motor Lublin


Radomiak Radom Motor Lublin


Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-04-07T00:02:15+00:00
STARTING XI
Radomiak Radom
Motor Lublin






















































General Information
Next Match

Radomiak Radom
vs

Zagłębie Lubin
League: Ekstraklasa
Kickoff: Sat, 11 Apr - 3:30 PM
Venue: Away

Motor Lublin
vs

Raków Częstochowa
League: Ekstraklasa
Kickoff: Sun, 12 Apr - 12:45 PM
Venue: Home
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Radomiak RadomManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼





Motor LublinManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼






Events
CONCLUSION
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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