Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznań Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza Tomorrow - 6:15 PM
Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
Versus
Lech Poznań Lech Poznań
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 6:15 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Ekstraklasa regular season at Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza, 8th-placed Radomiak Radom faces league leaders Lech Poznań in a matchup highlighting contrasting fortunes. Lech enters with a commanding power score of 71.4, eclipsing Radomiak's 61.96 for a clear 9.4-point edge, underscoring their structural superiority. Both teams show form scores of 0, with no recent outings detailed, suggesting an early-season reset or data gap. Domestic positions reinforce Lech's dominance at the top, while Radomiak lingers mid-pack. Advanced metrics like efficiency and set pieces remain unavailable due to absent xG data and low-confidence proxies. Transition play and squad depth will likely decide this encounter, as Lech's attacking intent meets Radomiak's home resilience. Expect a tactical battle where possession and counter opportunities shape the outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lech Poznań holds a structural advantage, topping the Ekstraklasa at 1st with a 71.4 power score versus Radomiak Radom's 8th place and 61.96.
  • Form: Both teams have form scores of 0 with no last outing details available.
  • Squad: Squad details unavailable, but Lech's higher power score implies greater overall quality.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition data unavailable, though Lech's power edge suggests stronger counter capabilities.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable with low confidence and proxies used due to no xG data.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Radomiak Radom 27.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.9% (Δ+0%) | Lech Poznań 48% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Radomiak Radom B. Nunes Baltazar
B. Nunes Baltazar
VS
Lech Poznań N. Frederiksen
N. Frederiksen
1.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.94
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 60 D
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 61 W
Wisła Płock Rank: 58 W
Widzew Lodz Rank: 59 W
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 63 L
Motor Lublin Rank: 61 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Arka Gdynia Rank: 55 D
Motor Lublin Rank: 59 W
Legia Warszawa Rank: 65 W
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 61 W
Katowice Rank: 66 D
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 65 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 4 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Radomiak Radom
27.11%
Draw
24.91%
Away Lech Poznań
47.97%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.96
71.4
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznań
Power Score
61.96
71.4
League Position
8
1
Global Rank
433
179

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Radomiak Radom — Opponent-weighted form score
Lech Poznań — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Radomiak Radom Lech Poznań

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom Home
0 matches
Lech Poznań Lech Poznań Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T00:25:53+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
F. Majchrowicz
1 F. Majchrowicz
Z. Ouattara
24 Z. Ouattara
S. Kingue
14 S. Kingue
A. Diéguez Grande
26 A. Diéguez Grande
J. Grzesik
13 J. Grzesik
C. Donis
77 C. Donis
V. Fortes Lopes
7 V. Fortes Lopes
L. Lima Linhares
82 L. Lima Linhares
R. Silva Baró
6 R. Silva Baró
E. Baldé
21 E. Baldé
M. Roque Junior
25 M. Roque Junior
Pitch
B. Mrozek
41 B. Mrozek
M. Gurgul
15 M. Gurgul
A. Milić
16 A. Milić
W. Mońka
27 W. Mońka
J. Vieira Pereira
2 J. Vieira Pereira
A. Kozubal
43 A. Kozubal
T. Ouma
6 T. Ouma
L. Bengtsson
14 L. Bengtsson
L. Palma Oseguera
77 L. Palma Oseguera
P. Wålemark
10 P. Wålemark
M. Ishak
9 M. Ishak

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 06:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza
Capacity :
5000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Filip Majchrowicz
Filip Majchrowicz Goalkeeper
6.81
7
Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes
Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes Midfielder
6.7
21
Elves Baldé
Elves Baldé Midfielder
6.8
25
Maurides Roque Junior
Maurides Roque Junior Centre Forward
7.04
6
Romário Baró
Romário Baró Central Midfield
6.71
13
Jan Grzesik
Jan Grzesik Left Back
7.05
14
Steve Kingue
Steve Kingue Right Back
6.63
24
Zié Ouattara
Zié Ouattara Right Back
6.93
26
Adrián Diéguez
Adrián Diéguez Left Back
6.79
77
Christos Donis
Christos Donis Defensive Midfield
6.66
82
Luquinhas
Luquinhas Central Midfield
6.81

Starting XI ▼

41
Bartosz Mrozek
Bartosz Mrozek Goalkeeper
6.89
9
Mikael Ishak
Mikael Ishak Centre Forward
7.25
77
Luis Palma
Luis Palma Attacking Midfield
7.25
10
Patrik Wålemark
Patrik Wålemark Right Wing
6.77
14
Leo Bengtsson
Leo Bengtsson Left Wing
6.77
15
Michal Gurgul
Michal Gurgul Left Back
6.91
16
Antonio Milic
Antonio Milic Left Back
6.95
43
Antoni Kozubal
Antoni Kozubal Defensive Midfield
6.87
2
Joel Pereira
Joel Pereira Right Back
7.23
6
Timothy Ouma
Timothy Ouma Defensive Midfield
6.69
27
Wojciech Mońka
Wojciech Mońka Right Back
6.98

CONCLUSION

Lech Poznań's league-leading position and 9.4-point power advantage over Radomiak Radom position them to dictate play away from home. Radomiak's mid-table standing offers little counterbalance, especially with form data neutral at 0 for both. Absent advanced stats like set pieces and efficiency leave focus on basics: Lech's superior rating favors control and breakthroughs. Home support may spark Radomiak, but Lech's consistency should prevail in a professional display. This fixture underscores top-versus-mid dynamics, tilting toward the visitors maintaining their summit perch.

Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznań preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Ekstraklasa, Poland View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ