Radomiak Radom vs Legia Warszawa Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland

Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza Fri, 13 Mar - 7:30 PM

Ekstraklasa

Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom

1 – 1

Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa

Full Time Fri, 13 Mar 7:30 PM

Maurides Roque Junior - 2'

Radovan Pankov - 7'

CONTEXT

The match between Radomiak Radom and Legia Warszawa has finished, with the teams playing out a 1-1 draw. The game was already deadlocked at 1-1 at half-time, and neither side managed to find a winning breakthrough during the second half. Legia Warszawa entered the fixture as the stronger team, holding a 38% pre-match win probability compared to Radomiak Radom's 34.3% and a 27.7% chance of a draw. Because the match ended in a tie, the final result did not align with the pre-match market. This resulted in a significant deviation from expectations for Legia Warszawa, as the narrow favorites ultimately dropped points on the road. Despite being the slight underdogs, Radomiak Radom dictated the ball, commanding 58% of the possession to Legia Warszawa's 42%. Expected goals (xG) data was not available for this contest, making it impossible to evaluate if the 1-1 outcome was consistent with the underlying offensive quality. However, the match's overall efficiency shift was strictly in line with expectations. Finally, the flow of the game was unhindered by disciplinary issues, as there were no red cards issued to either side.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Legia Warszawa showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

P. Lasyk

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

?. Kuźma

4th Official

A. Wójcik

1st Assistant

S. Kowalewski

2nd Assistant

G. Feio

M. Papszun

1.41

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.11

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

4 - 0 - 5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Radomiak Radom

34.3%

Draw

27.67%

Legia Warszawa

38.03%

Team Power Ranking

59.63

63.01

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Radomiak Radom

Legia Warszawa

Power Score

59.63

63.01

League Position

Global Rank

459

372

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Radomiak Radom — Opponent-weighted form score

Legia Warszawa — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Radomiak Radom Legia Warszawa

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Radomiak Radom

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Legia Warszawa

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Radomiak Radom ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Legia Warszawa

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

15.26

34.52

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

34.52

15.26

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Radomiak Radom -1.78 Efficiency Index

Legia Warszawa +1.78 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Radomiak Radom

Legia Warszawa

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Radomiak Radom ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Legia Warszawa

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Radomiak Radom Legia Warszawa

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Radomiak Radom Legia Warszawa

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Radomiak Radom

Legia Warszawa

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom Home

9 matches

Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-03-14T02:11:29+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1

Match Formation 3-4-2-1

1 F. Majchrowicz

24 Z. Ouattara

14 S. Kingue

26 A. Diéguez Grande

3 J. Wilson-Esbrand

2 I. Camará

13 J. Grzesik

6 R. Silva Baró

27 (C) R. Wolski

82 L. Lima Linhares

25 M. Roque Junior

89 O. Hindrich

12 R. Pankov

8 (C) R. Augustyniak

91 K. Piątkowski

23 P. Kun

22 J. Elitim Sepúlveda

53 W. Urbański

11 K. Chodyna

9 R. Adamski

21 V. Bichakhchyan

29 M. Rajovic

General Information

Date & Time :

Mar 13, 2026, 07:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland

Stadium :

Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza

Capacity :

5000

Attendance :

13902

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Łukasz Kuźma

Arkadiusz Wójcik

Piotr Lasyk

S. Kowalewski

Statistics

Possession

Radomiak Radom

54%

Legia Warszawa

46%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1

1 Big Chances Created 2

1 Shots 6

37 Dangerous attacks 50

58 Possession 42

3 Corners 7

19 Free kicks 14

2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Assists 1

18 Throwins 19

6 Goal Kicks 7

11 Dribble Attempts 12

45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

5 Successful Dribbles 6

5 Substitutions 5

1 Hit Woodwork 0

89 Ball Safe 80

4 Goal Attempts 10

4 Injuries 2

Attacking

0 Big Chances Missed 1

85 Attacks 90

Possession

52 Long Passes 54

405 Passes 284

77 Successful Passes Percentage 70

310 Successful Passes 199

37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

19 Successful Long Passes 24

Defensive

8 Interceptions 9

12 Tackles 12

5 Saves 0

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 20

1 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

14 Fouls 20

3 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Piotr Lasyk

Manager ▼

G. Feio Coach

Starting XI ▼

Filip Majchrowicz Goalkeeper

7.54

Josh Wilson-Esbrand Defender

6.43

Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes

Attacker80'

6.56

Steve Kingue Defender

6.25

Zié Ouattara Defender

7.08

Adrián Diéguez Defender

6.52

Ibrahima Camará Midfielder

6.46

Christos Donis

Midfielder65'

6.28

Romário Baró Midfielder

6.3

Michal Kaput

Midfielder65'

6.57

Jan Grzesik Midfielder

6.54

Rafal Wolski (C) Midfielder

7.51

Luquinhas Midfielder

6.49

Elves Baldé

Attacker46'

6.57

Maurides Roque Junior Attacker

7.33

Abdoul Tapsoba

Attacker76'

6.62

Substitutes ▼

Elves Baldé

Attacker46'

6.57

Michal Kaput

Midfielder65'

6.57

Christos Donis

Midfielder65'

6.28

Abdoul Tapsoba

Attacker76'

6.62

Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes

Attacker80'

6.56

Bench ▼

Wiktor Koptas Goalkeeper

Michal Jerke Goalkeeper

Jérémy Blasco Defender

Mateusz Cichocki Defender

Leândro Midfielder

Adam Żabicki Midfielder

Salifou Soumah Attacker

Referee : Piotr Lasyk